Mon Oct 22, 2012, 12:23 PM
highplainsdem (11,110 posts)
Poll: Obama Tops 70 Percent Support Among Latinos, While Romney Falls To 20 Percent
Source: TPM
President Barack Obama has eclipsed 70 percent support among Latino voters nationwide in the latest installment of a weekly tracking survey conducted by Latino Decisions. The poll, conducted Oct. 12-18 and released on Monday, shows Obama earning the support of 71 percent while Mitt Romney trails distantly with 20 percent. Those results represent a shift in opposite directions for both candidates since last week's poll. Obama has ticked up 4 points since the previous Latino Decisions poll, while Romney has seen a 3-point dip. The poll also shows a high level of engagement among Latino voters — crucial to an Obama campaign that is banking on a high voter turnout among its core supporters. Seventy-seven percent of Latino voters surveyed in Monday's poll said they talked with friends or family members about candidates or issues in the last few months. -snip- Read more: http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/poll-obama-tops-70-percent-support-among-latinos--1
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23 replies, 2450 views
| Author | Time | Post | |
| highplainsdem | Oct 2012 | OP | |
| rtracey | Oct 2012 | #1 | |
| Arugula Latte | Oct 2012 | #13 | |
| wordpix | Oct 2012 | #2 | |
| Coyotl | Oct 2012 | #3 | |
| flamingdem | Oct 2012 | #7 | |
| yellowcanine | Oct 2012 | #11 | |
| demlion | Oct 2012 | #19 | |
| powergirl | Oct 2012 | #4 | |
| yellowcanine | Oct 2012 | #12 | |
| powergirl | Oct 2012 | #18 | |
| AllyCat | Oct 2012 | #5 | |
| flamingdem | Oct 2012 | #8 | |
| RandySF | Oct 2012 | #6 | |
| struggle4progress | Oct 2012 | #9 | |
| SoapBox | Oct 2012 | #10 | |
| DallasNE | Oct 2012 | #14 | |
| RoccoR5955 | Oct 2012 | #16 | |
| HooptieWagon | Oct 2012 | #17 | |
| Coyotl | Oct 2012 | #21 | |
| Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin | Oct 2012 | #23 | |
| Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin | Oct 2012 | #15 | |
| mojo2012 | Oct 2012 | #20 | |
| limousineliberal | Oct 2012 | #22 |
Response to highplainsdem (Original post)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 12:25 PM
rtracey (167 posts)
1. Ummmm
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What Latino, seriously now.... would support a Republican, besides Rubio, and others who are well off and in politics.
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Response to rtracey (Reply #1)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 01:28 PM
Arugula Latte (40,174 posts)
13. The main two groups I can think of:
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-rabid anti-Castroites
-very conservative Catholics |
Response to highplainsdem (Original post)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 12:27 PM
wordpix (12,478 posts)
2. yay! Keep the good news coming! YAAAAYYYYY
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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 12:28 PM
Coyotl (5,158 posts)
3. Latinos are under-represented in polling, so look to AZ and NV going to Obama
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Last edited Mon Oct 22, 2012, 12:30 PM USA/ET - Edit history (1) ***** Official Pre-Debate Electoral College Predictions Thread *****
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251162857 ![]() |
Response to Coyotl (Reply #3)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 12:59 PM
flamingdem (22,704 posts)
7. I agree, blowout if they get to the polls and seems like there is
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lots of motivation this round
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Response to Coyotl (Reply #3)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 01:19 PM
yellowcanine (24,444 posts)
11. It this margin holds up this map might not be too far off.
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I still think Obama is not getting Indiana though and Arizona is a stretch even with the high Hispanic vote.
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Response to Coyotl (Reply #3)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 04:55 PM
demlion (61 posts)
19. I would take FL, CO, NC, AZ, and MO off the map. I see a win for the Prez; not a blowout.
Response to highplainsdem (Original post)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 12:33 PM
powergirl (2,383 posts)
4. Didn't the Dark Lord, Karl Rove say that Romney needed
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at least 40 percent of the Latino vote? Didn't Mitt agree to this? Hmmmmmmmm.
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Response to powergirl (Reply #4)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 01:21 PM
yellowcanine (24,444 posts)
12. I believe G.W. got close to 40% in 2004 and barely won.
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Last edited Mon Oct 22, 2012, 01:29 PM USA/ET - Edit history (1) So this could be the ace in the hole for Obama this year.
On edit: Here is the report on Bush in 2004 http://www.pewhispanic.org/files/reports/48.pdf Note also that new Hispanic voters might be underrepresented in likely voter models. Also Hispanic voters motivated to vote by immigration issues might not be showing up in the likely voter models as well. I truly believe that the Hispanic vote is going to provide some surprises in Obama's favor in Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Arizona, Florida, and North Carolina. Not that he will necessarily win all of these states, but he will do better than expected and that could make the difference in several. |
Response to yellowcanine (Reply #12)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 04:50 PM
powergirl (2,383 posts)
18. That is what I thought, Yellow canine!
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Thank you for the information - so Romney only has 20%. He shouldn't have been so ugly about the Latinos.
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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 12:35 PM
AllyCat (7,520 posts)
5. Maybe they saw that video of Mormons dunking a Latino girl in a pool
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to baptize dead people against their or their family's knowledge.
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Response to AllyCat (Reply #5)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 01:00 PM
flamingdem (22,704 posts)
8. seriously?! that would be good to get out there n/t
Response to highplainsdem (Original post)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 12:59 PM
RandySF (5,291 posts)
6. Might be lethal for Romney in NV and CO.
Response to highplainsdem (Original post)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 01:04 PM
struggle4progress (71,484 posts)
9. You Can Get It If You Really Want
Response to highplainsdem (Original post)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 01:19 PM
SoapBox (5,821 posts)
10. So RMoney...How's that "self deportation" work'n for ya?
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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 02:59 PM
DallasNE (2,958 posts)
14. Whites Over 55 Will Vote 70% Romney
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They somehow think that turning Medicare into a voucher system will save Medicare and privatizing Social Security will save Social Security. Except that is not what whites over 55 are thinking at all. The dog whistle politics is extremely effective with this group. They are the ones that think Obama is not an American which translates into "put the white back in the Whitehouse". That is where this race is being decided -- on the basis of race with older Americans.
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Response to DallasNE (Reply #14)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 03:41 PM
RoccoR5955 (6,492 posts)
16. Not here
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Whites over 55, of which I am one may not vote that way here in NY. Only a couple of the guys that I know are voting for Romney, and they aren't even sure that they will.
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Response to DallasNE (Reply #14)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 04:19 PM
HooptieWagon (6,339 posts)
17. I doubt that.
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Willard may get a majority of the over 55 white vote, but I don't think it will be near 70%. IMO, probably less than 60%.
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Response to DallasNE (Reply #14)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 05:32 PM
Coyotl (5,158 posts)
21. Maybe on the planet Romney will be the God of
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but not on the real Earth
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Response to DallasNE (Reply #14)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 08:58 PM
Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (6,600 posts)
23. I'm a 55 year old white guy who's voting for Obama
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I don't want R&R's voucher care.
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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 03:22 PM
Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (6,600 posts)
15. But Republicans love Latinos
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So long as they work for sub-minimum wage.
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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 04:58 PM
mojo2012 (290 posts)
20. Any known status
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Anyone know how successful Latino leaders and community leaders are in convincing them to vote?
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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 08:57 PM
limousineliberal (55 posts)
22. Hmmmm
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And there is a poll averaged on RCP that says Obama is winning latinos by only 6 percent. LOLOLOL!
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