League of Conservation Voters poll: 1-point Senate race in Arizona

Source: Politico

The Arizona Senate race is a dead heat even as Mitt Romney establishes a solid lead over President Barack Obama in the state, according to a survey commissioned by the League of Conservation Voters.

Republican Rep. Jeff Flake holds a 1-point lead over Democrat Richard Carmona, the former U.S. surgeon general, in the poll. Flake draws support from 44 percent of voters; Carmona clocks in at 43 percent.

The survey, which was shared with POLITICO, was taken by the Democratic firm Public Policy Polling and sponsored by the LCV. It tested 993 likely voters between Sept. 7 and 9, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percent.

Democrats have looked longingly toward Arizona since the beginning of the 2012 cycle, in the hope that a huge victory margin with Latino voters and a compelling candidate could put the Senate seat in play. The Obama campaign even talked of making the state competitive on the presidential level, though the LCV/PPP poll offers little encouragement on that front.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-haberman/2012/09/league-of-conservation-voters-poll-point-senate-race-135189.html

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I still think this is an outlier race, but with NRSC pulling out of New Mexico and trying to shore up Steve King in North Dakota, we might be seeing some tectonic shifting on the Senate front.