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Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:04 PM

Obama Approval Rating up at 53% - latest Gallup poll.

Last edited Tue Oct 9, 2012, 05:30 PM - Edit history (1)

Source: Gallup

GALLUP DAILY - Oct 6-8, 2012 Updates daily at 1 p.m. ET; reflects one-day change

Read more: http://www.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx

43 replies, 7410 views

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Reply Obama Approval Rating up at 53% - latest Gallup poll. (Original post)
mzmolly Oct 2012 OP
ywcachieve Oct 2012 #1
mzmolly Oct 2012 #2
Cal33 Oct 2012 #22
mzmolly Oct 2012 #23
donnasgirl Oct 2012 #32
ywcachieve Oct 2012 #34
Iliyah Oct 2012 #3
RitchieRich Oct 2012 #4
mzmolly Oct 2012 #5
RitchieRich Oct 2012 #7
mzmolly Oct 2012 #10
karynnj Oct 2012 #16
mzmolly Oct 2012 #19
Presidentcokedupfratboy Oct 2012 #24
JI7 Oct 2012 #42
SoapBox Oct 2012 #6
Baitball Blogger Oct 2012 #8
groundloop Oct 2012 #11
mzmolly Oct 2012 #17
karynnj Oct 2012 #18
Left Coast2020 Oct 2012 #41
Kingofalldems Oct 2012 #9
Blue State Bandit Oct 2012 #12
Baitball Blogger Oct 2012 #13
mzmolly Oct 2012 #14
calimary Oct 2012 #15
INdemo Oct 2012 #20
mzmolly Oct 2012 #21
Ztolkins Oct 2012 #25
Iliyah Oct 2012 #26
Johnny2X2X Oct 2012 #27
progree Oct 2012 #28
mzmolly Oct 2012 #30
progree Oct 2012 #33
meadowlark5 Oct 2012 #29
mzmolly Oct 2012 #31
JI7 Oct 2012 #43
SleeplessinSoCal Oct 2012 #35
robinlynne Oct 2012 #36
occupymybrain Oct 2012 #37
MADem Oct 2012 #38
mzmolly Oct 2012 #39
progree Oct 2012 #40

Response to mzmolly (Original post)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:07 PM

1. One poll has his approval rating at 55%.

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Response to ywcachieve (Reply #1)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:09 PM

2. Wow! The job numbers must have been of help.

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Response to mzmolly (Reply #2)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:54 PM

22. Also possibly more people are beginning to realize that much of what Romney had said last Wednesday

was made up of lies. We'll have to see what happens on Oct. 11 and Oct. 16.

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Response to Cal33 (Reply #22)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:03 PM

23. Could be.

Perhaps both were factors?

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Response to ywcachieve (Reply #1)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:49 PM

32. Do not get comfortable

People we need to push harder than ever,this election is far from over it to close to call.We would like to see Rmoney thoroughly have his ass kicked in this election so we can shut up the likes of Donald Trump and his slimy mouth,and put Romney back where he belongs in retirement once and for all.

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Response to donnasgirl (Reply #32)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 03:33 PM

34. Optomistic is what describs us.

We know the fight is to the finish.

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Response to mzmolly (Original post)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:11 PM

3. And it will tilt forward Mittens

but by Wednesday we will see a decline for Mittens and a up tick for O. Yawn. No wonder people are turned off the corporate media.

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Response to mzmolly (Original post)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:12 PM

4. Can someone please explain...

where this originates, or for example how the sample population differs from the horror show that has been consistently reported? I was skeptical that it had gone so far down and am now wondering how it could move so far from what I read this morning.

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Response to RitchieRich (Reply #4)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:14 PM

5. I believe these numbers are reflecting the positive jobs report.

And, the debate bump for Rmoney is fading?

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Response to mzmolly (Reply #5)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:17 PM

7. thanks

love the Big Bird!

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Response to RitchieRich (Reply #7)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:30 PM

10. T.h.a.n.k.s.

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Response to mzmolly (Reply #5)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:48 PM

16. I think you are right

This poll lost a very good day that moved the gap 2 points in Obama's favor. I think this means that the point that came in was close to the current average.

The thing to remember is that this 7 day poll will have the bad Thursday and Friday observations until Saturday. It will be interesting to see what happens then. Though it is possible that the Ryan/Biden debate could do something. I think that Ryan, who has known positions may face a tough decision in whether like Romney he can abandon all the positions. Unlike Romney, they are what define him.

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Response to karynnj (Reply #16)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:52 PM

19. Agreed.

I sure hope Biden has a good debate. We can't afford another perceived flub.

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Response to mzmolly (Reply #19)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:12 PM

24. Biden better do well

We have got to stanch the bleeding. I'm getting very nervous here. That was a performance by Obama of hideous proportions.

