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Fri Apr 6, 2012, 08:41 AM

China doomsayer sees crash coming


HONG KONG (MarketWatch) — China’s consumption boom is drawing to a close, according to one economist’s contrarian view, which calls for no growth — or even a contraction — in the Chinese economy and the advent of an era of deflation and weaker spending.

Investments leveraged to the rise of the Chinese consumer, ranging from Australian miners to luxury-handbag makers and even iPhones are due for a reality check, according to Jim Walker, founder and managing director of the Hong Kong-based economic research company Asianomics.

While much of the analyst community has touted China’s growing domestic demand in recent years, Walker sees the Chinese consumer as unlikely to show much resilience, now that the economy is on a weakening trend and easy credit has run its course.

“The contrarian call we have is to short or underweight consumer plays until we get through this,” said Walker. ................(more)

The complete piece is at: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/china-doomsayer-sees-crash-coming-2012-04-05



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Reply China doomsayer sees crash coming (Original post)
marmar Apr 2012 OP
xchrom Apr 2012 #1
Javaman Apr 2012 #2
obxhead Apr 2012 #3

Response to marmar (Original post)

Fri Apr 6, 2012, 08:45 AM

1. Du rec. Nt

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Response to marmar (Original post)

Fri Apr 6, 2012, 09:21 AM

2. As screwed up as our financial sector is here in the US...

China's is far worse in regards to a lack of regulations.

on top of that china's housing industry is slated for a massive collapse. There are entire ghost cities built with no one wanting to move in.

http://www.time.com/time/photogallery/0,29307,1975397,00.html

http://grist.org/cities/2011-03-31-chinas-ghost-cities-and-the-biggest-property-bubble-of-all/

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Response to Javaman (Reply #2)

Fri Apr 6, 2012, 11:18 AM

3. Wow

Those are some crazy links. It seems like the lack of improper financing is the only thing still propping this insanity up.

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