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Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:19 PM

Poll: Latino Vote Devastated GOP Even Worse Than Exits Showed

Source: TPM

Mitt Romney lost Latinos by unprecedented margins — even worse than the initial exit polls showed — according to a study by Latino Decisions.

An election eve poll of 5,600 voters across all 50 states by the group, which has researched the Latino vote throughout the campaign, concluded Obama won by an eye-popping 75-23 margin. Their research concluded that CNN’s exit poll estimate of 71 percent of Latinos breaking to Obama likely undercounted their support, although they agreed with the assessment that turnout equaled 10 percent of the electorate.

“For the first time in US history, the Latino vote can plausibly claim to be nationally decisive,” Stanford University university professor Gary Segura, who conducted the study, told reporters.

According to Segura, the Latino vote provided Obama with 5.4 percent of his margin over Romney, well more than his overall lead in the popular vote. Had Romney managed even 35 percent of the Latino vote, he said, the results may have flipped nationally.

-snip-

Read more: http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/11/poll-latino-vote-devastated-gop-even-worse-than-exits-showed.php

41 replies, 6068 views

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Reply Poll: Latino Vote Devastated GOP Even Worse Than Exits Showed (Original post)
highplainsdem Nov 2012 OP
Tarheel_Dem Nov 2012 #1
SoapBox Nov 2012 #4
Nika Nov 2012 #2
McCamy Taylor Nov 2012 #3
XtopherXtopher Nov 2012 #23
JRLeft Nov 2012 #5
Alekei_Firebird Nov 2012 #6
JRLeft Nov 2012 #17
ProudProgressiveNow Nov 2012 #36
Cryptoad Nov 2012 #7
Daniel537 Nov 2012 #8
Arugula Latte Nov 2012 #10
Daniel537 Nov 2012 #11
Arugula Latte Nov 2012 #12
Arugula Latte Nov 2012 #21
Daniel537 Nov 2012 #27
Arugula Latte Nov 2012 #29
ProudProgressiveNow Nov 2012 #35
Roland99 Nov 2012 #14
Chakab Nov 2012 #15
JI7 Nov 2012 #20
Arugula Latte Nov 2012 #9
formercia Nov 2012 #13
codjh9 Nov 2012 #16
ProudProgressiveNow Nov 2012 #34
Sierra89 Nov 2012 #18
goclark Nov 2012 #25
heaven05 Nov 2012 #30
ProudProgressiveNow Nov 2012 #33
llmart Nov 2012 #38
gutierrez Nov 2012 #19
Coyotl Nov 2012 #22
XtopherXtopher Nov 2012 #24
ProudProgressiveNow Nov 2012 #32
Spirochete Nov 2012 #26
Evasporque Nov 2012 #28
ProudProgressiveNow Nov 2012 #31
llmart Nov 2012 #37
daybranch Nov 2012 #39
Major Hogwash Nov 2012 #40
harun Nov 2012 #41

Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:24 PM

1. I'm a Democrat. Let's hope the GOP never learns it's lesson.

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Response to Tarheel_Dem (Reply #1)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:28 PM

4. Exactly...

and keep on hating women, gays, any person that doesn't look like the KKKoch Brothers or Turd Blossom Rove.

Keep On, Keep'n On, Pukes and Baggers!

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:24 PM

2. In the realities of the 21st Century;

live by the pander to the White vote, die a lousy electorial death come election day.

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:27 PM

3. The GOP embraced the racist South---and this is what they got. So much for the Southern Strategy

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Response to McCamy Taylor (Reply #3)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:21 PM

23. that's it in a nutshell. the last dying breath of that political generation. n/t

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:29 PM

5. Hopefully people of color will stick together against racism.

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Response to JRLeft (Reply #5)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:32 PM

6. White people too

Most young white people voted for Obama.

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Response to Alekei_Firebird (Reply #6)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 04:09 PM

17. I missed one. Yes they did.

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Response to JRLeft (Reply #5)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 08:45 PM

36. +1 nt

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:37 PM

7. Romeny Camp 7 pm last night,,,,,,,,,

"When the hell did they start letting Latinos vote?"

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:39 PM

8. Romney even lost the Cuban-American vote in Florida, 49-47

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/elections/2012-exit-poll/FL/President

This is the first time a Dem has won Cuban-Americans. The GOP is on its deathbed.

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Response to Daniel537 (Reply #8)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:40 PM

10. WOW. That is huge! HUGH!!1! and GIGANTE!!11!



Florida, for the first time in decades, is no longer held hostage by Castro obsession. Love it!

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Response to Arugula Latte (Reply #10)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:42 PM

11. Yep, and here in Miami we voted a Cuban-American Dem into congress for the first time ever.

Time's are a changing.

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Response to Daniel537 (Reply #11)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:43 PM

12. GOP is screwn. SCREWN!!!

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Response to Daniel537 (Reply #11)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 04:46 PM

21. Daniel, I think the fall of the Cuban Republicans would make a great separate OP.

This is a big development, IMO.

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Response to Arugula Latte (Reply #21)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 06:53 AM

27. Already made one in the Politics section.

And its getting even more exposure on this thread.

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Response to Daniel537 (Reply #27)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 10:48 AM

29. Great! I will go find it.

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Response to Arugula Latte (Reply #10)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 08:44 PM

35. +1 nt

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Response to Daniel537 (Reply #8)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:48 PM

14. nice

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Response to Daniel537 (Reply #8)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 04:04 PM

15. Romney lost the Cuban vote?

Holy shit.

