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Wed May 30, 2012, 01:42 PM

Walker leads Barrett 52% to 45% in new Marquette Law School poll

Source: JS Online

Republican Gov. Scott Walker leads Democrat Tom Barrett 52% to 45% in a poll to be released Wednesday by Marquette Law School.

Walker’s lead is almost identical in the new poll to what it was in Marquette’s early May survey, when Walker led 50% to 44% among likely voters.

The survey of 600 likely voters was taken last Wednesday through Saturday, and has a margin of error of plus or minus four percentage points.

The election is next Tuesday, June 5.

The full poll results will be released at 1:15 pm.


Read more: http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/155745125.html#!page=1&pageSize=10&sort=newestfirst

45 replies, 5015 views

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Reply Walker leads Barrett 52% to 45% in new Marquette Law School poll (Original post)
postulater May 2012 OP
bigdarryl May 2012 #1
Zen Democrat May 2012 #7
TheWraith May 2012 #24
fasttense May 2012 #27
BlueCaliDem May 2012 #9
AnotherMcIntosh May 2012 #2
Fresh_Start May 2012 #3
bigdarryl May 2012 #15
Liberal_Stalwart71 May 2012 #44
SGMRTDARMY May 2012 #4
Liberal_Stalwart71 May 2012 #8
SpencerShay May 2012 #22
Occulus May 2012 #29
Jackpine Radical May 2012 #31
jaysunb May 2012 #33
SGMRTDARMY May 2012 #40
RBInMaine May 2012 #43
liskddksil May 2012 #5
BlueCaliDem May 2012 #12
WI_DEM May 2012 #13
Scuba May 2012 #6
BlueCaliDem May 2012 #18
WI_DEM May 2012 #10
wilt the stilt May 2012 #11
BlueCaliDem May 2012 #16
shcrane71 May 2012 #14
zeemike May 2012 #25
shcrane71 May 2012 #36
onehandle May 2012 #17
bigdarryl May 2012 #19
Iliyah May 2012 #20
bigdarryl May 2012 #21
frazzled May 2012 #23
Jackpine Radical May 2012 #32
Robbins May 2012 #26
totodeinhere May 2012 #28
SWTORFanatic May 2012 #30
brentspeak May 2012 #34
RBInMaine May 2012 #41
Liberal_Stalwart71 May 2012 #45
brooklynite May 2012 #35
RBInMaine May 2012 #42
tabasco May 2012 #37
Sancho May 2012 #38
Stargleamer May 2012 #39

Response to postulater (Original post)

Wed May 30, 2012, 01:44 PM

1. Whats the breakdown in the internals in this poll ?

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Response to bigdarryl (Reply #1)

Wed May 30, 2012, 01:53 PM

7. Marquette skews Conservative.

Also with 4 points plus or minus, it conceivably could be 49-48 Barrett. AND, they don't poll new voters. This could be doable if everybody works their tails off and gets Barrett voters to the polls.

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Response to Zen Democrat (Reply #7)

Wed May 30, 2012, 02:48 PM

24. Nate Silver disagrees; he thinks Marquette poll is probably accurate.

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Response to TheWraith (Reply #24)

Wed May 30, 2012, 03:45 PM

27. Yeah, Nate and some RepubliCONs were the only people who believed the clerk

Kathy Nickolaus when she suddenly found the exact amount of missing votes to put the RepubliCON over the top.

I don't trust him any more. He seems to be too eager to defend the mistakes of RepubliCONS.

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Response to bigdarryl (Reply #1)

Wed May 30, 2012, 01:54 PM

9. Koch Bros and U.S. Chamber of Commerce plus other corporations

and a few of their employees.

The only polls I'll believe are the ones on June 5th.

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Response to postulater (Original post)

Wed May 30, 2012, 01:46 PM

2. Incredible

 

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Response to postulater (Original post)

Wed May 30, 2012, 01:47 PM

3. can't fix stupid

hopefully he will be tied up in legal matters so that he won't be able to do as much harm

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Response to Fresh_Start (Reply #3)

Wed May 30, 2012, 01:57 PM

15. With six days to go anything can happen the bottom line is TURNOUT on Tuesday

remember Obama was leading Hillary in New Hampshire by 9% points in all the polling geniuses before that primary and she SMOKED his ASS by 6% points

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Response to bigdarryl (Reply #15)

Wed May 30, 2012, 11:22 PM

44. 6% is NOT "Smoking his ass," my friend. :)

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Response to postulater (Original post)

Wed May 30, 2012, 01:49 PM

4. Why?

 

Why would the people of WI vote against their own interests?

