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Mon Oct 8, 2012, 12:25 AM

Obama leads by 3 in Virginia

Source: Public Policy Polling


PPP's newest Virginia poll finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 50-47 in the state, down from a 51-46 advantage three weeks ago. This is the closest we've found the race in Virginia the entire cycle, but Obama continues to find himself at the critical 50% mark in a state where Romney probably can't afford to lose.

Romney's performance in the debate on Wednesday seems to have helped his image with Virginia voters. They think he won the debate by a 61/28 margin, including 71/17 with independents. Compared to our last poll he's seen a 10 point gain in his net favorability rating from -2 at 47/49 in mid-September to now +8 at 52/44. The problem for Romney is that most of that gain has come with Democrats, from 6/90 to 21/76. But still only 8% of those Democrats are actually voting for Romney. Much of the improvement in Romney's image is people going from hating Romney and voting for Obama to respecting Romney but still voting for Obama.

The reason the race hasn't moved much despite the improvement in Romney's image is that Obama's held steady over the last three weeks in spite of his poor debate performance. 3 weeks ago 50% of Virginians approved of him and 48% disapproved. Now 50% of Virginians approve of him and 48% disapprove. There's been no movement whatsoever in perceptions of his job performance. Obama has a 50/47 advantage over Romney in terms of who voters trust more on the economy, and a 51/46 edge on foreign policy.

Obama leads Romney 52-44 with women while keeping things about equal with men, trailing Romney just 49-48. Romney's up 57-40 with white voters, but would need to win them by a lot more than that to overcome Obama's 90-8 lead with African Americans and 59-34 advantage with other nonwhite voters. The future is looking bright for Democrats in Virginia with voters under 45 supporting Obama 59-38. The race is only close overall because of a 55-43 advantage for Romney with seniors.

-snip-

Read more: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-leads-by-3-in-virginia.html

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Reply Obama leads by 3 in Virginia (Original post)
highplainsdem Oct 2012 OP
Iliyah Oct 2012 #1
truthisfreedom Oct 2012 #2
SleeplessinSoCal Oct 2012 #3
goclark Oct 2012 #4
underpants Oct 2012 #5
Ash_F Oct 2012 #6
qanda Oct 2012 #7
bushisanidiot Oct 2012 #8

Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Oct 8, 2012, 03:27 AM

1. They still don't like Mittens.

Pure and simple.

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Response to Iliyah (Reply #1)

Mon Oct 8, 2012, 04:06 AM

2. Who would? He's an ax man.

His job, prior to being governor, was to destroy jobs. He comes in with his fake smile and destroys peoples' lives.

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Oct 8, 2012, 05:00 AM

3. Seniors favor Romney in VA? There has to be a way to expose his lies to them.

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Oct 8, 2012, 06:00 AM

4. "By 3 points" that's just enough for them to steal



Wasn't it more than that before ----

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Oct 8, 2012, 06:01 AM

5. Good. The first real poll since the debate - Rasmussen suddenly had Romney up by 2

Just hold....we are going to see lots of polls. Mitt will get a bump ....just hold on and keep working

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Oct 8, 2012, 06:23 AM

6. Is there danger of election shenanigans in VA?

I think Obama will take it.

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Oct 8, 2012, 08:39 AM

7. Virginia has already started voting

Not good news for Mittens.

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Oct 8, 2012, 10:46 AM

8. The President's lead will increase over the coming weeks

romney's numbers have peaked. just enough for his zombie followers to hock their jewelry to give more money to his failing campaign.

don't expect republicans to be part of the ongoing recovery during President Obama's second term, because they'll be broke.

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