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Tue May 15, 2012, 06:56 AM

New CBS/NYT poll: Romney leads Obama among women



(CNN) - Mitt Romney's support among registered voters who are women has grown and is slightly above President Barack Obama's, according to a poll released Monday.

The CBS News/New York Times poll shows Obama's support among female voters dropping five points over the last two months, from 49% to 44%. Romney is up 3 from 43% to 46% within that coveted demographic, according to the survey. The margin is still within the survey's sampling error, however.


Prior polling, including a mid-April CNN/ORC International poll, showed Obama ahead among women, with the CNN survey giving the president a 16-point advantage. That survey took place in the wake of a Democratic strategist and CNN contributor saying Romney's wife had "never worked a day in her life."

Monday's numbers fall within the survey's sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points.

<snip>

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/05/14/poll-romney-up-obama-down-among-women/

Is it accurate? I don't know but I do think the President is fighting an uphill battle.

25 replies, 3100 views

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Arrow 25 replies Author Time Post
Reply New CBS/NYT poll: Romney leads Obama among women (Original post)
cali May 2012 OP
Motown_Johnny May 2012 #1
ananda May 2012 #2
madokie May 2012 #13
lamp_shade May 2012 #3
deacon May 2012 #4
jschurchin May 2012 #5
sarge43 May 2012 #10
asjr May 2012 #6
nanabugg May 2012 #7
leveymg May 2012 #8
originalpckelly May 2012 #9
Mc Mike May 2012 #11
obamanut2012 May 2012 #12
Riley18 May 2012 #14
spanone May 2012 #15
pnwest May 2012 #16
ProudToBeBlueInRhody May 2012 #17
Cali_Democrat May 2012 #18
ProSense May 2012 #19
Autumn May 2012 #20
GoCubsGo May 2012 #21
boxman15 May 2012 #22
Mr.Turnip May 2012 #23
jenmito May 2012 #24
Ganja Ninja May 2012 #25

Response to cali (Original post)

Tue May 15, 2012, 07:01 AM

1. This poll is also upside down on same sex marriage equality

Neither the numbers for women voters or for same sex marriage match any other recent poll.


I would question the methodology here.


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Response to cali (Original post)

Tue May 15, 2012, 07:02 AM

2. BS

I don't believe it.

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Response to ananda (Reply #2)

Tue May 15, 2012, 08:14 AM

13. Not for one second do I believe it also

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Response to cali (Original post)

Tue May 15, 2012, 07:14 AM

4. Candidate for biggest BS poll of 2012.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Tue May 15, 2012, 07:30 AM

5. What did they do?

Stand outside a Catholic church and ask "Are you registered to vote? Who you going to vote for?"

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Response to jschurchin (Reply #5)

Tue May 15, 2012, 08:06 AM

10. Better yet, focus on middle age Republican women who are Mormon.

Just about guarantees the result.

One off polls are useless. Further polling results can be manipulated by focus group and type and phrasing of the questions.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Tue May 15, 2012, 07:49 AM

6. I don't believe that poll for one minute.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Tue May 15, 2012, 07:57 AM

7. These polls should incite the base to get out there more. I doubt the poll but

 

it should be used as a rallying call.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Tue May 15, 2012, 07:57 AM

8. CBS/NYT pollsters oughta face fraud charges. Completely bogus.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Tue May 15, 2012, 08:02 AM

9. Sounds like there are methodology errors.

They used only the people who would take the poll again in their last sample, and it might skew it a certain way. People who might be more likely to repeat a poll might also be the people who have an axe to grind.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Tue May 15, 2012, 08:11 AM

11. Steal it first with b.s. polls, then you can steal it with electronic machines.

Pay off the media with $8 zillion dollars worth of attack ad expenditures, so they turn a blind eye.

+1 to your post, cal, but Mellon repug CBS and the Times don't mind lying, to help their repug friends.

If the election isn't close, they can't steal it.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Tue May 15, 2012, 08:13 AM

12. Maybe in Bizarro land

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Response to cali (Original post)

Tue May 15, 2012, 08:27 AM

14. This "poll" suggests that the fix is in

because if it is close they will steal again.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Tue May 15, 2012, 08:27 AM

15. b u l l s h i t.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Tue May 15, 2012, 09:39 AM

16. doubt it

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Response to ProudToBeBlueInRhody (Reply #17)

Tue May 15, 2012, 09:48 AM

18. Lots of info there. Uphill battle? Not so much.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Tue May 15, 2012, 09:54 AM

19. Here's

more: http://www.democraticunderground.com/1002686811

CNN left out the details of the "poll."

Silly season.



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Response to cali (Original post)

Tue May 15, 2012, 10:11 AM

20. I smell Bullshit

no fucking way in hell does he lead Obama among women.

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Response to Autumn (Reply #20)

Tue May 15, 2012, 10:12 AM

21. The stench is overwhelming.

They must have polled exclusively Mormon women.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Tue May 15, 2012, 10:21 AM

22. The poll's methodology is way off.

Please check out the thread on this poll in the Politics 2012 forum. Someone, I'm forgetting who I apologize, thoroughly debunks their polling method.

This is a bullshit poll. I don't know if it's meant to be that way or not, but it plays perfectly into the media's "HOLYSHITCLOSEELECTION!!!!!" meme.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Tue May 15, 2012, 10:42 AM

23. Yeah here's what I see, Obama is at 50% Approval in that poll.

and Presidents DON'T lose when they are at 50% or higher, they usually out perform their approval by a point or two.

the general way the poll is done makes no sense ether.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Tue May 15, 2012, 10:48 AM

24. When Joe Scarborough bragged about that poll this morning, Chuck Todd said he has serious doubts

about their methodology and accuracy.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Tue May 15, 2012, 10:51 AM

25. Of course he does.

I've said it before the media will have Romney ahead right up until 2 weeks before election day and then say it's too close to call.

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