Sat Oct 20, 2012, 05:05 PM
RiverStone (6,702 posts)
New poll in Florida shows Obama leading Romney 47% to 46%
Source: examiner.com
The new poll in Florida show a very close race for president in 2012 election. According to new poll SurveyUSA President Barack Obama is ahead of Mitt Romney, 47% to 46%, this poll was conducted for WFLA-TV in Tampa. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 5 weeks ago, Romney is up 2 points, Obama is down 1 point. SurveyUSA showed that Florida 29 electoral votes remain up for grabs, Romney has gained ground in each of 3 SurveyUSA tracking polls going back to 07/20/12. Obama's once 12-point lead among Florida women has been reduced to 4 points. According to new poll the contest is tied among men. Narrowly, Cubans vote Republican. Decisively, non-Cuban Hispanics vote Democrat. Voters under age 50 vote for Obama. Voters age 50+ vote for Romney. Whites vote for Romney 5:4. Moderates vote for Obama 5:4. Independents break 44% to 40% for Romney. Read more: http://www.examiner.com/article/new-pol-florida-show-obama-lead-romney-47-to-46 Obama wins FLA and his path to re-election is pretty much assured!
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20 replies, 3461 views
| Author | Time | Post | |
| RiverStone | Oct 2012 | OP | |
| Ash_F | Oct 2012 | #1 | |
| SunSeeker | Oct 2012 | #2 | |
| cyclezealot | Oct 2012 | #3 | |
| TampaKeeper | Oct 2012 | #4 | |
| flamingdem | Oct 2012 | #5 | |
| johnnyrocket | Oct 2012 | #6 | |
| AndyTiedye | Oct 2012 | #7 | |
| november3rd | Oct 2012 | #8 | |
| LisaL | Oct 2012 | #9 | |
| Katashi_itto | Oct 2012 | #10 | |
| ProudProgressiveNow | Oct 2012 | #11 | |
| Left Coast2020 | Oct 2012 | #12 | |
| underpants | Oct 2012 | #15 | |
| wordpix | Oct 2012 | #19 | |
| Spitfire of ATJ | Oct 2012 | #13 | |
| budkin | Oct 2012 | #14 | |
| underpants | Oct 2012 | #16 | |
| cstanleytech | Oct 2012 | #17 | |
| wordpix | Oct 2012 | #18 | |
| Savanna Anna | Oct 2012 | #20 |
Response to RiverStone (Original post)
Sat Oct 20, 2012, 05:09 PM
Ash_F (1,867 posts)
1. GOTV will be key. /nt
Response to RiverStone (Original post)
Sat Oct 20, 2012, 05:10 PM
SunSeeker (5,334 posts)
2. Great news. Concede Florida? Nuts!
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Response to SunSeeker (Reply #2)
Sat Oct 20, 2012, 05:25 PM
cyclezealot (4,682 posts)
3. Hit em hard in the ad wars..
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. such a slight lead is not good enough. Well within range of the GOP Secretary of State to steal the election.
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Response to cyclezealot (Reply #3)
Sat Oct 20, 2012, 05:46 PM
TampaKeeper (48 posts)
4. I live in Tampa
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And we are being hit very hard with ads from both sides. Of course all the Romnesia ones are lies.
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Response to RiverStone (Original post)
Sat Oct 20, 2012, 06:09 PM
flamingdem (23,285 posts)
5. K&R + thanks to Floridians getting out the vote!
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Response to RiverStone (Original post)
Sat Oct 20, 2012, 06:28 PM
johnnyrocket (1,325 posts)
6. Florida would seal the deal, I just think it's just too fluid and unreliable.
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We need Ohio more than anything.
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Response to johnnyrocket (Reply #6)
Sat Oct 20, 2012, 09:45 PM
AndyTiedye (22,983 posts)
7. We Need Enough Other States SO IT DOES NOT HINGE ON FL AND OH
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BECAUSE WE KNOW WHAT WILL HAPPEN IF IT DOES.
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Response to RiverStone (Original post)
Sat Oct 20, 2012, 11:02 PM
november3rd (819 posts)
8. Today Silver
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Nate said today that Obama has all but lost Florida. He has to keep his campaign revved up there, though, just to prevent Romney from pulling his resources from Florida and concentrating them in Pennsylvania.
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Response to november3rd (Reply #8)
Sat Oct 20, 2012, 11:08 PM
LisaL (22,909 posts)
9. And how does that make any sense?
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Considering the polls are all over the place and quite a few do show Obama is ahead by a small margin. Even cnn poll had Obama ahead by 7 points among registered voters.
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Response to RiverStone (Original post)
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 12:18 AM
Katashi_itto (1,845 posts)
10. Fuck. Its a set up for stealing the elections all over again.
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Last edited Sun Oct 21, 2012, 12:18 AM USA/ET - Edit history (1) Feel like I am watching Bush Gore again...
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Response to Katashi_itto (Reply #10)
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 12:26 AM
ProudProgressiveNow (3,240 posts)
11. Hope not! nt
Response to RiverStone (Original post)
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 12:41 AM
Left Coast2020 (1,534 posts)
12. How many people were polled?
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Could we assume about 100? 200? 500--in some wishy-washy area that can go either way? What are the seniors there thinking?
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Response to Left Coast2020 (Reply #12)
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 08:32 AM
underpants (105,663 posts)
15. 700
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According to SurveyUSA the poll was conducted in Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: The SurveyUSApoll said it " Interviewed 700 Florida adults 10/17/12 and 10/18/12. Of the adults, 645 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 600 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/06/12 election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (77% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (23% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet, or other electronic device. All interviews conducted after 10/16/12 town-hall Presidential debate".
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Response to Left Coast2020 (Reply #12)
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 11:38 AM
wordpix (12,502 posts)
19. seniors there are all over - the wealthy support R$ & those most concerned about M-care are for O
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Those who have enough $$$ not to care about M-care and Soc. Sec. as seniors support R$, I guess b/c he will "save" them with continued tax breaks for the wealthy. Then there are the good ol boy low-information rednecks who support R$ b/c they believe all the lying BS he spews.
I think FL hinges on the Hispanic vote and O's resources should go there. |
Response to RiverStone (Original post)
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 12:59 AM
Spitfire of ATJ (7,881 posts)
13. They slam dunked Florida on election night the last time like it was nothing.
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The Republicans are running a ticket that wants to screw with the old people's money and health care and we're all supposed to believe it's closer than it was before.
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Response to RiverStone (Original post)
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 01:56 AM
budkin (3,088 posts)
14. And Nate Silver had a headline asking if Obama should concede Florida
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Ridiculous.
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Response to budkin (Reply #14)
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 08:34 AM
underpants (105,663 posts)
16. I thought it was generally considered that Romney was pulling away in Fla
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this poll seems to be all over the place. Obama is still slightly up (within the margin so it is really tied) but it IS tied amongst men? WOW even NPR had a story about the overwhelming "gender gap" that Romney had across the country.
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Response to RiverStone (Original post)
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 08:48 AM
cstanleytech (5,505 posts)
17. I hope so OP, I hope so. nt
Response to RiverStone (Original post)
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 11:33 AM
wordpix (12,502 posts)
18. WOOT and hope the lead widens in next 2 wks
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I've been watching FL closely
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Response to RiverStone (Original post)
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 02:15 PM
Savanna Anna (5 posts)
20. Polls
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I'm worried about the polls. I look for polls all day long everyday since the 2nd debate. I'm disappointed. I wish I could feel better about what's happening. The Republican's lies are driving me crazy.
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