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Response to mzmolly (Reply #5)

Wed Oct 10, 2012, 02:13 AM

42. i feel the jobs report is not getting enough attention

he may not be great at debates but he got Osama Bin Ladne, is lowering unemployment .

isn't that a more convincing reason to vote for someone than "i won a debate"(a debate in which the winner contradicted himself) .

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Response to mzmolly (Original post)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:17 PM

6. And yet the limp and impotent major medias, will not cover this...

Liberal bias? YA, sure....

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Response to mzmolly (Original post)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:17 PM

8. Somone said we would be horrified by the Gallup Numbers.

?

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Response to Baitball Blogger (Reply #8)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:38 PM

11. They have RMoney up 49 - 47 among "Likely Voters"

And that does horrify me (and baffles me as well). I don't see how Pres. O's approval rating can be so high yet be behind in the election polling.

I guess I fell into the trap of many others, expecting a cake-walk to victory in November and expecting the repugs to slither away without putting up a fight since their candidate looked so bad. As it turns out their "October Surprise" was a pile of lies that it's going to take forever to refute.

edit to add: Of course a composite nationwide number doesn't mean squat since we have the wonderful electoral college. I'd like to see a breakdown of where the likely voters are who changed their minds to give RMoney a supposed lead. I suspect that RMoney probably merely upped his lead in deep red states that really don't affect the outcome, but haven't seen any data to back that up.

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Response to groundloop (Reply #11)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:51 PM

17. Because the approval number is essentially newer (past two days)

and the 'likely voter' (past 7 days) column - is attempting to factor in, enthusiasm.

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Response to groundloop (Reply #11)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:51 PM

18. 3 day vs 7 day averages - the 3 day are already not including Thursday

and Friday which every pollster found as bad. In addition, one is likely voter the other registered. The likely voter frame is also affected by the debate as it did affect enthusiasm. Hopefully, it will dissipate.

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Response to groundloop (Reply #11)

Wed Oct 10, 2012, 01:56 AM

41. But it depends on who is doing the poll....

...and the "size" of the sample. Remember, its a snapshot of the big picture. There are many factors involved. Read about basic "Statistics" and you'll know what I mean.

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Response to mzmolly (Original post)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:19 PM

9. I like this one

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Response to mzmolly (Original post)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:40 PM

12. The numbers as of late may be a blessing in disguise. Check this.

With the Rmoney train wreck showing promise, the Super-Pac'rs who were about to pull their money and put it into House/Senate races are thinking that Rmoney still has a shot and will leave those dollars on the top of the ticket.

Meanwhile, Clinton and the surrogates can start picking off those House/Senate races while the Rmoney Pac'rs are temporarily distracted.

It also lights a fire under the asses of Dems that are just getting into the grove.

As long as Biden does his job Thursday night, he will be setting the stage for "President Obama" (as opposed to Professor Obama who showed up last week) to show Rmoney for what he really is; a sell-out supreme that will do and say anything to close the deal and can't be trusted to stand up to the fundies and chicken-hawks in his party.

If thing go well, we could end up with the WH, the Hill, and (in a few years) the SCOTUS.

Crossing fingers. Knocking on doors.

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Response to Blue State Bandit (Reply #12)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:43 PM

13. I was thinking of this likely scenario.

Before the debate I was thinking, what would happen if Romney does so poorly that they take him out and put somebody else in that is more likeable to the Republicans? But, no chance of that now. They are committed.

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Response to Blue State Bandit (Reply #12)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:43 PM

14. Crossing fingers with you.

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Response to Blue State Bandit (Reply #12)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:43 PM

15. Thank you for all your work, Blue State Bandit!

You're doing the Work of the Saints!

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Response to mzmolly (Original post)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:52 PM

20. Chuck Todd will find someway to try and discredit this along

Joe Scar....and many other RW corporate mafia media people....

So how can Pew spew those false numbers..No way its tied 47-47 or even have Rmoney ahead it BS

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Response to INdemo (Reply #20)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:53 PM

21. I think we're ahead of the game. Next week they'll be talking about Rmoney's short

lived post debate bounce.

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Response to mzmolly (Original post)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:14 PM

25. I don't know how this squares with Mitt being up 2..

Anyone know why that is? It's like saying "Hey, awesome, great, wonderful job, but you're fired anyway"

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Response to mzmolly (Original post)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:17 PM

26. And the GOPpers will be back

complaining that polls favor O. Pres O can't get a break from corporate media. When he does win re-election I hope he and democratic run congress can stop citizens united and bring back the "media" fairness doctrine and get the fuck rid of Fake News!

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Response to mzmolly (Original post)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:22 PM

27. Hmm

If these polls are still for Romney at week's end then it's something to worry about, but let's see what they look like this weekend when the debate bump is gone from them.

