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Sun Feb 24, 2013, 01:18 AM

***Oscar Predictions ... post them here ... :)***

Best Picture: Argo.
Best Director: Spielberg (Lincoln)
Best Actress : Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook)
Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln)
Best Actress Supporting Roll: Ann Hathaway Les Misérables
Best Actor Supporting Roll: Christoph Waltz Django Unchained
The rest … hmmm would just all be a wild guess. Think Ben Affleck should have been nominated for best director but didn't. Argo was politically correct from the beginning of the movie, Zero Dark Thirty was not. Loved Beasts Of The Southern Wild, Diango Unchained, Les Misérables too.

I've seen all of the movies nominated for best picture ... what do you think?

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Arrow 53 replies Author Time Post
Reply ***Oscar Predictions ... post them here ... :)*** (Original post)
doublethink Feb 2013 OP
Warpy Feb 2013 #1
doublethink Feb 2013 #5
JCMach1 Feb 2013 #32
Beaverhausen Feb 2013 #2
doublethink Feb 2013 #8
WCGreen Feb 2013 #3
Manifestor_of_Light Feb 2013 #4
HiPointDem Feb 2013 #6
doublethink Feb 2013 #9
geek tragedy Feb 2013 #7
Beaverhausen Feb 2013 #14
whatchamacallit Feb 2013 #48
Tx4obama Feb 2013 #10
doublethink Feb 2013 #13
Tx4obama Feb 2013 #18
doublethink Feb 2013 #19
Tx4obama Feb 2013 #20
doublethink Feb 2013 #23
BainsBane Feb 2013 #11
doublethink Feb 2013 #15
BainsBane Feb 2013 #16
doublethink Feb 2013 #21
Beaverhausen Feb 2013 #27
doublethink Feb 2013 #40
lindysalsagal Feb 2013 #51
Brother Buzz Feb 2013 #12
doublethink Feb 2013 #17
Son of Gob Feb 2013 #22
doublethink Feb 2013 #25
JCMach1 Feb 2013 #30
TeamPooka Feb 2013 #24
doublethink Feb 2013 #26
HereSince1628 Feb 2013 #39
doublethink Feb 2013 #41
graham4anything Feb 2013 #28
Lucinda Feb 2013 #33
graham4anything Feb 2013 #34
JCMach1 Feb 2013 #29
theKed Feb 2013 #37
JCMach1 Feb 2013 #45
theKed Feb 2013 #46
JCMach1 Feb 2013 #31
graham4anything Feb 2013 #35
whatchamacallit Feb 2013 #53
ananda Feb 2013 #36
doublethink Feb 2013 #43
CTyankee Feb 2013 #38
doublethink Feb 2013 #44
MadHound Feb 2013 #42
Brigid Feb 2013 #47
MineralMan Feb 2013 #49
Beaverhausen Feb 2013 #50
doublethink Feb 2013 #52

Response to doublethink (Original post)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 01:22 AM

1. Best Picture: Lincoln

They're going to want to steer clear of offending thin skinned Republicans this year.

Lincoln is a non controversial choice.

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Response to Warpy (Reply #1)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 01:39 AM

5. I thought Lincoln for the longest time also but ...

now I'm thinking Argo in winning the Golden Globe, and setting the tone for awhile ... above Lincoln and Zero Dark Thirty, moved it into the progressive hollywood mindset ... which I have no problem with. We shall see.

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Response to Warpy (Reply #1)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 05:21 AM

32. What a waste of good acting, could have been a great movie with a good script

and a better director.

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Response to doublethink (Original post)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 01:22 AM

2. I agree with all your predictions except director

I think Ang Lee might get director. I saw 6 of the 10 nominated films.

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Response to Beaverhausen (Reply #2)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 01:49 AM

8. Interesting year for director for sure. n.t.

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Response to doublethink (Original post)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 01:24 AM

3. Sadly, I will not get my much earned Academy Award nomination for spending way to much time

while in pajama pants on a certain Web Site, I'm talking to you, Skinner, so I refuse to even guess who will be nominated.

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Response to doublethink (Original post)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 01:35 AM

4. Life of Pi will get best visual effects and best cinematography.

Possibly best original score.