Why isn't the POTUS involved?
I just don't get it.

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Response to SGMRTDARMY (Reply #4)

Wed May 30, 2012, 01:53 PM

8. I'm guessing that the president hasn't gotten involved because he has calculated

that his presence would do more harm than good. That's the only reason for why I don't think he's getting involved. I can't think of anything else.

Maybe he's planning a weekend GOTV push and a last-minute Monday night football scrimage, but I really do not understand him at all.

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Response to SGMRTDARMY (Reply #4)

Wed May 30, 2012, 02:20 PM

22. Looking for a scapegoat?

 

It’s not President Obama’s fault people are stupid, and vote against their own best interests. President Obama will do more harm, than good. He needs to stay out of Wisconsin. Tom Barrett may actually have a fighting chance of winning the recall election. If President Obama goes to Wisconsin, he will just fire up the Righties, and guarantee a Scott Walker win.

Anybody complaining about the president not going to Wisconsin is just looking for a scapegoat. This is why the Left always loses! They always have to have somebody hold their hand. It’s too bad the Left doesn't care enough about the issues, to get off their asses to vote! If the Left hadn't sat on their butts in 2010 because of their hurt feelings, Scott Walker wouldn't be where he is, now!

The people of Wisconsin have nobody to blame, but themselves! Instead of having the recall election in June, maybe they should have tried to have it in November, the same day of the presidential election. I'm sure some so-called “progressives” are already planning to use a loss to Scott Walker as an excuse not to vote in November.

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Response to SpencerShay (Reply #22)

Wed May 30, 2012, 04:07 PM

29. "they" and "their", huh?

Interesting choice of words.

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Response to Occulus (Reply #29)

Wed May 30, 2012, 04:20 PM

31. The magic number is 70.

As in 70 posts. That's a little soon to be working out all the bugs in your trolling motor.

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Response to SpencerShay (Reply #22)

Wed May 30, 2012, 04:35 PM

33. I tend to agree....n/t

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Response to SpencerShay (Reply #22)

Wed May 30, 2012, 09:01 PM

40. Scapegoat?

 

What the hell are you talking about. I was just asking a question.

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Response to SpencerShay (Reply #22)

Wed May 30, 2012, 09:17 PM

43. Spot On. Thanks.

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Response to postulater (Original post)

Wed May 30, 2012, 01:51 PM

5. That poll was conducted last week all before Friday's debate

This Lake Research Partners poll was conducted through Monday and show's a tie.

http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/155723065.html#comments

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Response to liskddksil (Reply #5)

Wed May 30, 2012, 01:57 PM

12. Thank you for negating the OP's poll. eom

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Response to liskddksil (Reply #5)

Wed May 30, 2012, 01:57 PM

13. of course they label this poll a 'liberal group poll' while Marquette skews conservative.

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Response to postulater (Original post)

Wed May 30, 2012, 01:52 PM

6. You mean the new Bradley Foundation poll, conducted by their shill who works at the Marquette...

... Law School, conveniently lending the school's name to a poll that is intentionally skewed to favor Walker.

If you Google "Bradley Foundation Americans for Prosperity" you'll see the connections.

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Response to Scuba (Reply #6)

Wed May 30, 2012, 02:01 PM

18. Thank you for this! I knew something was off with those polls

with tiny samplings by pollsters I've rarely heard about.

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Response to postulater (Original post)

Wed May 30, 2012, 01:56 PM

10. Another new poll has things tied up 49-49

http://www.uppitywis.org/blogarticle/new-celinda-lake-poll-has-race-neck-and-neck-barrett-49-walker-4

I will look at this Marquette poll as their last one skewed GOP and see what the internals are this time, too.

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Response to postulater (Original post)

Wed May 30, 2012, 01:57 PM

11. typically 600 is too small of a sample

to be reliable. 1,000 is an accurate number.

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Response to wilt the stilt (Reply #11)

Wed May 30, 2012, 01:59 PM

16. I've noticed quite a few polls with samples of 600 or less these days.

It appears corporate America is desperate, buying poll after poll to frame not reflect people's opinions just to get rid of President Obama and the Democrats, and to keep their puppets in government.

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Response to postulater (Original post)

Wed May 30, 2012, 01:57 PM

14. If the election is that close, then can't Waukesha just steal it for Walker again???

America's voting systems are rigged.

