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Fri Apr 13, 2012, 08:11 AM

Is this what November will look like?



from the Daily Kos ==> http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/04/11/1082476/-Obama-leads-Romney-by-landslide-numbers

Using TPM's aggregation of the latest poll numbers, here is the current state of the electoral battleground. I'm even keeping in Rasmussen polls to give the GOP an unwarranted bump in their numbers.

Michigan, New Mexico and Wisconsin really aren't swing states anymore. And while Missouri doesn't feel like a swing state anymore, it sports a closer margin than most of the other states on this list. In fact, other than Iowa, nothing on this list looks particularly tight at the moment.


Romney's ahead by less than five in Iowa.

Obama's ahead by less than five in Pennsylvania, Florida, and North Carolina.

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Reply Is this what November will look like? (Original post)
Bucky Apr 2012 OP
JoePhilly Apr 2012 #1
Tesha Apr 2012 #2
Ineeda Apr 2012 #3
lovemydog Apr 2012 #4
madokie Apr 2012 #5
GoCubsGo Apr 2012 #6
Bucky Apr 2012 #10
HereSince1628 Apr 2012 #7
nevergiveup Apr 2012 #8
Exultant Democracy Apr 2012 #9

Response to Bucky (Original post)

Fri Apr 13, 2012, 08:23 AM

1. Looks about right ... Obama has multiple paths to the magic number.

Romney has to get a clean sweep to even get close to the magic number.

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Response to Bucky (Original post)


Response to Bucky (Original post)

Fri Apr 13, 2012, 08:26 AM

3. I'm a bit worried about

voter suppression and bogus voting machines, but if things are (mostly) on the up and up, it's looking great.

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Response to Bucky (Original post)

Fri Apr 13, 2012, 08:29 AM

4. I hope so and I hope

we persuade all the fence sitters that we cannot afford a republican majority in either house of congress. Not in 2012. Not in 2014. Not in 2016.

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Response to Bucky (Original post)

Fri Apr 13, 2012, 08:31 AM

5. I'm sure hoping the blue state folks are going to save my bacon

I used to think that our electronic vote counting machines were where our problem lies but lately I've noticed that many of my neighbors and friends and used to be friends are as nasty of a bunch of pukes as you can get. Our leaders wouldn't even give the President the benefit of the doubt and show him some respect when he came to OK a couple weeks ago.
Pukes are a bunch of nasty sorry fuckers and theres no other way to put it. Sorry un-American bastids and biotches

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Response to Bucky (Original post)

Fri Apr 13, 2012, 08:31 AM

6. Close...

I'm not convinced that AZ, IA, and possibly MO will go red. I have seen multiple polls that have the President up over Rmoney in Arizona. There are enough Hispanics there to swing the vote. I dare say this could happen in Texas, too, if the Mittster continues to say really stupid stuff.

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Response to GoCubsGo (Reply #6)

Fri Apr 13, 2012, 07:37 PM

10. No, not Texas. Sorry, my state ain't that open-minded.

We're not just Republican down here, we're tribally Republican. Half my neighbors would vote for Judas Iscariot if he go the Republican nomination. A few of my Baptist neighbors are close to convinced that's who they're getting, ignorant feebs.

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Response to Bucky (Original post)

Fri Apr 13, 2012, 09:18 AM

7. Living in WI...it still feels pretty Kochy

But with all the s!@# being flung into the air it's hard to have much perspective.

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Response to Bucky (Original post)

Fri Apr 13, 2012, 10:19 AM

8. It is my understanding that Obama

has a huge ground game in Iowa. A couple of visits by Obama to Iowa this fall and it goes blue. IMHO

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Response to Bucky (Original post)

Fri Apr 13, 2012, 10:54 AM

9. Iowa will flip, I wouldn't be surprised if WV does too

unless something unforeseen happens. The anti-Mormon backlash on the right is only getting started and the evangelicals in IA and WV will not be reliable supporters for Rmoney.

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