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trailmonkee

(2,681 posts)
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 11:09 AM Sep 2012

Rasmussen: Obama leads Romney by 4

Source: USA Today

More evidence that President Obama is building a post-convention lead over Mitt Romney.

Scott Rasmussen's daily tracking poll has Obama up 49%-45%, his biggest lead over Romney since March 17.

As we reported yesterday, Obama also has four-point leads in the Gallup and Reuters/Ipsos polls, built in the days since the Democratic convention in Charlotte.

"Obama's convention bounce is evident both in the head-to-head numbers with Romney and in his job approval ratings," reported Rasmussen.

Note that Rasmussen is a frequent commentator on Fox News, and some analysts believe his polls lean Republican (which Rasmussen disputes).

Read more: http://content.usatoday.com/communities/theoval/post/2012/09/rasmussen-obama-leads-romney-by-4/1#.UEywXeW3PMI

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Rasmussen: Obama leads Romney by 4 (Original Post) trailmonkee Sep 2012 OP
Rasmussen is a wingnut, so cool. But it's the Electoral College. Faygo Kid Sep 2012 #1
Poor Snotty Scotty DonViejo Sep 2012 #2
I'm hoping Obama's win cilla4progress Sep 2012 #3
I hope so too, however Berlin Expat Sep 2012 #4
Yes, they will double-down, but their base is shrinking as time goes by. Amonester Sep 2012 #6
We should not forget Rasmussen is a whore... Agnosticsherbet Sep 2012 #5
Even though it's the state polls that count more Third Doctor Sep 2012 #7
The Trend is Our Friend bucolic_frolic Sep 2012 #8
If it's Rasmussen, add ANOTHER 4 points. RBInMaine Sep 2012 #9

Faygo Kid

(21,478 posts)
1. Rasmussen is a wingnut, so cool. But it's the Electoral College.
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 11:12 AM
Sep 2012

It will be:

1. Turnout
2. Preventing cheating like Florida 2000 or Ohio 2004

cilla4progress

(24,725 posts)
3. I'm hoping Obama's win
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 11:19 AM
Sep 2012

will be resounding enough to shut down the tea party faction to whom the electorate swung in 2010!

Berlin Expat

(950 posts)
4. I hope so too, however
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 11:22 AM
Sep 2012

the Tea Partiers will take a loss at President Obama's hands as a sign that they weren't extremist enough, and they'll proceed to double-down on the lunacy.

Amonester

(11,541 posts)
6. Yes, they will double-down, but their base is shrinking as time goes by.
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 12:42 PM
Sep 2012

Tealibanism is a dead-end street to nowhere.

Agnosticsherbet

(11,619 posts)
5. We should not forget Rasmussen is a whore...
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 12:22 PM
Sep 2012

Take a trip over to FR and you will see they are giddy as school children because it is a very close reelection

They quote the Daily Swing State tracking poll that looks at "Swing States." This poll is for September 09.

To them it's a razor thin election because the swing states, at least according to Rasmussen, are all within a point.

Democrats are looking at a broader view, Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll. This is also for September 09.

This is the same data, looked at from different points of view. One seems constructed to appeal to Democrats so they believe Obama is winning comfortably. The other way of looking at the polls is to put it together to bolster Republican view that it is an incredibly tight election that they can buy our suppress to victory.

Which one is accurate?

Well, none of them are because the data is put together in such a way to appeal to different markets. Rasmussen is selling himself to everyone by giving them massaged results.

Rasmussen is a whore who will sell himself to everyone.

Third Doctor

(1,574 posts)
7. Even though it's the state polls that count more
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 12:55 PM
Sep 2012

I bet the bounce may be a little more than what is being stated due to the pollster's history.

bucolic_frolic

(43,123 posts)
8. The Trend is Our Friend
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 01:26 PM
Sep 2012

so far so good.

And Obama, one of the greatest campaigners in US History, has
not even stepped on the gas yet.

I look for him to be cautious in all but the final debate. He has an
outstanding sense of political timing. When it's time to gun the
engine, he'll floor it for all he's worth.

And he may be able to do so because his campaign and party from
Washington to the smallest corners of America, have done their
homework and prepped the media, the opposition, the nation for
the important issues dead ahead. So maybe it's timing, or maybe
it's just preparation.

I actually didn't think all spring or early summer that there
would be much hope. Now, fingers crossed.

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