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Sun Sep 16, 2012, 03:41 AM

U.S. military to ‘modernize’ nuclear arsenal: report

Source: Agence France-Presse

U.S. military to ‘modernize’ nuclear arsenal: report
By Agence France-Presse
Sunday, September 16, 2012 2:43 EDT

The US government plans to undertake the costliest modernization of its nuclear arsenal in history, even though the military as a whole is facing stiff spending cuts, The Washington Post reported.

The newspaper said there is no official price estimate for the effort to upgrade and maintain the 5,113 warheads in the inventory, replace old delivery systems and renovate the aging nuclear facilities.

But a study this summer by the Stimson Center, a Washington think-tank, estimated costs would be at least $352 billion over the coming decade, the report said.

Others say the figure could be far higher, particularly if the work is delayed even longer, the paper noted.


Read more: http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2012/09/16/u-s-military-to-modernize-nuclear-arsenal-report/

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Reply U.S. military to ‘modernize’ nuclear arsenal: report (Original post)
Judi Lynn Sep 2012 OP
Selatius Sep 2012 #1
jberryhill Sep 2012 #8
villager Sep 2012 #2
AZ Progressive Sep 2012 #3
4saken Sep 2012 #5
LilSol Sep 2012 #26
jberryhill Sep 2012 #9
Judi Lynn Sep 2012 #12
4th law of robotics Sep 2012 #28
longship Sep 2012 #4
Ash_F Sep 2012 #10
longship Sep 2012 #13
Kolesar Sep 2012 #15
longship Sep 2012 #16
Kolesar Sep 2012 #17
Ghost Dog Sep 2012 #23
jberryhill Sep 2012 #6
Volaris Sep 2012 #7
Ash_F Sep 2012 #11
Ghost Dog Sep 2012 #24
Kolesar Sep 2012 #14
theenemyiswithin Sep 2012 #18
Kolesar Sep 2012 #19
theenemyiswithin Sep 2012 #20
LineLineLineLineLineNew Reply .
Kolesar Sep 2012 #21
theenemyiswithin Sep 2012 #22
Selatius Sep 2012 #25
Franker65 Sep 2012 #27

Response to Judi Lynn (Original post)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 03:56 AM

1. We need the capability to defeat anti-ballistic missile systems, I would bet they'd say.

The Russians withdrew from the ABM treaty with the United States because the previous moron president made a big issue of a missile shield to protect the United States.

Now the Russians are free on the topic to design and employ such weapons, and they've already started employing weapons that can potentially defeat an ABM shield, such as missiles that carry multiple decoys to mask the entry of a real warhead or missiles that can randomly change direction to avoid accurate tracking.

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Response to Selatius (Reply #1)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 04:44 AM

8. They were MIRVing decades ago

That was the basis of some the "I cut you choose" logic of SALT II.

We had more boosters, they had more warheads and higher capacity boosters.

So one side would argue rockets, and the other side would argue warheads.

MIRVS and decoys are not new, but became of heightened interest as an SDI countermeasure, yes. But they were working on MIRV's for a long time because of the emphasis on thrust capacity in their rocket program.

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Response to Judi Lynn (Original post)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 03:59 AM

2. Thank Christ this money isn't being wasted on feeding and educating people!

cue the Lee Greenwood music!

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Response to villager (Reply #2)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 04:17 AM

3. God Bless America! n/t

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Response to AZ Progressive (Reply #3)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 04:37 AM

5. That co-opting of a god character's perceived authority is part of this exact problem...

The idea that the US is supported by the deity of choice, that we are "blessed". And that others are not. It results in a reduced ability for self correction, and a simple way to foster divisiveness(those perceived as loved by god, and as a result, those perceived as unloved by god).

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Response to AZ Progressive (Reply #3)

Tue Sep 18, 2012, 03:28 AM

26. God bless

 

Last edited Tue Sep 18, 2012, 03:28 AM USA/ET - Edit history (1)

God bless the world without WoM!

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Response to villager (Reply #2)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 04:45 AM

9. But who gets that money?

(sing along)

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Response to villager (Reply #2)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 04:58 AM

12. You can say that again, my fellow American.




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Response to villager (Reply #2)

Tue Sep 18, 2012, 10:51 AM

28. Nukes, for what they do, are one of the cheapest weapon systems we have

 

imagine the cost of transporting the necessary conventional equipment halfway around the world to take out one major city or military installation.

