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Sun Jun 17, 2012, 05:44 PM

 

150 mph Super Typhoon Guchol Sets Aim at Japan: Fukushima near center of forecast track

“Expected to intensify” and already the highest category storm.

http://enenews.com/accuweather-150-mph-super-typhoon-sets-aim-at-japan-fukushima-near-center-of-forecast-track-expected-to-intensify-and-already-the-highest-category-storm

Guchol, a tropical cyclone in the western Pacific, rapidly strengthened Saturday afternoon, local time. Winds are now in excess of 150 mph, making Guchol a super typhoon, the highest classification for tropical cyclones in the western Pacific.

If Guchol were an Atlantic Hurricane, it would be considered a Category 5 storm.



the storm is also expected to intensify further over the next day or two.



Guchol will still likely be a very powerful tropical cyclone upon reaching the Ryukyu Islands of Japan. Powerful winds, torrential rain and intense surf will be among some of the problems expected for the islands.



In fact, the main threat the storm poses to the main island of Japan will be its torrential rains. Heavy rain could lead to mudslides and flash flooding, especially in the mountains just west of Tokyo.




snip

http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/1204l.html

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Reply 150 mph Super Typhoon Guchol Sets Aim at Japan: Fukushima near center of forecast track (Original post)
stockholmer Jun 2012 OP
bluedigger Jun 2012 #1
Odin2005 Jun 2012 #2
siligut Jun 2012 #4
Odin2005 Jun 2012 #6
siligut Jun 2012 #13
Odin2005 Jun 2012 #17
muriel_volestrangler Jun 2012 #9
DeSwiss Jun 2012 #8
Odin2005 Jun 2012 #12
Art_from_Ark Jun 2012 #22
Art_from_Ark Jun 2012 #23
nadinbrzezinski Jun 2012 #27
MrScorpio Jun 2012 #3
Tommykun Jun 2012 #5
malaise Jun 2012 #7
SidDithers Jun 2012 #10
magical thyme Jun 2012 #16
Left Coast2020 Jun 2012 #11
d_r Jun 2012 #14
Odin2005 Jun 2012 #18
flamingdem Jun 2012 #15
CoffeeCat Jun 2012 #19
flamingdem Jun 2012 #20
Uncle Joe Jun 2012 #21
Art_from_Ark Jun 2012 #24
nanabugg Jun 2012 #26
Art_from_Ark Jun 2012 #29
SidDithers Jun 2012 #25
stockholmer Jun 2012 #28
Art_from_Ark Jun 2012 #30
Art_from_Ark Jun 2012 #31
malaise Jun 2012 #32
Art_from_Ark Jun 2012 #33

Response to stockholmer (Original post)

Sun Jun 17, 2012, 06:56 PM

1. OMG that looks bad.

The whole damn country...

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Response to stockholmer (Original post)

Sun Jun 17, 2012, 07:06 PM

2. The Fukushima reference is scaremongering.

The storm will be rapidly weakening and transitioning into a temperate system by the time it gets to northern Japan.

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Response to Odin2005 (Reply #2)

Sun Jun 17, 2012, 07:08 PM

4. I hope you are right

Japan is so vulnerable now. They sure don't need radiation swirled around in a wide circle.

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Response to siligut (Reply #4)

Sun Jun 17, 2012, 07:45 PM

6. It will only be a TS when it makes landfall.

The waters around Japan are still too cool to sustain a tropical system

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Response to Odin2005 (Reply #6)

Sun Jun 17, 2012, 08:17 PM

13. I resent scaremongering

I appreciate the facts, thank you.

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Response to siligut (Reply #13)

Mon Jun 18, 2012, 01:18 AM

17. You're welcome!

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Response to siligut (Reply #4)

Sun Jun 17, 2012, 07:53 PM

9. Thats is the latest on Weather Underground

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/wp201205.html

The yhave it as a tropical storm, reaching the main Japanese island about 3am Wed local time.

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Response to Odin2005 (Reply #2)

Sun Jun 17, 2012, 07:50 PM

8. Three meltdowns in-progress for over a year now....

...a cooling pond with over 1500 fuel rods exposed to air and below that one is another one with in excess of 11,000 fuel rods in it. A leak in the #2 reactor that they can't figure out where it is and which now only has a few centimeters of water in the ''containment'' vessel. The latest radioactivity readings of which were over 880 milliseverts per hour.

- But yeah, you're right. What's to be scared of???? A storm with hurricane level winds will probably cool things off quite a bit......



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Response to DeSwiss (Reply #8)

Sun Jun 17, 2012, 08:05 PM

12. It will be a weak TS by the time it gets to Fukushima.

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Response to Odin2005 (Reply #12)

Mon Jun 18, 2012, 07:19 PM

22. According to the map you posted, the storm won't go near the reactor areas

And you're right, this storm is going to weaken once it gets over land, and the waters in northern Japan are still relatively cool, so it will be nowhere near as strong in eastern and northern Japan as it is in the subtropical waters between Okinawa and Kyushu.

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Response to Odin2005 (Reply #12)

Mon Jun 18, 2012, 08:02 PM

23. The official forecast by the Japan Meteorological Agency

predicts heavy rain and strong winds for the reactor area (Fukushima Hamadori) late tonight and extending into tomorrow:

http://www.jma.go.jp/jp/yoho/313.html

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Response to Odin2005 (Reply #2)

Tue Jun 19, 2012, 09:07 AM

27. Even at TS winds could be trouble

for Reactor Four... so no, it is not that scaremongering. The structure is greatly weakened.

