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Mon Jan 14, 2013, 02:26 PM

Manmade Global Warming Has Increased Monthly Heat Records By A Factor Of Five, Much Worse To Come

Source: ThinkProgress

On average, there are now five times as many record-breaking hot months worldwide than could be expected without long-term global warming, shows a study now published in Climatic Change. In parts of Europe, Africa and southern Asia the number of monthly records has increased even by a factor of ten . 80 percent of observed monthly records would not have occurred without human influence on climate, concludes the authors-team of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and the Complutense University of Madrid.

“The last decade brought unprecedented heat waves; for instance in the US in 2012, in Russia in 2010, in Australia in 2009, and in Europe in 2003,” lead-author Dim Coumou says. “Heat extremes are causing many deaths, major forest fires, and harvest losses – societies and ecosystems are not adapted to ever new record-breaking temperatures.” The new study relies on 131 years of monthly temperature data for more than 12.000 grid points around the world, provided by NASA. Comprehensive analysis reveals the increase in records.

The researchers developed a robust statistical model that explains the surge in the number of records to be a consequence of the long-term global warming trend. That surge has been particularly steep over the last 40 years, due to a steep global-warming trend over this period. Superimposed on this long-term rise, the data show the effect of natural variability, with especially high numbers of heat records during years with El Niño events. This natural variability, however, does not explain the overall development of record events, found the researchers.

If global warming continues, the study projects that the number of new monthly records will be 12 times as high in 30 years as it would be without climate change. “Now this doesn’t mean there will be 12 times more hot summers in Europe than today – it actually is worse,“ Coumou points out. For the new records set in the 2040s will not just be hot by today’s standards. “To count as new records, they actually have to beat heat records set in the 2020s and 2030s, which will already be hotter than anything we have experienced to date,” explains Coumou. “And this is just the global average – in some continental regions, the increase in new records will be even greater.”

Read more: http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2013/01/14/1440721/manmade-global-warming-has-increased-monthly-heat-records-by-a-factor-of-five-much-worse-to-come/

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Arrow 18 replies Author Time Post
Reply Manmade Global Warming Has Increased Monthly Heat Records By A Factor Of Five, Much Worse To Come (Original post)
Redfairen Jan 2013 OP
SAY Jan 2013 #1
bongbong Jan 2013 #5
LeftInTX Jan 2013 #6
NoOneMan Jan 2013 #7
olddad56 Jan 2013 #11
NickB79 Jan 2013 #14
progressoid Jan 2013 #16
Nihil Jan 2013 #17
L0oniX Jan 2013 #2
Mojorabbit Jan 2013 #8
triplepoint Jan 2013 #3
Delphinus Jan 2013 #18
Stuart G Jan 2013 #4
jambo101 Jan 2013 #9
L0oniX Jan 2013 #10
olddad56 Jan 2013 #12
infidel dog Jan 2013 #13
NickB79 Jan 2013 #15

Response to Redfairen (Original post)

Mon Jan 14, 2013, 02:38 PM

1. global warming is loved by golfers

 

If the temps are warmer we will not burn as much coal Its a win win Its also good for winter golf

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Response to SAY (Reply #1)

Mon Jan 14, 2013, 03:09 PM

5. Golf!

 

Golf is hard to enjoy when you're starving and/or dead from the effects of man-caused climate change.

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Response to SAY (Reply #1)

Mon Jan 14, 2013, 03:11 PM

6. Duh..

Warmer temps means more A/C use in winter.
Ask anyone who lives along the Gulf coast.

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Response to SAY (Reply #1)

Mon Jan 14, 2013, 03:46 PM

7. Unless you need more air conditioning

 

And fertilizer to save your crops

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Response to SAY (Reply #1)

Mon Jan 14, 2013, 05:02 PM

11. Yeah, because people love to golf in hurricanes, floods and other types of extreme weather

that is occurring because of climate change due to global warming.

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Response to SAY (Reply #1)

Tue Jan 15, 2013, 04:17 PM

14. Hope you like playing the sand traps

Not gonna be much water left to use for keeping the greens green, since every drop will be required to feed a desperately hungry population as the world's breadbasket regions turn to dust. See the US drought of 2012 for a preview of things to come.

But keep those clubs handy; in 20 years your children and grandchildren may need them to beat off intruders trying to steal the subsistence foods you'll be growing in your backyard to make up for the lack of food at the stores. Assuming you have money left to buy any food, that is.

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Response to SAY (Reply #1)

Wed Jan 16, 2013, 06:04 PM

16. oy

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Response to progressoid (Reply #16)

Thu Jan 17, 2013, 06:12 AM

17. That was the correct response!

Thanks!


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Response to Redfairen (Original post)

Mon Jan 14, 2013, 02:42 PM

2. 80+ here in Tampa bay area ...not the usual winter temps.

It's fucking like summer here ...71 water temp.

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Response to L0oniX (Reply #2)

Mon Jan 14, 2013, 03:49 PM

8. 86 right now in Orlando nt

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Response to Redfairen (Original post)

Mon Jan 14, 2013, 02:52 PM

3. Reap What You Sow & Then Some...

 

Last edited Mon Jan 14, 2013, 03:33 PM - Edit history (1)

Lather, Rinse, Repeat
.
.
.





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Response to triplepoint (Reply #3)

Thu Jan 17, 2013, 07:01 AM

18. Yep,

we are *so* out of balance.

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Response to Redfairen (Original post)

Mon Jan 14, 2013, 03:02 PM

4. k & r thanks for posting..... nt

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Response to Redfairen (Original post)

Mon Jan 14, 2013, 04:01 PM

9. Global warming?

My rightwing friends tell me that global warming is a hoax,FOX claims Global Warming is a hoax, Limbaugh and Beck say Global warming is a hoax.How can they make all these claims when the evidence for global warming are so obvious..
Of course they did call Romney in a landslide.

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Response to jambo101 (Reply #9)

Mon Jan 14, 2013, 04:04 PM

10. Americans for Prosperity (funded by Koch brothers) is responsable for most of the disinformation.

PBS had a show on them assholes and their propaganda campaign.

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Response to jambo101 (Reply #9)

Mon Jan 14, 2013, 05:05 PM

12. Katrina and Sandy were hoaxes also.

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Response to Redfairen (Original post)

Tue Jan 15, 2013, 02:08 PM

13. You know, the more environmental news I read, the happier I am about pushing 50

and leaving no "hostages" behind...

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Response to infidel dog (Reply #13)

Tue Jan 15, 2013, 04:23 PM

15. I just tucked my 2-yr old into bed for her nap

A day doesn't go by that I don't think about what kind of fucked-up world I'm leaving for her. It's heartbreaking.

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