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Wed Sep 26, 2012, 03:36 AM

Poll: Obama opens substantial leads in key swing states

Source: CBS NEWS

With less than six weeks until Election Day, President Obama has opened up significant leads over Mitt Romney in Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida, according to a new Quinnipiac University/CBS News/New York Times poll of likely voters.

Mr. Obama holds a 10-point lead in Ohio among those who say they will definitely vote, a lead propelled by a 25-point advantage among women. Romney holds an 8-point lead among men. The president holds a 35-point edge among voters under 35 years old, and a 5-point lead among those ages 35-64; the two candidates are effectively tied among Ohio seniors. Sixty-two percent of Ohio likely voters say the auto bailout, which had a significant impact on the state's economy, was a success, while just 30 percent say it was a failure. Both candidates will campaign in Ohio Wednesday; the president led Romney by six points in the state last month.

Mr. Obama also holds a huge lead among women in Pennsylvania, where his advantage overall stands at 12 points. The president leads his opponent by 21-points among women, and they are split among men. The two candidates also split the support of whites, but the president holds an 87 percent to 11 percent lead among nonwhites. Romney holds a 5-point lead among Pennsylvania seniors, but that is more than offset by the president's 14-point lead among those ages 35-64 and 34-point lead among those under 35.

/snip/



Here are the overall figures: Mr. Obama leads 53 percent to 43 percent in Ohio. He leads 54 percent to 42 percent in Pennsylvania. And he leads 53 percent to 44 percent in Florida. In all three states, the president is seen as better able to handle the economy. And in all three states, majorities of voters think Romney's policies will favor the rich.

Read more: http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-250_162-57520341/poll-obama-opens-substantial-leads-in-key-swing-states/

22 replies, 3666 views

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Arrow 22 replies Author Time Post
Reply Poll: Obama opens substantial leads in key swing states (Original post)
Ellipsis Sep 2012 OP
Tx4obama Sep 2012 #1
Drunken Irishman Sep 2012 #2
TroyD Sep 2012 #4
Drunken Irishman Sep 2012 #6
MrModerate Sep 2012 #9
sendero Sep 2012 #10
MFM008 Sep 2012 #3
WestWisconsinDem Sep 2012 #16
longship Sep 2012 #5
Norbert Sep 2012 #7
Spitfire of ATJ Sep 2012 #8
bucolic_frolic Sep 2012 #11
BumRushDaShow Sep 2012 #13
Setsuna1972 Sep 2012 #18
DCBob Sep 2012 #21
quaker bill Sep 2012 #12
WestWisconsinDem Sep 2012 #17
AAO Sep 2012 #22
Kolesar Sep 2012 #14
liberal N proud Sep 2012 #15
daybranch Sep 2012 #19
DCBob Sep 2012 #20

Response to Ellipsis (Original post)

Wed Sep 26, 2012, 03:38 AM

1. Those are great numbers!


Now everyone needs to VOTE !!!


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Response to Ellipsis (Original post)

Wed Sep 26, 2012, 03:52 AM

2. This very well could be an early election night...

I don't know, this is even looking possibly bigger than '08.

Of course, we've all got to vote and get other people to vote too!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Reply #2)

Wed Sep 26, 2012, 04:21 AM

4. We have to get through October & the debates first

There are still a few danger points for Obama to get through before we celebrate, but it's looking good so far.

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Response to TroyD (Reply #4)

Wed Sep 26, 2012, 04:46 AM

6. Debates rarely move the needle...

There is no historical evidence debates have dramatically changed the race. They either solidify the race in one candidate's favor or keep the narrative that it's too close to call. I'm not worried about the debates.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Reply #6)

Wed Sep 26, 2012, 05:27 AM

9. I'm not "worried" about the debates, per se . . .

Because even an off-night Obama is likely to be more compelling than Mitt at his best -- but when "solidify the race" translates to "Romney maintains his downward direction," then the debates could determine the date at which the last nail went into his coffin.

Which would cause huge changes in both campaigns' ad buys & scheduling, particularly where those intersect with downticket races. The President's campaign is surely looking forward to a slightly less batshit-insane Congress to deal with.

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Response to TroyD (Reply #4)

Wed Sep 26, 2012, 05:52 AM

10. I think the debates..

.. will seal the election. There is simply no way Mitt can best Obama in a debate, not even close. The best Mitt can hope for is to break even.

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Response to Ellipsis (Original post)

Wed Sep 26, 2012, 03:59 AM

3. needs a Goldwater smack down

The GOP need a good bitch slap and to be pushed into permanent minority status.