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Response to mzmolly (Original post)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:33 PM

28. Registered voters Obama +3 (was +5), Likely Voters: Romney +2 (was +0). But fewer-day polls brighter

Am I reading the right-most column (light gray) right?
http://www.gallup.com/home.aspx
Today's 7-day rolling Gallup poll news doesn't look all that great to me.
Both the polls in my title line are 7 day rolling averages spanning Oct 2 - 8.
But the below has brighter news, excepting the last paragraph about Romney supporters more likely to vote:


Obama's slight 49% to 46% seven-day lead among registered voters is just about where it was in the seven days prior to the debate. This trend suggests that Romney's impressive debate performance -- 72% of debate watchers said he did the better job -- may not have a lasting impact. Additionally, Friday's generally positive jobs report from the government, showing that unemployment fell below 8% for the first time since January 2009, may have helped Obama's standing.

Although Gallup's main focus is on seven-day rolling averages, a breakdown of interviewing over shorter periods can be helpful in understanding the short-term impact of events like conventions and debates. As Gallup reported Monday, Romney gained ground among registered voters in the immediate aftermath of his Oct. 3 debate, moving from a five-point deficit prior to the debate to a tie in the three days that immediately followed. Most of that gain was driven by substantial Romney leads in the Thursday and Friday tracking.

Since Saturday, however, Obama has regained a 50% to 45% edge among registered voters in interviewing conducted Sunday and Monday -- the same as his margin in the three days prior to the debate. Although these two days of interviewing involve relatively small sample sizes, they suggest that Romney's debate "bounce" may be fading.

Gallup's inaugural likely voter results suggest that Romney at this point appears to have a turnout advantage, meaning that Obama will need to develop a strong lead among all registered voters in order to be assured of winning the actual popular vote. All in all, if the election were held today, Gallup's analysis suggests that the race would be too close to call. (earlier in the article: At this point, Romney voters are somewhat more likely to respond that they will definitely vote, that they have thought a lot about the election, and that they are more familiar with where people in their local area vote. These attitudes indicate that Romney at this juncture will benefit from higher turnout on Election Day among his supporters than will Obama. )

More: http://www.gallup.com/poll/157955/romney-obama-among-likely-voters.aspx?ref=image


In other polling news, an NBC4 poll has Obama up by 1 in a poll of likely voters with a 3.5% margin of error. That's not good - a week ago people were saying that Ohio was about out-of-reach for Romney.
http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/poll-obama-romney-tied-among-likely-voters-ohio-152641128--election.html

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Response to progree (Reply #28)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:44 PM

30. Likely voters measure enthusiasm.

I think we can get that back. Though we can't be complacent.

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Response to mzmolly (Reply #30)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:57 PM

33. "Though we can't be complacent." That's for sure. I give more credibility to likely voter numbers

than registered voter numbers as far as predicting the final vote.

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Response to mzmolly (Original post)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:43 PM

29. Maybe these good numbers can take some heat off Joe

Not that he doesn't need to do a great job, but man, everyone was piling a lot of expectation and importance on his debate. I'm sure he feels it. Now with better poll numbers for his buddy, maybe he can go out with less stress and pummel that smarmy, little shit Lyin' Ryan.

You know, I have always wanted to punch Eric Cantor in the face because of that smug smirk on his face. Ryan has a similar smug look with that down turned smile/smirk thing going on. Too bad Joe can't do it for all of us.

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Response to meadowlark5 (Reply #29)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:45 PM

31. Welcome.

I think Joe still needs to do a good job. The media will credit him with our comeback.

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Response to meadowlark5 (Reply #29)

Wed Oct 10, 2012, 02:17 AM

43. i think the Difference with Biden and Obama is that Biden can have Gaffes and it will not hurt as

much . people know that is his personality and actually like him more for it because he just comes off as some guy you can go up to and talk about anything with.

notice of all the gaffes from Biden none of them have stuck. the media tries to report on it and try to make something about it but it just doesn't gain much. it's just Joe .

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Response to mzmolly (Original post)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 03:40 PM

35. One thing I know for sure, Obama is not appealing to us at the moment . . .

He is appealing to those whose minds can be changed.

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Response to mzmolly (Original post)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 03:47 PM

36. At that link, the headline is : Romeny 49%, Obama 47% among likely voters

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Response to mzmolly (Original post)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 04:06 PM

37. Good news

I'm excited to see Biden debate Ryan I think the polls will show good for Obama.







Nothing is true everything is permitted.

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Response to MADem (Reply #38)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 05:31 PM

39. It was on both pages

but I updated with your link.

Thanks.

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Response to MADem (Reply #38)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 05:41 PM

40. +1 That's a really cheery looking graph, one good piece of news, definitely worth a click-and-look

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