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Calista241

(5,586 posts)
Thu Jan 19, 2017, 11:33 AM Jan 2017

Le Pen Moves Into Lead in French Race, Le Monde Poll Shows

Source: Bloomberg

Marine Le Pen is gaining support in France and has taken the lead in a major survey of voters’ intentions for the first round of the presidential election.

The populist leader of the National Front had between 25 percent and 26 percent support compared with 23 percent to 25 percent for Republican candidate Francois Fillon, according to an Ipsos Sopra Steria poll for Cevipof and Le Monde. In mid December, Fillon led with about 28 percent and Le Pen around 25 percent.

Since the election of Donald Trump as U.S. president on Nov. 8, the French race has been closely-watched as another crucial battle between populist and establishment forces. Under the French electoral system, the two leading candidates face each other in a run-off vote on May 7, presenting a significant hurdle to Le Pen. The poll didn’t include data for the second-round vote.

European Commissioner Pierre Moscovici, a French Socialist, said in Davos Thursday that there’s little chance of Le Pen securing the broad support needed for victory.

Read more: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-01-19/le-pen-moves-into-first-in-french-race-le-monde-poll-shows

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Le Pen Moves Into Lead in French Race, Le Monde Poll Shows (Original Post) Calista241 Jan 2017 OP
Putin may not even have to "fire a shot" in his quest hlthe2b Jan 2017 #1
I wonder if Russian money is backing Le Pen? Botany Jan 2017 #2
Oh yeah - her ties with Russia are open muriel_volestrangler Jan 2017 #5
I should have known. Botany Jan 2017 #6
Oh shit. n/t inanna Jan 2017 #3
Uh oh. ananda Jan 2017 #4
No it's not. There is run-off voting in France. She will get clobbered in the second round. (eom) StevieM Jan 2017 #8
This is just the first round. She will get clobbered in the second round. StevieM Jan 2017 #7
Correct. If we had runoff voting, Dump would have been clobbered in the 2nd round as well. roamer65 Jan 2017 #13
Shit! hrmjustin Jan 2017 #9
Didn't She Already lose erpowers Jan 2017 #10
People in U.S. Thought Donald Trump Could Not Win erpowers Jan 2017 #11
"I'm Being Chased by the National Front." Coventina Jan 2017 #12
Another Russian puppet. dalton99a Jan 2017 #14
Very worrisome! burrowowl Jan 2017 #15

StevieM

(10,500 posts)
8. No it's not. There is run-off voting in France. She will get clobbered in the second round. (eom)
Thu Jan 19, 2017, 11:54 AM
Jan 2017

StevieM

(10,500 posts)
7. This is just the first round. She will get clobbered in the second round.
Thu Jan 19, 2017, 11:53 AM
Jan 2017

Donald Trump's victory has people misreading the situation.

erpowers

(9,350 posts)
10. Didn't She Already lose
Thu Jan 19, 2017, 01:25 PM
Jan 2017

I thought a few weeks ago it was reported that she had lost to another Republican equivalent French politician. What happened?

erpowers

(9,350 posts)
11. People in U.S. Thought Donald Trump Could Not Win
Thu Jan 19, 2017, 01:30 PM
Jan 2017

Maybe Pierre Moscovici needs to put in a great deal of work in order to prevent Marine Le Pen from becoming the French President. He needs to make sure she is not able to put together the "broad support" she needs to win. In addition, he needs to work to assure that the opposition can put together a coalition to keep her from winning the Presidential election.

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