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Mon Oct 22, 2012, 09:30 AM

highplainsdem (11,110 posts)

Poll: Obama Leads By 5 In Ohio

Source: TPM

President Barack Obama holds a 5-point lead in Ohio, according to a poll released Monday.

In the latest poll released jointly by Quinnipiac University and the CBS News, Obama leads Mitt Romney among likely Buckeye State voters 50 percent to 45 percent. While the lead is outside the poll's margin of error, it represents a dip from the previous Quinnipiac/CBS survey in September that showed Obama up by 10 in Ohio

Monday's poll shows Obama leading big among early voters in Ohio, 54 percent to 39 percent, while also holding a smaller 2-point edge among those who intend to cast their ballots on Election Day.

-snip-

Read more: http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/poll-obama-leads-by-5-in-ohio

21 replies, 2637 views

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21 replies	Author	Time	Post
Poll: Obama Leads By 5 In Ohio (Original post)	highplainsdem	Oct 2012	OP
Good news	Tree-Hugger	Oct 2012	#1
Can there be many likely voters left ...	Stellar	Oct 2012	#2
I like this	cosmicone	Oct 2012	#3
That's more like it!	teabaggersarestupid	Oct 2012	#4
Actually	teabaggersarestupid	Oct 2012	#7
I'll take 50-50 +1	Lochloosa	Oct 2012	#9
Amen to that!	ProudProgressiveNow	Oct 2012	#15
Consistently up by 2 or 3	joefree1	Oct 2012	#12
Right	teabaggersarestupid	Oct 2012	#13
I was too. But lamestream media wants to keep it a horserace.	Left Coast2020	Oct 2012	#16
How second termy. nt	onehandle	Oct 2012	#5
Ohio and Pennsylvania, Thurston Howell is finished.	sarcasmo	Oct 2012	#6
And yet the NYTimes said that the poll had narrowed...	Texin	Oct 2012	#8
The last poll	teabaggersarestupid	Oct 2012	#14
And right now we are putting the hay into the barn w/ early voting in Ohio	Botany	Oct 2012	#10
That's promising, but personally I'd like to see 77% Obama to 23% rMoney	ffr	Oct 2012	#11
Lookin' good for the POTUS!	cheezmaka	Oct 2012	#17
Hellz yeah!	budkin	Oct 2012	#18
The only issue that can affect the trajectory of this race is the November 2nd unemployment report.	bluestate10	Oct 2012	#19
K&R. Thanks.	David Zephyr	Oct 2012	#20
I hope it keeps going strong for the President...	GetTheRightVote	Oct 2012	#21

Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 09:40 AM

Tree-Hugger (457 posts)

1. Good news

I'll take it.

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 09:44 AM

Stellar (313 posts)

2. Can there be many likely voters left ...

Last edited Mon Oct 22, 2012, 09:45 AM USA/ET - Edit history (1)

if many of the Presidents 'likely voters' have voted 'early'?

Go team Obama!

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 09:50 AM

cosmicone (3,381 posts)

3. I like this

I have been so depressed by the latest polls

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 10:00 AM

teabaggersarestupid (111 posts)

4. That's more like it!

I was worried about all the super tight polls in Ohio. +5 in Ohio is a very strong poll this close to election day and Quinnipiac is very credible.

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Response to teabaggersarestupid (Reply #4)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 10:09 AM

teabaggersarestupid (111 posts)

7. Actually

I hate to say this but I was looking at their Ohio polls for 2008, and they overestimated the Obama lead in each one. Their last poll had Obama up by 7, when he only won by 4.6. They also had him up as high as +14 in October.

He's probably really up by 2 or 3 in Ohio.

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Response to teabaggersarestupid (Reply #7)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 10:11 AM

Lochloosa (7,766 posts)

9. I'll take 50-50 +1

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Response to Lochloosa (Reply #9)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 11:25 AM

ProudProgressiveNow (3,239 posts)

15. Amen to that!

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Response to teabaggersarestupid (Reply #7)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 11:11 AM

joefree1 (4,901 posts)

12. Consistently up by 2 or 3

Plus huge early voting lead works for me!

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Response to joefree1 (Reply #12)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 11:19 AM

teabaggersarestupid (111 posts)

13. Right

Early voting implies big time Democratic enthusiasm despite the polls saying otherwise.

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Response to teabaggersarestupid (Reply #4)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 01:43 PM

Left Coast2020 (1,483 posts)

16. I was too. But lamestream media wants to keep it a horserace.

I tend to believe the analysis from people here then from someone like WSJ or some other organization. But as I think about it, Cluster Faux has even stated Mr. O was up a few in their own poll. Than was a month ago. And it was posted here.

But I am concerned about Florida. Governor is trying to steal it there.

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 10:07 AM

onehandle (35,467 posts)

5. How second termy. nt

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 10:08 AM

sarcasmo (13,550 posts)

6. Ohio and Pennsylvania, Thurston Howell is finished.

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 10:10 AM

Texin (199 posts)

8. And yet the NYTimes said that the poll had narrowed...

"
Ohio Race Tightens in New Poll

By MARJORIE CONNELLY

The contest in Ohio between President Obama and Mitt Romney has tightened, according to a Quinnipiac University/CBS News poll.

Mr. Obama has a 5-point advantage over his opponent among likely voters, with 50 percent to 45 percent for Mr. Romney. Last month, in the Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News poll of Ohio, Mr. Obama led by 10 points.

In the current survey, only 3 percent remain undecided and 95 percent of those with a preference said their mind was made up. Of those who had already voted, 54 percent said they cast their ballot for Mr. Obama and 39 percent said they voted for Mr. Romney.

I'm so confused by the polls now. They're all over the place - or haven't changed substantively in the least - but these news organizations keep beating the same drum.

If the polls are really narrowing, as they say, is it a factor of more money by the rethugs being poured into the races? I would have to believe that they won't stop spending until they've virtually bought this thing.

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Response to Texin (Reply #8)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 11:21 AM

teabaggersarestupid (111 posts)

14. The last poll

was prior to the 1st debate. Every poll has shown a drop since then. Obama is unlikely to drop further unless something unprecedented happens or he has another horrible debate performance tonight (unlikely).

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 10:25 AM

Botany (36,048 posts)

10. And right now we are putting the hay into the barn w/ early voting in Ohio

Last edited Mon Oct 22, 2012, 10:27 AM USA/ET - Edit history (1)

and we are going to work up to the last minute too.

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 10:25 AM

ffr (1,150 posts)

11. That's promising, but personally I'd like to see 77% Obama to 23% rMoney

and in every state.

There's no reason why Democrats, if they just vote, can't sweep just about every state's elections.

Keep the pressure on. Less than three weeks to go. GOTV.

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 05:33 PM

cheezmaka (436 posts)

17. Lookin' good for the POTUS!

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 05:59 PM

budkin (3,086 posts)

18. Hellz yeah!

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 12:12 PM

bluestate10 (8,576 posts)

19. The only issue that can affect the trajectory of this race is the November 2nd unemployment report.

If it drops or is unchanged, Mitt is finished for good. My sense from observing mundane factors is that the report will show a decline in jobless, maybe a big decline.

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 02:47 PM

David Zephyr (22,583 posts)

20. K&R. Thanks.

!

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 11:48 PM

GetTheRightVote (5,280 posts)

21. I hope it keeps going strong for the President...

Go Obama Go!!!

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