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Response to MFM008 (Reply #3)

Wed Sep 26, 2012, 07:31 AM

16. True that. n/t

 

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Response to Ellipsis (Original post)

Wed Sep 26, 2012, 04:26 AM

5. I predict that seniors will turn before the election.

And then, there will be only one demographic for Mitt to court, white middle-aged men. He has literally kicked the rest under the bus. And if they understood Mitt's positions, they would kick him under the bus.

I have never seen such an incompetent campaign. He is plunging into the fiery furnace.

on edit: BTW, Gov. Romney cannot win if President Obama holds OH and FL. There are those who claim that a FL loss means toast for Mitt.

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Response to Ellipsis (Original post)

Wed Sep 26, 2012, 04:52 AM

7. We need coat tails

I'd love to see a convincing enough win to at least maintain the senate edge and win back some congressional seats. It would be nice to get the house back but that may be a tall order.

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Response to Ellipsis (Original post)

Wed Sep 26, 2012, 05:00 AM

8. "Mr. Obama also holds a huge lead among women in Pennsylvania"

He should be in every state.

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Response to Ellipsis (Original post)

Wed Sep 26, 2012, 06:21 AM

11. Don't Believe It

The Fundies and their Pulpitry are skewing the polls

by saying they're for Obama

as they try to lull the Democrats into our biggest enemy

COMPLACENCY.

This is no time to rest on these false and meaningless laurels

GET TO WORK

VOLUNTEER

WE CAN'T WIN IF WE DON'T DELIVER on ELECTION DAY

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Response to bucolic_frolic (Reply #11)

Wed Sep 26, 2012, 06:49 AM

13. Who is "complacent" and "resting"

And why do DUers continue to spout this meme that people are going to sit home and assume a "win"?

I know here in PA, we are still fighting voter suppression and have even heard that the RW judge is finally considering issuing an injunction against this unconstitutional law after the state has now changed the Photo ID procedures TWO MORE TIMES - and doing so while on the witness stand testifying yesterday. But not a single soul is sitting back fat and happy about the reduced requirements and many many people continue to help register voters and get them through the arduous ID process regardless.

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Response to bucolic_frolic (Reply #11)

Wed Sep 26, 2012, 08:45 AM

18. I'm not just sitting back here

Hell I'm going to be doing some campaign work this Sunday I like seeing these new poll numbers, but I won't stop until these same numbers show up on election night, which means getting people out to VOTE !!!

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Response to bucolic_frolic (Reply #11)

Wed Sep 26, 2012, 09:03 AM

21. Yes believe it. Actually numbers like this breeds optimism which in turns breeds enthusiasm..

which results in more donations and volunteers and votes. In reverse it disheartens the GOPers and most likely results in many Republican no shows at the polls. Its all good!

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Response to Ellipsis (Original post)

Wed Sep 26, 2012, 06:45 AM

12. I like the FL numbers

as a margin that large could run well down the ticket and sort a few things out in Tallahassee as well.

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Response to quaker bill (Reply #12)

Wed Sep 26, 2012, 07:33 AM

17. hoping for the same thing here in WI

 

We really, really need some help in Madison.

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Response to WestWisconsinDem (Reply #17)

Wed Sep 26, 2012, 09:11 AM

22. And you ain't just whistling dixie, er "On Wisconsin"... n/t

 

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Response to Ellipsis (Original post)

Wed Sep 26, 2012, 07:01 AM

14. "GM is alive and Bin Laden is dead"-- Joe Biden in Ohio...eom

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Response to Ellipsis (Original post)

Wed Sep 26, 2012, 07:22 AM

15. It is starting to feel a little more comfortable but still not quite

We need the lead to be unsurmountable to keep the GOP from stealing this state.

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Response to liberal N proud (Reply #15)

Wed Sep 26, 2012, 08:57 AM

19. In Ohio & around country

Republicans have gerrymandered to hold onto house of representatives in Congress, we must defeat this rigging of our elections for candidates supported only by a minority of voters. We are going to pass Issue 2 in Ohio to stop this in 2014 but we have to energize to go against the odds and elect dems such as Neuhart from the Dayton area. We must start contributing to these dems and working for them so Obama has a friendly congress to accomplish his agenda.

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Response to Ellipsis (Original post)

Wed Sep 26, 2012, 08:58 AM

20. GOPers will be screaming about this all day no doubt.

These polls are fake, biased, incorrectly sampled.. blah, blah, blah.

They will never admit their candidate simply sucks. Idiots.

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