Ohio moves to ‘Lean Obama’ on Fix electoral map

Just deserts.

The boundaries of some of those congressional districts in that state are just mind-boggling. I'm glad to see that it may all backfire on the Republicans.

considered "RED"!

At any rate, we keep working like he's 8 points behind.

The voter suppression stuff really scares me.

and the average of recent polls puts the president up by 4 and a half %.

They have already done everything they can to disenfranchise or block voters and all they need to do is make it close enough to steal.

8 points is not comfortable enough to call Ohio safe!

we should identify those states where all the data indicates an easy win but there are voter role purges, voter id scam legislation, poll access disparities, and vote intimidation campaigns.

I wouldn't put anything past Husted at this point.

I can't wait til this election but I also can't wait two years from now when Ohio will kick his ass to the curb.

Things are looking up for us in the presidential and senatorial races compared to what I feared just a few months ago, but I haven't heard a lot about the house. Anyone have a good link to those polls?

The sources run from the extremely-pessimistic-about-a-Dem-takeover, to the pessimistic, to the optimistic.

The Cook Report and Pollster and the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics are the most pessimistic (they suggest the Democrats will not take to House even if they win all toss-up races and also win more than half of the “lean Republican” races). Sources Cook Report (http://cookpolitical.com/house) (Solid D 157, Likely D 10, Lean D 16 {S+L+L D = 183}; Toss up 24; Solid R 190, Likely R 21, Lean R 17 {S+L+L R = 228}; Pollster (http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/house-outlook) (Strong D 168, Lean D 18 {S+L D = 186}; Toss up 18; Strong R 211, Lean R 211 {S+L R 231}); University of Virginia’s Center for Politics (http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2012-house/).

Roll Call and the Rothenberg Report and Real Clear Politics are slightly less gloomy but still project almost no chance of a Democratic takeover of the House. Sources Roll Call (http://www.rollcall.com/politics/2012_race_rating_map.html) (Safe D 159, Likely D 10, Lean D 12 {S+L+L D = 181}; Toss up 28; Safe R 193, Likely R 14, Lean R 19 {S+L+L R = 226}); Rothenberg Report (http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/ratings/house); Real Clear Politics (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/house/2012_elections_house_map.html).

There is a nice side-by-side comparison at Wikipedia (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_2012).

However, super-genius Sam Wang at the Princeton Election Consortium takes a more optimistic views of the numbers:

“Using all polls and median-based statistics to address issues of outlier data gives the median of D+4.0% that I gave. That translates to a narrow 16-seat Democratic majority in an election held today.”

http://election.princeton.edu/2012/09/20/house-outlook-for-2013-take-2/.

A majority would be amazing. I'm glad that at least some people who are smarter than me think it's possible, but I'm not getting my hopes up.

I love that news!!!!