A Cautionary Take Away for Americans about the Brexit

[Chasstev365]

I've been in some heated, nasty exchanges on DU over the Democrat primary, but the GB votes shows there are a lot of low info, ignorant voters on both sides of the Atlantic.

Donald Trump could win in November.

I loved Bernie Sanders progressive ideas and will continue to support them. However, there is no way in hell I will help Trump with action or inaction on my part and I will vote for Hillary Clinton in November.

[calimary]

1. If I gently may -

it's the DEMOCRATIC primary. NOT the "Democrat" primary. That's the GOP's bastardization of the name of our party. Seems to me we shouldn't be reinforcing it by using THEIR term for us.

[Chasstev365]

3. Relax: It was a typo. Democrat Party bugs thr crap out of me as well.

[metalbot]

2. I've been terrible at Trump predictions for the last year

A summary of my incorrect predictions so far:

I didn't expect him to run, I expected him to drop out, I certainly didn't expect him to win.

A month ago, I would have said that Trump was actually very dangerous for Clinton, because post convention he'll attack her from both the right and the left, and continue to push her on issues where her popularity suffers.

I'm much less concerned about a Trump presidency than I was then. He's absolutely tanking in the polls. He's damn near broke, and the Republican establishment doesn't want to throw a billion dollars towards a candidate that even they admit is pretty repulsive. He's shown no inclination to pick up the populist left vote. His campaign is in shambles, and he's got no ground game. Clinton has 2-1 odds in the predictive markets. The Fed isn't going to touch interest rates for a while due to Brexit. Trump's plan seems to be "let me see if I can make Clinton almost as unpopular as me, then roll the dice". That's not a campaign strategy.