Poll: McConnell leads Grimes by 4 points

[IDemo]

Source: The Hill

A new poll shows Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) widening his lead over his Democratic opponent, the second time the Bluegrass Poll has had the Republican ahead.

With just two months away from the midterm election, the poll released Saturday found that McConnell would get 46 percent of likely voters, compared with Grimes’s 42 percent, the Courier Journal reported.

The poll was conducted earlier this week by SurveyUSA on behalf of the Courier-Journal and three other news outlets.

Grimes had led in Bluegrass Polls up until the one a month ago, in which McConnell opened a two-point lead. Saturday’s poll is the third consecutive time McConnell’s chances have improved over Grimes, Kentucky’s secretary of state.




Read more: http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/216314-kentucky-poll-puts-mcconnell-4-points-ahead

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Good, honest, hard working people. White collar, blue collar, doesn't matter what color shirt you have on. Good, honest, hardworking people of modest means continue to elect these rich COCKSUCKERS who don't give a fuck about them.

[BillZBubb]

1. What's in the water in Kentucky?

McConnell is Koch tool. I guess a majority in Kentucky are as well.

[conservaphobe]

2. Coal (quite literally as well).

If it weren't for coal, Mitch would probably be 10 points down.

[still_one]

3. I do not hold any illusions about Kentucky, however, 4 points is still very doable to overcome. In

addition, I wonder if mcconnell's finance scandal, and his koch brothers secret meeting has had time to absorb into the numbers completely yet?

[IDemo]

4. I believe IOKIYAR applies completely to such areas

It's OK if you're a Republican. Anyone else is a Marxist and wants to steal your guns and bibles.

[Finishline42]

8. Actually it's complicated...

Democrats have held the Governor's office for 40 years - with 2 exceptions. But the GOP has the State Senate (won it about 10 years ago) and is threatening to take the House. But to show you the problem, one of the Governors was a Republican growing up in Virginia. Met his wife in college there. She was from a family involved in the thoroughbred horse industry and was told - you register as a Democrat in you want any influence. And he did. Brereton Jones is his name.

We voted both times for Clinton but both times against Obama.

The poster above is correct about coal - big time factor. It beat Chandler (US Rep from the Lexington area - center Left politically) even though there are no coal mines in his district (but a lot of the voters have connections in Eastern KY).

Mitch is losing his marbles. One of the sad things about growing old.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

41. Racism and sexism.

[a kennedy]

5. Was wondering that also.....that story broke on Friday of a 3 day holiday......might not have been

heard by the masses yet. take a poll again on Tuesday, or Wednesday and see what numbers say. JMHO.

[still_one]

6. That is my thoughts. I mean the bribery scandal is a significant event

[MynameisBlarney]

15. As was his getting caught brown-nosing the Koch Bros on tape

He basically confirmed what we've known all along.
The Kochs own the GOP. Lock, stock and barrel.

[CTyankee]

23. I just don't know if the voters care, tho...

I mean, how does that really affect their lives (in their opinion)? And do we know that they even know who the Koch brothers ARE?

[mckara]

21. I Agree

There are plenty of reasons for remaining optimistic about the Kentucky senate race!

[aggiesal]

39. " ... koch brothers secret meeting has had time to absorb into the numbers completely yet?"

I'm sure it would only increase his lead.

[greymattermom]

7. coal jobs

Folks are afraid to lose their jobs in coal mining. They don't realize that all of the oil and natural gas coming from fracking and oil shale will kill those jobs anyway. They are voting to shut down the government again. I think Obama should close some of the military bases in Kentucky when that happens. Maybe Ft. Campbell?

[IronGate]

9. President Obama can't unilaterally shut down a military base,

only the Congress can by way of funding and I suspect that Ft. Campbell will never be on the chopping block and to suggest that he do so, is, IMO, stupid, think of all the civilian jobs that would be lost.

[bob4460]

10. This poll is a poll of 657 people which is BS

AND I bet it was done using land lines.

[INdemo]

16. Well Zogby once stated

that a poll conducted with less than 1000-1500 people is just a poll to give the media something to report.
CNN Faux and all the other right wing corporate media outlets are just waiting for this kind of poll reporting so they can jump on it and make it sound as if this election in Kentucky is over. Just wait till Todd oh whats his face gets this info on his morning MSBC bullshit session.
So in other words agreed..The poll is BS and give Repukes bragging right for a day or so.

[Reter]

18. This raises another question

Are those who still use land lines more conservative than those who don't? Or are they more liberal, or about the same?

[progressoid]

20. With a =/- 4.2% margin of error

http://www.scribd.com/fullscreen/238198762?access_key=key-BW9kSLIFsevpmpCtX7Ap&allow_share=true&escape=false&view_mode=scroll

[fredamae]

11. The only numbers

that matter will be revealed on election night.
Be cautious in believing poll numbers as they too are "gerrymandered" in order to get a desired outcome--in Hopes of Depressing turnout-I mean, what's the point of voting when Your candidate is lagging behind and the polls tell us the opponent is Favored to win?

