Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
Wed May 23, 2012, 10:19 AM May 2012

I say Bull--to the Q-Poll that has Mittens up by 6 in Florida--look at the Demos

Quinnipiac Poll has Mittens taking a six-point lead over Obama in Florida 47-41, but I guess you could manufacture a lead such as that with these kind of demos:

640 Republicans Interviewed
507 Independents Interviewed
493 Democrats Interviewed

So, 39% of the survey are Republicans, 31% are Indies & ONLY 30% are Democrats. 70% are GOP and Indies.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=1752

scroll down to bottom and select 'demographic Summary'

According to Florida Voter Registration Records there are 40% Democrats, 36% Republicans and 24% Indies in Florida, thru April of this year. Yet Quinnipiac has fewer Dems interviewed than either GOP or Indies!

http://election.dos.state.fl.us/nvra/history.asp

4 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
I say Bull--to the Q-Poll that has Mittens up by 6 in Florida--look at the Demos (Original Post) WI_DEM May 2012 OP
That's pretty blatant right there. Cali_Democrat May 2012 #1
WTF is Quinnipiac thinking posting something like this!?!?! WOW, undersampled and un even uponit7771 May 2012 #2
Why surprised? earthside May 2012 #3
Come to Wisconsin then we can use your help! WI_DEM May 2012 #4

uponit7771

(90,302 posts)
2. WTF is Quinnipiac thinking posting something like this!?!?! WOW, undersampled and un even
Wed May 23, 2012, 10:24 AM
May 2012

...representation

earthside

(6,960 posts)
3. Why surprised?
Wed May 23, 2012, 10:40 AM
May 2012

From what I read in the poll press release, we don't know how the respondents were qualified, that is did they ask how certain people were likely to vote in November.

And that may account for the weight of the party sample.

I don't think Quninnipiac is trying to do a bias poll ... that is certainly not in their own self-interest as a credible polling organization.

Plus, I think it is a silly game to immediately trash polls just because one comes out that doesn't have the results you might want to see.

Frankly, I think (as the Obama campaign spokespeople are always saying) that this is going to be a very close and hard fought campaign. I also think that most people are seriously underestimating just how potent is going to be the hundreds of millions of dollars that the rightwing super PACs are going to spend.

I, for one, am not surprised that Rmoney is ahead in this snapshot poll -- this is Florida after all.

More worrying to me is the Wisconsin recall election. I sure hope the DNC and Obama campaigns are pulling out all the stops for Barrett. If Walker wins, it is going to be a real downer and demoralizer for Democrats and progressive around the whole country.

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
4. Come to Wisconsin then we can use your help!
Wed May 23, 2012, 10:50 AM
May 2012

p.s.
these polls should be debunked if at all possible because the media uses them to set the narrative and uninformed voters fall for this kind of stuff.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»I say Bull--to the Q-Poll...