The problem is that we want (and thus must pay for) both the conventional and nuclear capacity to do this.

If I were in charge I would say we should keep a powerful and reasonable nuclear deterrent as a last resort to keep a WWII situation from starting up again while reducing our conventional forces to a more reasonable level with those that are easiest to replace in a short period of time (ie infantry) taking the hardest hit.

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Response to Judi Lynn (Original post)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 04:25 AM

4. Regardless of your opinions on nuke weapons.

Any country with nukes has to do this. They do not last forever. The emissions degrade the components and the weapons become unreliable and dangerous to handle. It is part of being a nuclear power.

I leave it to others to debate the ethics of nukes (which I am against) but this is why upgrade may be essential for the US, or any other nuke country.

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Response to longship (Reply #4)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 04:46 AM

10. We don't need a 5,000 nuke upgrade...

Maybe true, but a 5,000 nuke, 350 billion dollar upgrade is going a bit far no?

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Response to Ash_F (Reply #10)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 05:02 AM

13. I wholeheartedly agree.

But then there's another problem, and unfortunately it is one which tends to propagate lots of nuke weapons. What the fuck do you do with all that enriched Plutonium? It is the almost the most exquisitely poisonous substance known to humans. That ignores that it's radioactive with a half-life measured in many thousands of generations.

If you are going to decommission thousands of nukes (highly desirable), what the fuck do you do with all that enriched plutonium?

I almost would prefer that they'd keep them in weaponry so that we don't find out out decades from now that Soylent Green is Plutonium. Just kidding, but just barely.

It is a tough topic. No good solution exists. What would you do if you had to make a decision? Knowing that Plutonium isn't a natural substance on earth?

I would launch it into the Sun, but that is extremely difficult. Maybe better to launch it into the moon. But we may want to establish colonies. We can bury the shit, but where? No easy solution here.

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Response to longship (Reply #13)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 05:47 AM

15. The US is using up Soviet nuclear warheads as commercial reactor fuel

Plutonium can be used in reactors as "mixed" fuel. Plutonium is created in commercial reactors and there is a modest "reprocessing" program in Europe to reuse the plutonium.

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Response to Kolesar (Reply #15)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 06:10 AM

16. I know, and that's a good thing.

But what the fuck do you do with the waste then? Yucca fucking Mountain? Nevada doesn't want it, especially in an active earthquake zone. The stuff only has a half-life of 10^5 years.

I think they ought to bury it in a geologically stable salt mine. Wichita comes to mind. Or, maybe Detroit. Both have deep salt deposits and neither are close to geologic activity. These salt deposits are dry, no water table incursions to worry about, even over the tens of thousands of years involved.

It would take some geological work-up, but it is the only practical solution that I've heard of.

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Response to longship (Reply #16)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 06:24 AM

17. In an alternate universe, there is no tomorrow

There are just earnings for Areva, Westinghouse, First Energy, etc

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Response to Kolesar (Reply #17)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 03:23 PM

23. That alternate universe is also known as

mainstream Chicago School economics.

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Response to Judi Lynn (Original post)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 04:38 AM

6. The silos all have tacky 60's decor

Last edited Sun Sep 16, 2012, 04:39 AM USA/ET - Edit history (1)

So they can either redecorate, or wait until "retro" style becomes popular again.

Shag carpeting, bean bag chairs and beaded curtains... It's a sight to see at NORAD.

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Response to Judi Lynn (Original post)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 04:42 AM

7. If we truly wanted to "modernize" our nuclear arsenal,

we would just abolish the damn things wholesale, and ask Russia and our Allies to do the same. If you can get India to agree, PROBABLY you can get Pakistan on board, and then it's just N. Korea, Iran, and Israel and China. Israel can maybe-probably be convinced to do the right thing. The people of Iran might be able to get their Government to fold on this if international pressure and an acknowledgment of the Iranian PEOPLE'S desire for peace and legitimacy on the world stage are conveyed by the West. That leaves China and N. Korea. Not sure how you would get China to go along (maybe by showing them they have no enemies left to point their nukes at) and if China is on board, pressure from the rest of the glob would either get the government of N.Korea on board or destroyed.

I propose this because I think the damn things are Lucifer Incarnate, and Humanities very best chance to destroy ourselves. I don't think they are necessary to maintenance of the "world order" as it exists today, and I want them gone.

