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Wed Aug 1, 2012, 07:23 AM

New Polls Show Obama Has Edge in 3 Battleground States

Source: NY Times

By JEFF ZELENY and DALIA SUSSMAN

President Obama is struggling to persuade voters that he deserves to win re-election based on his handling of the economy, but his empathy and personal appeal give him an edge over Mitt Romney in Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania, according to Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News polls.

The contours of a deeply competitive presidential race, with three months remaining until the election, are highlighted in the new surveys of likely voters in the three battleground states. Mr. Romney drew fairly even with Mr. Obama when voters were asked about managing the nationís financial situation, but his candidacy remains tested by concerns over his business background and his reluctance to release more of his tax returns.

The polls in the three states, all of which Mr. Obama carried in 2008, offer a window into challenges and opportunities for both candidates as August begins and they prepare for their nominating conventions and the general election fight. Most paths to victory that the campaigns are pursuing include winning at least two of the states.

While independent voters break strongly for Mr. Obama in Pennsylvania, a state that Mr. Romney has been trying to make more competitive, they are closely split in Florida and Ohio. Of the coalition that Mr. Obama built to win the White House, independent voters remain a hurdle, with a little more than half in Florida and Ohio saying they disapprove of his job performance.

FULL story.


Read more: http://www.nytimes.com/2012/08/01/us/politics/polls-give-obama-edge-in-pennsylvania-ohio-and-florida.html?nl=todaysheadlines&emc=edit_th_20120801




Jim Watson/Agence France-Presse ó Getty Images

President Obama campaigning on July 6 at Carnegie Mellon University in Pennsylvania, a state that Mitt Romney hopes to seize.

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Reply New Polls Show Obama Has Edge in 3 Battleground States (Original post)
Omaha Steve Aug 2012 OP
cindyperry2010 Aug 2012 #1
Iliyah Aug 2012 #2
sofa king Aug 2012 #3
Cognitive_Resonance Aug 2012 #4
freshwest Aug 2012 #6
still_one Aug 2012 #5
freshwest Aug 2012 #7
DallasNE Aug 2012 #8
0rganism Aug 2012 #9

Response to Omaha Steve (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 07:58 AM

1. according to electoral-vote.com

ohio
obama 47
romney 45


pennsylvania
obama 49
romney 44

florida
obama 48
romney 47


GO VOTE

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Response to Omaha Steve (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 10:58 AM

2. Later on the day

the corporate media will come out with another poll stating the reverse.

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Response to Omaha Steve (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 11:31 AM

3. Elsewhere it was reported...

... that the Obama campaign has stopped buying advertising time in Pennsylvania, suggesting that their internal polls are telling them that Pennsylvania is no longer a battleground state. At the same time, Romney's flying monkeys have also dialed down the advertising in Pennsylvania.

Which means they all know that President Obama will win there.

The press has a vested interest in making the race appear tighter than it really is. Clearly, this article in the OP and the actions of the candidates and their allies in my link above do not corroborate.

So, are you gonna believe what the press says, or are you gonna believe what the candidates are doing?

I think the new battleground states may actually be Tennessee, South Carolina, and Georgia. There is going to be a massive drop in enthusiasm when Republicans begin to realize they're going to have to pay money in taxes to elect Republicans. Let us see.

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Response to Omaha Steve (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 11:48 AM

4. Excellent news, but we should keep pushing like he's 5 points behind. nt

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Response to Cognitive_Resonance (Reply #4)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 12:31 PM

6. +1

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Response to Omaha Steve (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 12:25 PM

5. It all depends on the voter suppression laws that the repukes are trying to push /nt

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Response to still_one (Reply #5)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 12:33 PM

7. That too, although they are still fighting in FL and PA, may get those reversed.

But those other southern states, seem to be too conservative.

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Response to Omaha Steve (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 03:23 PM

8. I Often Just Scratch My Head

When I read some of the comments. It is like people don't know how to follow events. Here is an example from the article.

By double-digit margins, voters in each state say his policies would hurt, rather than help, their personal financial situation if he won re-election


Obama's policies have died in Congress. What we are left with, for the most part, is continuing resolutions that reflect hold over policies from the Bush administration. Not only that, but what Romney is proposing is more of what got us into the mess in the first place. For the first two years nearly everything died in the Senate due to Republican filibuster. The last 18 months none of Obama's policies have even made it to the Senate. In that short period the House has 33 times voted to repeal the Affordable Care Act and spent countless time on abortion bills. Plus, analysis has shown that Romney will raise taxes on most Americans while cutting them sharply for the top 10%. Because of lack of specifics it is hard to put exact numbers on his proposals but if the assumptions are wrong then Romney has to cut more deeply into spending and that will focus mostly on cuts to Medicare and Social Security (because that is where the money is).

The only good news is that they are not at the same time saying that Romney's proposals would help their personal financial situation so this could just be reflecting on the general doom and gloom that the political wrangling has caused with voters. But they need to become more focused. A lot more focused.

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Response to Omaha Steve (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 09:41 PM

9. 3 months until the election

and 2+ billion $$ in untraceable soft money buys a lot of negative ads in 3 months.

The real campaign, the Citizens United campaign, hasn't even started yet. September and October are going to be the ugliest political months we've ever seen. Romney & co are planning to buy the election with SuperPAC money, make no mistake. I just hope this goes the way it went for Whitman in California not so long ago.

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