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Sat Oct 13, 2012, 07:35 PM

Obama leads by two points in Arizona

Source: tucson citizen

President Barack Obama stands at 44% and GOP challenger Mitt Romney has 42% in the Rocky Mountain poll released Saturday. The margin is within the poll's sampling error. Poll: Presidential race close in Arizona (CNN):

With 11 electoral votes, the state has been considered to be leaning in Romney's favor.

The state's two most populous counties, Maricopa and Pima, came out in support of Obama, while Romney has a lead in the rural counties. Men are evenly split between the two candidates, and the difference between the candidates among women is only three points.

Obama is the heavy favorite among the state's Latinos, who split for him 77% to Romney's 10%.

* * *

The race between Democrat Richard Carmona and six-term GOP Rep. Jeff Flake to replace retiring Sen. John Kyl is also close, with likely voters split 44% to 40%. Former President Clinton lent some star power to the race when he campaigned for Carmona this past week.

The Rocky Mountain poll included 523 registered voters reached by phone between October 4 and 10, entirely after the first presidential debate. The poll has a sampling error of plus or minus 4.4 points.

Read more: http://tucsoncitizen.com/in-the-aggregate/2012/10/13/rocky-mountain-poll-obama-leads-by-two-points-in-arizona/

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Arrow 23 replies Author Time Post
Reply Obama leads by two points in Arizona (Original post)
trailmonkee Oct 2012 OP
oldhippydude Oct 2012 #1
BrainMann1 Oct 2012 #3
silvershadow Oct 2012 #18
SheilaT Oct 2012 #2
msanthrope Oct 2012 #4
sling438 Oct 2012 #5
21 December 2012 Oct 2012 #6
treestar Oct 2012 #7
DHelix Oct 2012 #8
trailmonkee Oct 2012 #11
jzodda Oct 2012 #9
oldhippydude Oct 2012 #12
David Zephyr Oct 2012 #10
oldhippydude Oct 2012 #13
musiclawyer Oct 2012 #22
proud2BlibKansan Oct 2012 #14
skeewee08 Oct 2012 #15
JonLP24 Oct 2012 #16
StarryNite Oct 2012 #17
Sierra89 Oct 2012 #19
DURHAM D Oct 2012 #20
Sierra89 Oct 2012 #21
FamilyMan Oct 2012 #23

Response to trailmonkee (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 07:39 PM

1. good news......... next stop Indiana!!!

bring in the big dog......... hell send the boss Springsteen

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Response to oldhippydude (Reply #1)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 07:42 PM

3. Go for it!!!!!!!!

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Response to oldhippydude (Reply #1)

Sun Oct 14, 2012, 06:09 AM

18. Right on! Early voting is now open here in Indiana! Get out to your county clerk's office and

get'r done. I'm going soon, so that I may be available to provide transportation or help at the polls or do some GOTV stuff.

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Response to trailmonkee (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 07:40 PM

2. MARICOPA county came out for Obama?

Last edited Sat Oct 13, 2012, 10:19 PM - Edit history (1)

Oh, my. That part of the state has been Republican since the Punic Wars, as I recall.

I grew up partially in Tucson, went to high school there. I recall in maybe 1964 one of my teachers (and this was when teachers tended to be VERY circumspect about their political leanings) remarking with some bitterness that the only reason Barry Goldwater kept on getting re-elected was because of the Republicans in Phoenix.

As an adult I lived four years in Phoenix and it was amazingly different from Tucson.

Anyway, Pima county I would expect to go for Obama. But Maricopa? Wow. Just wow.

(edit for punctuation)

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Response to trailmonkee (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 07:44 PM

4. Holy crap!!! nt

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Response to trailmonkee (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 07:48 PM

5. Strong hispanic turnout!!!

Wouldn't that be hilarious if Romney spent all these resources trying to take Colorado & New Hampshire and lost the election because of Arizona???

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Response to trailmonkee (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 08:18 PM

6. I guess the frontline border-patrollers REALLY DO realize Obama is their Friend

 

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Response to trailmonkee (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 08:38 PM

7. That rules!

pretty cool!

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Response to trailmonkee (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 08:48 PM

8. Native Americans are helping Obama in Arizona. He's the first President to meet with all tribes.

I read on another site from an Arizonan that's part Native American that President Obama is the first President to meet with all the tribes there. Apparently, there's a larger population of them there than many realize because so many just assume they're Hispanic.

Apparently, in a 2010 census there were 353,386 Native Americans in Arizona.

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Response to DHelix (Reply #8)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 09:01 PM

11. i love that about him

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Response to trailmonkee (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 08:54 PM

9. Demographics are terrible for Republicans in Arizona

I didn't think it would hit for another 8 or so years. This is great news!

What an interesting state. It has some of the most right wing folks in a slim majority but on their heels is a growing minority population and progressive white west coast transplants changing the mix. Can you imagine if we can take this state?

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Response to jzodda (Reply #9)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 09:02 PM

12. once it flips.. it stays flipped

demographics will insure that... just like New Mexico... by 8 years Texas will be in play..

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Response to trailmonkee (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 08:58 PM

10. K&R. OMG.

It can happen here.

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Response to trailmonkee (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 09:07 PM

13. looks good for holding the senate...

maybe if we can get Arizona, and Indiana.. maybe we can get enough to end filibusters..

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Response to oldhippydude (Reply #13)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 07:31 PM

22. Harry Reid can end filibusters by himself on day 1, 2013

It would be malpractice of epic proportions if he does not do so.

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Response to trailmonkee (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 09:29 PM

14. Only 523 voters polled and the margin of error equals the difference in the poll

I wouldn't get too excited yet.

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Response to trailmonkee (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 10:08 PM

15. Wow!!!! This is Awesome

Come on Arizona you can do it!!!!!

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Response to trailmonkee (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 10:09 PM

16. I marked him on my ballot

I need to figure out non-partisan races and judges before I mail it in.

Surprising he is ahead in Maricopa. Usually Democratic support comes from other areas like Flagstaff--Northeast and Tucson and the southwest portion.

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Response to trailmonkee (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 10:12 PM

17. Yes we can...

turn Arizona BLUE!!!

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Response to trailmonkee (Original post)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 03:45 PM

19. Hope so, I'm in Tucson and already voted Obama

Got my early ballot last Friday, mailed it in Monday. I suppose I'm a triple threat; Hispanic, female, independent. OH and best of all I have previously been 47%, but my job search finally paid off and I have been a federal employee for well over a year now. So I guess government DOES create jobs. I don't really know anyone who is voting for Romney, in fact the night of the second debate i was at a friend's house. Her entire family, including her parents and siblings are all voting Obama. Her parents were disgusted at Romey's lies and behavior during the debate, and were yelling at the tv the entire time.

I honestly hope to see voter turnout in Maricopa county. Our poor state is usually dominated by all the out of state transplants in that area of the state, and we're sick of seeing it happen year after year.

From Pima County Recorder's Office:

Election Ballot Status

2012 GENERAL ELECTION
Your ballot request was received on 09/05/2012


Your ballot was mailed on 10/11/2012


Your ballot affidavit was turned over for tabulation on 10/18/2012

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Response to Sierra89 (Reply #19)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 05:37 PM

20. Welcome to DU.

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Response to DURHAM D (Reply #20)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 07:23 PM

21. Thanks

I've been reading/lurking for awhile.

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Response to trailmonkee (Original post)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 08:26 PM

23. Wow...

 

I am impressed

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