General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsEnd strategy seems clear: Deadlock Sunday, Sell off Monday, Clear CR Tuesday.
Yesterday [http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251330730| I predicted gloom and doom Sunday] and that the markets would enter Monday with a sell off and that would give the Senate cover to come in with a life raft of a clean CR/Debt ceiling bill with large bipartisan numbers that would force the House to vote and pass the bill.
This ABC report would seem to affirm that scenario:
http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2013/10/talks-to-end-shutdown-raise-debt-ceiling-deadlocked/
Talks on ending the government shutdown and preventing default have once again deadlocked, but this time it is Democrats who are demanding changes to current law as a condition for ending the impasse.
With the two sides now negotiating to extend government funding until at least January 31, Democrats are now insisting on spending increases they want to end most of the cuts put in place as part of the so-called sequester. Democrats are still willing to accept a short-term deal to reopen the government at sequester spending levels (the Senate, of course, passed a 6-week extension on those terms), but now that talks are centered on funding the government into 2014, they are insisting on undoing some of sequester cuts. To Republicans, this is a non-starter, unless the sequester spending cuts are replaced with cuts to entitlement programs and that is a non-starter for Democrats.
The impasse makes it more likely there will be no agreement when markets reopen Monday morning. If an agreement is not soon reached, it may be impossible to pass anything before October 17, the day the Treasury Department says the government risks default if Congress does not extend the governments ability to borrow money.
In this crazy bizzaro world the worse it seems today the better the chances tomorrow.
zazen
(2,978 posts)license, which I would appreciate if you would put up personally."
What a radical thought--instead of defending against proposed cuts to our programs, make actual demands of the Republicans?
And this would then enable them to save a little face, if they can then say that, well, they had to compromise in order to preserve something.
I'm realizing here that "saving face" requires an opponent who's perceived as strong enough to make some capitulation acceptable. The Dem leadership has hardly been living up to that standard until recently.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)In their bazzaro world they probably could save face by telling the world they had gotten reassurance that the President had decided not nationalize the country's ammunition manufacturers.
dogknob
(2,431 posts)...kudos.
I also remember that an innocent person got offed in the endgame scenario. Let's hope that isn't deemed necessary -- unless we want it made absolutely clear who (and how many) the PTB deem to be expendable.
zazen
(2,978 posts)That scene was chilling--"it'd be as if she had never existed."
I didn't mean to endorse his tactics at all--just that the negotiation seemed "reasonable" (at least in the beginning.)
Warren DeMontague
(80,708 posts)hmmm, novel idea.
Raine1967
(11,589 posts)this time it is Democrats who are demanding changes to current law as a condition for ending the impasse.
Just Wow. Thanks grantcart.
BumRushDaShow
(128,502 posts)the McConnell rule again.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021931619
Seems we're back at this same place from a year ago.
BluegrassStateBlues
(881 posts)And the House GOP will vote to let us default.
What happens after the dust settles is left to your imagination.
A HERETIC I AM
(24,362 posts)grantcart
(53,061 posts)Last Updated: Fri, 11 Oct '13 | 5:14 PM ET
So how is that from the last 2 1/2 hours?
Thanks
A HERETIC I AM
(24,362 posts)But the site I gave in my link above, CNBC.Com DOES indeed show a NEGATIVE opening for tomorrow. (currently down 99)
The site I was quoting from was CNNMoney, which still shows a +142 on their Dow Futures page;
http://money.cnn.com/data/premarket/?iid=MKT_Sub
When I looked at it earlier, it was showing +136, but it isn't accurate apparently and hasn't been updated.
The CNBC page shows when it was last updated, and currently the last update was 6:19 PM Eastern. Click on the hyperlink I made above for CNBC.com and look just below the "DOW (Mini)" section. It will show the time of the latest update. In fact, It updated while I was putting together this post. When I started, it was -104.
I am terribly sorry for the mistake. I had no intention to mislead.
Edited for clarification
grantcart
(53,061 posts)I am just trying to make sure I understand what people are saying.
Thanks for the clarification.
joshcryer
(62,269 posts)A HERETIC I AM
(24,362 posts)So it seems they aren't updating nearly as often as the CNBC page is.
As of 8:15 CNBC is showing -82, updated @ 8:09.
Weird. Anyway, and again, I regret my error.
Ruby the Liberal
(26,219 posts)Stock market is open, but bond markets aren't, and the banks are all closed. I wouldn't expect enough volume to make a splash big enough for Republicans to need a diaper change. Tuesday on the other hand...
hooverville29
(163 posts)grantcart
(53,061 posts)could have a bigger impact, especially if no buyers show up.
former9thward
(31,941 posts)Does not seem like any selloff. http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/stocks/futures/
hooverville29
(163 posts)Tomorrow should be 'reserved' and looking for other signals, because it's just stocks tomorrow (Columbus Day), but if Washington is 'busted' on Tuesday, then so will Wall Street be busted, along with others around the globe.
former9thward
(31,941 posts)I believe they know the situation better than internet posters.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)former9thward
(31,941 posts)bluestate10
(10,942 posts)holding it's breath, wondering whether extreme terrorists will bring down the US economy and destroy a debt rating and reputation for reliability that required the nation's entire history for it to gain.
former9thward
(31,941 posts)Ruby the Liberal
(26,219 posts)Stock market is open, but the bond market, the Fed and the banks are closed.
Pretzel_Warrior
(8,361 posts)Dems dickering on the budget numbers is WHAT YOU'D EXPECT in a budget vote. More false equivalence by saying this is on par with Repuke attempts to roll back, defund, or otherwise delay Obamacare.