Yeah, about that Quinnipiac poll ...

[brooklynite]

Daily Kos:

Those who have read my poll musings over the past six years on Daily Kos know that I tend to cling to a simple maxim about polls with "holy shit" headlines, not unlike the one visited upon us by Quinnipiac on Wednesday morning.

That maxim is: "if you have one set of results, and everyone else has a different set of results, the odds are that 'everyone else' isn't the one that is wrong."

It is a credo I have employed when numbers were good for Republicans, but also one I have employed when numbers were good for Democrats. It is not an infallible motto—pollsters can certainly function as a "canary in a coal mine," planting themselves on the leading edge of a race that is undergoing dramatic change.

But sometimes, you just get a wrong'un. And despite the efforts of a number of voices in the political Twitter pundit community to take this result seriously, it just seems like this one doesn't stand up to scrutiny very well.

[pnwmom]

1. Also, the poll sample, after they weighted it, was skewed Republican.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=468723

[brooklynite]

2. Even RCP, which has always skewed Republican, still gives Clinton the edge over everyone else...