[brooklynite]

12. The critical point...

is that, after 30 years in office, McConnell is at 46%. He's not going to attract NEW voters at this point, so there's an opportunity for Grimes to get the undecided votes.

[onecaliberal]

13. These same people talk

About morals and Christianity but vote for someone who is owned by corporate America. He doesn't give two shits about any of the dumb fucks who vote for him. His campaign manager is accused of paying bribes and McConnell knew about it before he hired the guy.
What in the hell is wrong with people.

[DallasNE]

14. It's The Politics Of Fear

For whatever reason it seems to work. It is part of the messaging that ISIS will soon strike in America. Just listen to the fears being expressed about people with American passports training with ISIS where they will return to American shores with WMD. Accordingly, ISIS is a political problem for Democrats and this poll is showing that. The funny part is that the stock market, which factors in many imaginary things, has not had a negative response to an ISIS threat. That should tell you all that you need to know about the threat.

[judgegblue]

17. Senator NO, aka Senator Know-nothing, says YES to the Koch bros and the 1%

I wish his opponent would emphasize how McConnell opposes anything proposed by Obama especially if it helps the average person, but assures the wealthy that he will protect them. He is the epitome of what most people dislike about our Congress - they don't do anything to make life better for the people. He is the ultimate obstructionist declaring that his primary goal was to defeat Obama, not to solve any of our social or economic problems. We need to say NO! To Senator NO.

[Hawaii Hiker]

19. electoral-vote take on this poll

From the electoral-vote.com site:

"SurveyUSA has released a new poll showing Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY) leading secretary of state Alison Lundergan Grimes 46% to 42%. However, since the poll was taken, two events have happened that could affect the race. First, McConnell was caught on tape talking to the Koch brothers and promising them that as majority leader he would block everything Obama wanted to do in the last 2 years of his term. Second, McConnell's campaign manager, Jesse Benton, resigned yesterday amidst a scandal in which the Ron Paul campaign (which Benton ran) bribed an Iowa state senator for his endorsement in 2012. While McConnell was not involved in the bribe in any way, Grimes is surely going to run ads effectively saying: "The old boys club is corrupt and we need to send new people to Washington to clean up the mess."

[bigdarryl]

25. Do voters in Kentucky really care about a tape

Showing he meet up with them.I mean really it's Kentucky Grimes is trying to run as a Republican like and it's not going to bring democrats out to the polls.We seen this movie before as they say.Remember Alex Sink

[treestar]

22. GOTV nt

[Doctor_J]

24. This shows what dire straits the Dem party is in

the good news is that most of those who act like actual Dems are doing OK.

[emulatorloo]

27. No it shows how traitorous the news media is for protecting McConnell's ass

Have seen some decent coverage in one Kentucky newspaper. National media silent on Koch tape and the bribery scandal.

[Doctor_J]

32. whatever the reason, we can't pick up a seat

with an attractive, energetic young female candidate against an ugly, mean, fossilized criminal. If indeed the media is the biggest problem (probably true), then something needs to done about that.

[emulatorloo]

40. The election isn't over yet.

[hrmjustin]

26. just one poll.

[Dopers_Greed]

28. Posters in this topic trying to find silver lining in this are reminding me of 2012 Rove

The actual vote totals are going to MUCH better for republicans than the poll numbers are. So if we aren't significantly ahead in the polls, we have no chance.

[Cosmocat]

29. Yep

this really is the equivalent of Harry Reid in Nevada ...

[VirginiaTarheel]

37. It is an uphill battle

While we should definitely fight to the end, we should not be delusional either. Winning in Kentucky will be very difficult, will take everything to fall our way. Kentucky is innately deep red, and we should factor in that a Republican has a built in huge as advantage that polls tend to underestimate.

[blkmusclmachine]

30. It's not the actual Voters who matter, but the Vote "Counters" who matter.

[The Wizard]

33. For any Democrat to win

in states where the voters are easily duped the Democrat needs at least a five point lead in the polls on election day. Otherwise, there is a plausible factor that the polls were off. Look at how Max Cleland lost in Georgia.

[3rdwaydem]

31. A very weak showing for a long time incumbent in a red state

[Vine Gatherer]

34. Two months is an eon

Now that Romney is speaking on McConnell's behalf, I'm confident the turtle is doomed.

[riversedge]

38. I certainly hope you are right.

[negoldie]

35. OK

This was all over the Lexington paper yesterday. Yea he's leading by 4 percentage points......with a margin of error of 4%. I wouldn't get too uptight over McConnell's lead. Still a lot of time to go.

[pnwmom]

36. When I worked for a major polling firm, I would have had to call that a tie.

If it was within the margin of error, we didn't say someone was leading; we said they were tied.