Updated Obama versus Romney polls in 10 key battleground states

Source: examiner.com

While Mitt Romney accepted the presidential nomination at the Republian National Convention, President Obama polled strong in a number of key swing states. Obama currently leads in nine out of the ten swing states listed below. Assuming Obama is able to keep those leads, he will certainly win re-election in November. However, Romney will probably see a small RNC bump in the polls in the coming week, and Romney only needs to gain a few percentage points in many states to be competitive once again.

As the November election draws near, pollsters will start releasing more frequent data on these key “battleground” states. Below are the updates for each state, including the most recent poll, a Real Clear Politics (RCP) average of polls, an average of polls from the last two weeks, and Nate Silver’s probabilities for who will win the state. Last week's update showed Romney gaining on President Obama in many key states, but that trend appears to have been reversed this week.

Florida

Electoral Votes: 29 Most Recent Poll: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (CNN/Time 8/26) RCP Average: Obama 47.3%, Romney 46.3% Average of Polls from Last Two Weeks: Obama 49.5%, Romney 46.0% Nate Silver Probability Analysis: 54.6% chance of Obama win Changes Since Last Update: Florida continues to flip back and forth between Romney and Obama in the polls, and may continue to do so next week after new polls are released following Republican National Convention in Tampa. At the beginning of this week, CNN/Time had Obama with a four point lead in Florida, and the two-week average also favored Obama. Nate Silver gave Romney 56.4% chance of victory in Florida last week, but that has now changed to a 54.6% chance of an Obama victory.

Ohio

Electoral Votes: 18 Most Recent Poll:Obama 45%, Romney 45% (Columbus Dispatch 8/25) RCP Average: Obama 46.6%, Romney 45.2% Average of Polls from Last Two Weeks: Obama 48.0%, Romney 45.0% Nate Silver Probability Analysis: 69.4% chance of Obama win Changes Since Last Update: The most recent poll has Obama and Romney tied in the Buckeye State, but all the other polling indicators favor the President. Obama increased his lead in the two-week average of three polls, and Nate Silver increased Obama's chances of victory here by 5.2 percent.

Read more: http://www.examiner.com/article/updated-obama-versus-romney-polls-10-key-battleground-states-7

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Lots of detail at the link: http://www.examiner.com/article/updated-obama-versus-romney-polls-10-key-battleground-states-7

Last weeks here: http://www.examiner.com/article/updated-obama-versus-romney-polls-10-key-battleground-states-6