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Response to stockholmer (Original post)

Sun Jun 17, 2012, 07:08 PM

3. This is why Japan is a nation that makes movies about giant monsters destroying everything...

Those "monsters" are metaphors about things like atomic bombs, earthquakes, tsunamis and typhoons.

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Response to stockholmer (Original post)

Sun Jun 17, 2012, 07:18 PM

5. My prayers will be with them,

as well as any spare cash I have to send for disaster relief. I hope it weakens exponentially as soon as it hits land.
Japan, you may be the home of some of the most insane things to ever be invented, but damn it I love you.

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Response to stockholmer (Original post)

Sun Jun 17, 2012, 07:47 PM

7. That area can't handle even a tropical storm

Poor Japan

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Response to stockholmer (Original post)

Sun Jun 17, 2012, 07:54 PM

10. Tracking map from Weather Underground...



Sid

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Response to SidDithers (Reply #10)

Sun Jun 17, 2012, 08:43 PM

16. they appear to have it tracking slightly east of the OP map

At least it's weaker....

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Response to stockholmer (Original post)

Sun Jun 17, 2012, 08:03 PM

11. I would like to hope it starts vering left (pun) towards the Yellow Sea.

Give China a soaking instead of Japan.

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Response to stockholmer (Original post)

Sun Jun 17, 2012, 08:33 PM

14. Glad I'm not in Okinawa

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Response to d_r (Reply #14)

Mon Jun 18, 2012, 01:19 AM

18. I was thinking the same thing.

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Response to stockholmer (Original post)

Sun Jun 17, 2012, 08:35 PM

15. Good lord help us if Spent Fuel Pool #4 keels over

It was always talk of quakes, not of this!

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Response to flamingdem (Reply #15)

Mon Jun 18, 2012, 11:05 AM

19. Hey flaming dem...

Are you still keeping vigilant track of the happenings in Fukushima? I read a bit but
have to admit that I have tuned out. I know...I'm weak. We're still off milk for the
most part and I am still very concerned.

The media blackout is just unbelievable. Hang in there!

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Response to CoffeeCat (Reply #19)

Mon Jun 18, 2012, 06:54 PM

20. I started up with milk a long while ago

Can't deal with Almond milk in my coffee! It's hard to be vigilant when we can't get reliable information.

I guess the current amounts pale in comparison to what will waft our way if fuel pool 4 goes.

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Response to stockholmer (Original post)

Mon Jun 18, 2012, 06:57 PM

21. Lord have mercy as if Japan didn't already have enough on its' plate.

Thanks for the thread, stockholmer.

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Response to stockholmer (Original post)

Tue Jun 19, 2012, 04:39 AM

24. I've been watching NHK News

THe typhoon has made landfall on Honshu at about the spot shown on the map (follow the dotted line). Strong winds with waves up to 9 meters / 30 feet in height.

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Response to Art_from_Ark (Reply #24)

Tue Jun 19, 2012, 09:06 AM

26. My heart goes out to the people there. nt

 

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Response to nanabugg (Reply #26)

Tue Jun 19, 2012, 12:03 PM

29. There have been several injuries so far (32 confirmed as of this writing)

and a few people have had to be evacuated, but no known fatalities. The eye is passing over my area as I write this (1:00 a.m. Japan time), so the winds and rain have died down somewhat but they will be picking up again.

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Response to stockholmer (Original post)

Tue Jun 19, 2012, 09:03 AM

25. Kick. Any updates?...nt

Sid

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Response to SidDithers (Reply #25)

Tue Jun 19, 2012, 01:51 PM

30. The heaviest rain/winds are currently in the reactor area

according to Yahoo Japan and NHK

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Response to SidDithers (Reply #25)

Tue Jun 19, 2012, 09:38 PM

31. Updates

One confirmed fatality-- a man died when the prefabricated building he was in collapsed. 55 confirmed injuries. 61 houses partially damaged, more than 100 partially flooded in scattered parts of the country. No reports of injuries or major damage from Fukushima.

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20120620/k10015958081000.html

This storm is simply known as Typhoon #4 in Japan. There is also Typhoon #5 which is currently affecting western Japan.

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Response to Art_from_Ark (Reply #31)

Tue Jun 19, 2012, 09:43 PM

32. Thanks n/t

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Response to stockholmer (Original post)

Wed Jun 20, 2012, 12:13 AM

33. Before this typhoon reached my area, they were making very dire predictions

Winds reaching up to 65 mph, up to 10 inches of rain, some intensive lightning-- but none of that came to pass around here, 30 miles from the Pacific Ocean. It was more like a moderately intensive thunderstorm, without the thunder. Just after daybreak, I looked around the neighborhood and saw a few branches and leaves scattered in the streets, a few bicycles were knocked over, but nothing major. The air seemed particularly fresh, hoverver, and now the day seems especially bright and hot.

And looking at the local Fukushima news, it seems as though there was no major damage there, either, and the only news regarding the Daiichi nuclear complex that I have found is that sea-based containment work has been cancelled for today, presumably due to choppy waters.

http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/e-japan/fukushima/news/20120619-OYT8T01194.htm

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