I know the genie can't be put back in the bottle, and I'm not saying we shouldn't be able to build them and deploy them IF NECESSARY. I do think that HAVING them deployed on a regular basis leads others to the idea that they need to "keep up, or if possible, catch up" to our level of firepower, and that's a bad thing for our species.

If we want to lead the world, we had better be willing to do it by example.

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Response to Volaris (Reply #7)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 04:48 AM

11. Well said/

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Response to Volaris (Reply #7)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 03:28 PM

24. Iran has pursued policies to achieve a nuke-free Middle East for decades,

Last edited Sun Sep 16, 2012, 09:48 PM USA/ET - Edit history (1)

and formally, via the UN, since 1972 I believe.

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Response to Judi Lynn (Original post)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 05:44 AM

14. Scrap the nuclear subs and the F-35 porkjet

It would cost up to $110 billion to build 12 replacements for the aging Ohio-class submarines, the paper added, citing estimates by the Congressional Budget Office.
...
At the same time, a nuclear-capable fleet of F-35 strike aircraft is being built to replace existing aircraft at a cost of $162 million an airplane, the paper pointed out.

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Response to Kolesar (Reply #14)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 06:36 AM

18. The nuclear subs

 

and I am assuming you are refering to the SSBNs, the ICBM carrying Subs, is and has been the only weapon that that US has that scares the total crap out of any other nation that has a desire to attack the USA.

The SSBN's are the only real insurance policy this country has.

Get rid of the SSBNs then you best increase the size of the rest US military as insurance.

Everyone knows where the landbased missles are.
Everyone knows were the bombers are parked.
Everyone knows were the Aircraft Carriers and other ships are at all times.
Everyone knows were the troops are at.

The ONLY thing people do not know were they are is the SSBN's once they leave port. Not even our own Government, only the people on the sub know where they are at.

In the big picture of weapons systems our government buys, SSBNs are a bargin for what you get in return.

The Ohio Class SSBNs are almost 30 years old now and they are reaching end of life. A submarine is designed to last at least 30 years, ships 40. Most times the life is longer then what they were designed for. It is time to replace them.

Should we get rid of the F-35's, yes waste of money IMHO, other aircraft could be used or a less expensive design to do the same job.

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Response to theenemyiswithin (Reply #18)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 06:43 AM

19. Barney Frank noted that the "nuclear triad" was outdated Cold-War fantasy

thanks for your response

Frank, and others in Congress, published a lengthy analysis of real military needs for this century. The Ohio-class subs with their huge capital cost and huge labor costs were the nuclear attack system with the least value.

Nobody is going to ambush the USA and wipe out our Minutemen-3 and MX missile sites.

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Response to Kolesar (Reply #19)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 06:55 AM

20. link to the so-called analysis please

 

or at least the name of it and which agency produced it.



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Response to theenemyiswithin (Reply #20)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 06:59 AM

21. .

www.readthenewspapers.com

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Response to Kolesar (Reply #21)

Sun Sep 16, 2012, 07:10 AM

22. Not seeing any thing on the subject at the site

 

but I do know for a fact any real analysis of the SSBNs will come out of Strategic Systems Programs (SSP) Office and SSP does not release much real info for public consumption.

But I will keep digging for the truth or just make a few phone calls tomorrow and get a copy of the analysis if it exists in a unclassified version.



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Response to theenemyiswithin (Reply #18)

Mon Sep 17, 2012, 07:41 PM

25. Even if the Russians or Chinese knew the locations, they couldn't reach them without tipping us off.

If the Russians decided to attack the locations of our bomber bases and missile silos and other launch platforms, we'd pick up their warheads and bombers on radar.

Hell, if you got a Russian ballistic missile sub as close as 200 miles off the west coast and decided to empty all the silos on the sub in a bid to knock out the missile silos in the great plains region of the US, that would still give missile crews at least 5 to 10 minutes to put their nukes into the atmosphere heading to targets in Russia. I'm not sure how good Russian subs are at evading naval detection, but I would assume the US Navy is very versed in tracking and picking up the movement of Russian subs, especially ones carrying ballistic missiles that are anywhere near US shores.

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Response to Judi Lynn (Original post)

Tue Sep 18, 2012, 03:43 AM

27. A lot of money

350 billion is a lot of money. And I don't think the US can afford that. Hopefully it might prove a good opportunity to reduce the nuclear arsenal.

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