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Response to Daniel537 (Reply #8)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 04:35 PM

20. the thing about Cuban Americans is they were never that Conservative

but support for republicans was mostly based on one issue.

the younger,newer generations don't vote on our relations with Cuba as much as the older ones do. and with older generations dying off it will just result in Cubans starting to lean more democratic.

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:39 PM

9. I would like to hear the thoughts of ... Esteban Colberto!

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:46 PM

13. Now that Puerto Rico has voted for Statehood......

They is fucked royally.

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 04:07 PM

16. Bueno, amigos! Muchas gracias. La gente es intelligente, mas que Romney y Ryan.

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Response to codjh9 (Reply #16)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 08:43 PM

34. +1 nt

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 04:12 PM

18. JUST AS

I thought it would. I am Latina, independent and educated. I am 4th generation born in Arizona. My ONLY language was english until i took it upon myself to learn Spanish. I have an anglo maiden name, which tends to cause a look of confusion. (Common among older families along the border). I am a registered independent, but lean democrat. Much of my family is the same. (and its a BIG family).

None of us answered any polls. I saw several calls on my cell, but did not answer. I'm sure there are many more like me. I do not have time to answer polls, i'm busy WORKING, be it at my federal gov't job, or at home. BUT we ALL voted for Obama. I know only two people who voted Romney, one is Latino who is a staunch Repub, the other an African American woman who did it because she disliked Obama's "support of abortion and gay marriage". But I digress....

Not to stereotype, but we mind our business, often not answering the door, surveys in the mall, or telephone polls. To avoid waiting in line or being approached by anyone questioning my right to vote, I vote early. Mine was turned in and tabulated October 18. Knowing my own/my family and friend's similar behavior....

This is LIKELY why they underestimated us. And don't EVER be stupid enough to let us see you trying to keep other minorities from voting. Here in Tucson, our great-grandparents, grandparents and parents grew up alongside African-Americans, Asian-Americans, Basque, Spanish, Italian, German and Irish. We are different in Southern Arizona. We were taught not to draw lines, but embrace those around us. Our families all depended on each other. Latinos know we have the rights we do because of the Civil Rights Movement. Yes, Arizona went to Romney, but only because of the infusion of white people living in Maricopa County. Romney showed nothing, not his tax returns, not a budget to back up his ridiculous agenda, and zero respect for the middle class. His candidacy was a joke, his party is out of touch. To top it off, they tried to suppress voters.

In close, all they did was show their contempt for all minorities, women, LBGT's, 47%, military, elderly...

AND ALL WE DID WAS SHOW THEM THE DOOR.

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Response to Sierra89 (Reply #18)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 11:12 PM

25. Thank you for your Post and welcome

to DU!

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Response to Sierra89 (Reply #18)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 05:03 PM

30. bravo

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Response to Sierra89 (Reply #18)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 08:43 PM

33. Hey Sierra, Az here too, central Phoenix....

Si se puede!

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Response to Sierra89 (Reply #18)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 08:53 PM

38. Terrific post!

And welcome to DU. Keep up the good work and maybe someday soon Arizona will be blue!

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 04:24 PM

19. Latino Vote

 

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 04:51 PM

22. WOW! "the Latino vote can plausibly claim to be nationally decisive"

Having the Dem bull by the horns in a sense, if organized.

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Response to Coyotl (Reply #22)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:30 PM

24. Indeed they are claiming this.

it's all over the Spanish-speaking news.

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Response to Coyotl (Reply #22)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 08:41 PM

32. +1 nt

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 02:55 AM

26. And after he went to all the trouble

of spray-painting his face...

Good god, what a knob! I'm so glad he didn't win.

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 07:16 AM

28. The GOP convention destroyed any chance for a GOP victory...

The GOP lost most of the Latino vote after the GOP convention....The MSM knew all about it too...but they declined to talk about it because they wanted to keep the election "close" so more $$$ would flow in....if anything it was the largest grift in history as the media companies stole billions from wealthy Republicans.

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 08:41 PM

31. Damn this is good news..

finally......

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 08:50 PM

37. What?

You mean the spray tan didn't work? Who woulda thunk it.

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Fri Nov 9, 2012, 08:07 AM

39. Sometimes concentration on groups can become divisive

Thank you Latinos who voted for President Obama. I hope that your community like all communities will be better served, your rights enlarged, your freedoms guaranteed, and your economic security enhanced. With that said let me state this is supposed to be a nation where the government servesd all the people. I am a white guy who supports progressive ideas and fair application across the economic racial, economic, and sexual spectrum.
Much is being made about the Latino vote and Isuppose many politicians will recognize they musr serve that bloc if they want to get elected, but I feel sad that Latinos have to be seen as a power bloc and that one decides to give them the rights and dignity theydeserve as human beings because they are gaining political power. I am a big believer in the American way and I believe our best nation can be created by instituting the reforms that empowers every individual. I am saddened at the competition that can emerge as power moves from bloc to bloc as one group is served at the disadvantage of another. Right now gerrymandering is used to serve some at the expense of the many here in Ohio. I believe it is also being used in Texas to destroy the power of individual Latiunos to affect elect elections. It is my belief that that as American we must champion the processesthat serve the interests of all to make the best nation for all. Lets get rid of Gerrymandering and get a House of Representatives who actually represent us rather than billionaires. In many cases all this voting bloc stuff hurts members of that bloc because it ignores the processes that keep the enemies of the bloc in power- gerrymandering. Lets work together to make sure all Americans are represented equally and as well as possible together.
With that said, we owe Latinos much thanks.

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Fri Nov 9, 2012, 08:32 AM

40. Wow!!

That is wicked awesome!!

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Fri Nov 9, 2012, 08:35 AM

41. The new boss is the Latino's... Thank God!

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