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Response to shcrane71 (Reply #14)

Wed May 30, 2012, 03:17 PM

25. The polls are rigged to give credence to the theft.

the fix is in and the outcome not in doubt....and that makes me a conspiracy theorist and you should not pay any attention to me.

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Response to zeemike (Reply #25)

Wed May 30, 2012, 05:55 PM

36. I know. And no one should want to investigate elections won by newly

found, uncounted Waukesha Co. votes after the election was called for the Dems. I guess Dems should learn who's in power, and respect the Republican authority.

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Response to postulater (Original post)

Wed May 30, 2012, 02:00 PM

17. Sigh. 2008 Obama voters better get their asses to the polls...

...unlike 2010.

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Response to postulater (Original post)

Wed May 30, 2012, 02:11 PM

19. this fucking poll was taken between the 23rd and 26 the Celinda Lake poll is 24th to 28th

this poll doesn't include I'm betting the debate which was last Friday where Barrett SMOKED Walker's ass

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Response to postulater (Original post)

Wed May 30, 2012, 02:12 PM

20. At this point in time

PPP is the only poll I have more respect for, but I tend to believe that this race is tight. Heil Walker is panicking along with the puppet masters, i.e. Koch Suckers because they haven't pillaged enough of WI yet, nor the rest of the country.

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Response to Iliyah (Reply #20)

Wed May 30, 2012, 02:16 PM

21. Agree there VERY GOOD even though there know as a Democratic pollster

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Response to postulater (Original post)

Wed May 30, 2012, 02:29 PM

23. Looks almost exactly like 2010 vote results

Which means the people who voted for Walker then are sticking with him. Nothing has changed (if this poll is right). Everybody just got more entrenched in their own positions.

In 2010, the final results were Walker 52.29%, Barrett 46.52%.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wisconsin_gubernatorial_election,_2010

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Response to frazzled (Reply #23)

Wed May 30, 2012, 04:23 PM

32. So maybe they're only surveying people who voted in 2010.

Maybe that's their definition of "likely voter."

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Response to postulater (Original post)

Wed May 30, 2012, 03:30 PM

26. Look here

http://www.fightingbob.com/weblog.cfm?postID=4387

This place Is founded by right wing and keep It's records secret.

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Response to postulater (Original post)

Wed May 30, 2012, 04:02 PM

28. In 2010 Walker consistently ran better in polls than the final result turned out to be.

The RCP average had him up by 8.7 points on election day and he won by only 5.7 Everything I read and hear indicates that it will be very close this time and turnout will be the key. I am really on pins and needles about this.

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Response to postulater (Original post)

Wed May 30, 2012, 04:17 PM

30. Garbage poll. Before the debate AND also

oversamples baby boomers.

More 45-59 year olds sampled (262)

than 18-44 year olds (245)

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Response to postulater (Original post)

Wed May 30, 2012, 04:40 PM

34. Meanwhile, Obama, the so-called "leader of the Democratic party"

is too chicken to campaign on behalf of Barrett.

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Response to brentspeak (Reply #34)

Wed May 30, 2012, 09:15 PM

41. Oh just cut the crazy crap and take your circular firing squad attitude to the dump.

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Response to brentspeak (Reply #34)

Wed May 30, 2012, 11:25 PM

45. Wisconsin voters failed to reelect Russ Feingold and didn't support Barrett! Had nothing to do with

Obama. Stop scapegoating the president! It is the VOTERS' responsibility to get out there and vote. If they allow Walker to win this recall, it is THEIR fault!!

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Response to postulater (Original post)

Wed May 30, 2012, 04:59 PM

35. The unpleasant reality...

...is that this poll shows a comparable line toalmost every other poll in the past three weeks (including polling for DK): Walker is at or above 50%, and Barrett is in the mid to low 40's. That's a high bar to cover, and I'm not seeing any trending data that suggests he is.

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Response to brooklynite (Reply #35)

Wed May 30, 2012, 09:16 PM

42. Internals have consistently shown it a dead heat.

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Response to postulater (Original post)

Wed May 30, 2012, 06:11 PM

37. Is there something wrong with Wisconsin?

I suppose we'll find out on election day.

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Response to postulater (Original post)

Wed May 30, 2012, 06:13 PM

38. If you were here in Florida, you could vote as many times as you want!!!

Keep up the good work!!!

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Response to postulater (Original post)

Wed May 30, 2012, 08:22 PM

39. Why is Walker always ahead in these polls?

The only guess I can come up with is that the Badger State is being inundated with negative ads against Barrett. Those living in Wisconsin (I'm in Calif.) might have a better idea.

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