Canadian Oil Surge to U.S. Gulf Puts Mexico on Defensive
By Dan Murtaugh and Robert Tuttle Dec 29, 2014 12:37 PM ET
A price war is brewing between Canada and Latin America over who will satisfy U.S. Gulf Coast refiners hunger for heavy oil.
The new Seaway Twin pipeline will almost double the amount of heavy Canadian crude coming to Gulf terminals and plants to about 400,000 barrels a day starting in January, according to Calgary-based ARC Financial Corp. The shipments are growing even without the Keystone XL pipeline, which has been delayed for six years because of environmental opposition.
The Canadian supply will square off against crudes from Mexico and Venezuela that have traditionally fed refineries along the Texas and Louisiana coasts. State-owned Petroleos Mexicanos widened its discount for U.S. buyers in December by the most since August 2013. Valero Energy Corp. and Marathon Petroleum Corp., which invested in special equipment to refine heavy crude, stand to gain the most from the Canadian supply.
Somethings going to have to give, said Ed Morse, Citibanks head of global commodities research in New York. Its going to have to be combination of Latin American countries exporting less into the U.S. or Canadian crude being re-exported and competing with crudes in other markets, particularly Europe.
Transport South
New pipelines and rail terminals enabled more Canadian oil to head south to higher-value markets, partially offsetting a 48 percent collapse in global prices since June as the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries refused to cut production to counter a global glut.
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http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-12-29/canadian-oil-surge-to-u-s-gulf-puts-mexico-on-defensive.html