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EricMaundry

(1,619 posts)
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 04:51 AM Aug 2016

CNN Poll of Polls: Clinton tops Trump by 10

Source: CNN

The post-convention polls are in, and they consistently show Hillary Clinton entering the next phase of the presidential election campaign with the upper hand over Donald Trump.

The CNN Poll of Polls incorporating the results of six major polls -- all conducted after the party conventions concluded in late July -- finds Clinton with an average of 49% support to Trump's 39%. When third party candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein are included, the margin remains the same, with both candidates losing the same amount of support to land at 45% for Clinton to 35% for Trump, with Johnson at 9% and Stein at 5%.

The new averages reflect a sharp increase in support for Clinton compared with pre-convention polls. The last CNN Poll of Polls, analyzing the results of five national, live-interviewer telephone polls conducted before the GOP convention began, found Clinton ahead 45% to 41%.

There was not enough polling in the short window between the end of the Republican convention and the beginning of the Democratic gathering for a Poll of Polls analysis to be conducted, but both live-interviewer telephone polls conducted in that time found Trump ahead by a small margin heading in to the Democratic convention. But across nearly all polls released following the Democrats' nominating convention in Philadelphia, Clinton has regained a significant advantage.

Read more: http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/08/politics/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-cnn-poll-of-polls/index.html

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CNN Poll of Polls: Clinton tops Trump by 10 (Original Post) EricMaundry Aug 2016 OP
All the polls could be off if the primary voting pattern continues. Bernardo de La Paz Aug 2016 #1
Also a lot of undecided SansACause Aug 2016 #2
Will take it as they come question everything Aug 2016 #3
Keep up the pressure, folks! Hugin Aug 2016 #4

Bernardo de La Paz

(48,965 posts)
1. All the polls could be off if the primary voting pattern continues.
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 06:48 AM
Aug 2016

A large number of people who had never voted or rarely voted came out to vote in the Republican primaries, most of them for Trump.

If many rarely-vote voters come out in the general election, there could be a surprise.

Getting out the vote for Democrats also has big benefits for Senate, House, and state Legislature races. Gerrymandering could be reduced and SCOTUS could be greatly improved.

SansACause

(520 posts)
2. Also a lot of undecided
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 07:16 AM
Aug 2016

In some polls, the undecideds are at 10%. That could either mean a very close vote in November, or Hillary wins with 20%. Hard to decipher which.

question everything

(47,437 posts)
3. Will take it as they come
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 11:56 AM
Aug 2016

And, yes, the only poll that matters is on election day.

Still, with many follow the herd mentality, this can help.

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