Ang Lee always makes stunningly beautiful films.

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Response to doublethink (Original post)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 01:45 AM

6. i predict a hole will swallow up all the posers making crummy films.

 

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Response to HiPointDem (Reply #6)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 02:00 AM

9. So did you see any films this last year that didn't get any recognition?

Maybe you could share some with us?

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Response to doublethink (Original post)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 01:47 AM

7. The Dark Knight Rises will get shafted.

Oh, wait, that already happened.

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Response to geek tragedy (Reply #7)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 02:10 AM

14. I agree with you on that

Chris Nolan should have gotten something for that.

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Response to doublethink (Original post)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 02:03 AM

10. Regarding Argo - I think they said on the TV box yesterday that the big fight scene ...


... at the airport or on the plane or something like had not happened like it was portrayed in the film - they made that up.

Haven't seen the Argo yet and probably won't, but Lincoln and Silver Linings Playbook are on my 'want to see' list.



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Response to Tx4obama (Reply #10)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 02:09 AM

13. Those are the two you have to see Txobama ... besides Lincoln and maybe LesMes ... lol ...

seriously ... rent them at some point on DVD or whatever. hugs.

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Response to doublethink (Reply #13)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 02:17 AM

18. I saw an older version of LesMes not long ago ...


this one from 2000: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0230534/?ref_=sr_5

I enjoyed that one because there was NO singing in it




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Response to Tx4obama (Reply #18)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 02:20 AM

19. Arrrrrrrggggggggg singing is the best part of a musical !!!

Big hugs !!!

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Response to doublethink (Reply #19)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 02:25 AM

20. Ah, BUT LesMes was not originally a musical - it was a BOOK :)




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Response to Tx4obama (Reply #20)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 02:30 AM

23. Okay got me there ... maybe it's because I'm a musician too ...

and well whatever ... luv ya !!!

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Response to doublethink (Original post)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 02:05 AM

11. I haven't seen any of the movies

which means my predictions are sure to win. I'm guessing Lincoln for a lot of awards, definitely best actor and maybe best picture. Spielberg will win best director.

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Response to BainsBane (Reply #11)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 02:12 AM

15. Argo Best Pic ... but yeah ... Lincoln for the other two ... maybe best coustume ... and such...

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Response to doublethink (Reply #15)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 02:15 AM

16. Jennifer Lawrence

best actress. I think she should have to pay her dues a while longer, but there doesn't seem to be another likely pick in the category.

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Response to BainsBane (Reply #16)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 02:29 AM

21. She did a really good job ... hated the move she was in before ...

The Hunter Games ... lame ..... she redemmed herself in this one ... Silver Linings Playbook big time.

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Response to doublethink (Reply #21)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 02:53 AM

27. See Winters Bone. She was amazing!

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Response to Beaverhausen (Reply #27)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 11:56 AM

40. Okay I'll check that one out, thanks! n.t.

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Response to doublethink (Reply #15)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 05:22 PM

51. Didn't see Argo: Hostage films keep me awake for weeks.

But I know everyone liked it.
I don't go to Dead father films, either.

Guess that's today's rorschock test.

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Response to doublethink (Original post)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 02:07 AM

12. Oscar will return, in all his glory, before the midterm elections

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Response to Brother Buzz (Reply #12)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 02:16 AM

17. Not that Oscar and not this one either ... sigh ...

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Response to doublethink (Original post)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 02:29 AM

22. Here's who I think SHOULD win, in my opinion

I've seen all the movies except Life of Pi and Les Mis, I'm going to try to watch those tomorrow.

Best Picture: Silver Linings Playbook
Best Director: David O. Russell
Best Actress : Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook)
Best Actor: Denzel Washington (Flight)
Best Actress Supporting Roll: Haven't seen Les Mis yet.
Best Actor Supporting Roll: Robert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook)

As far as who WILL win, I think your picks are probably 100% right.

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Response to Son of Gob (Reply #22)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 02:45 AM

25. Ann Hathaway's part in Les Misérables will make you cry ...

did me and I'm a 'tough guy' so I like like to think ...

I LOVED SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK ... would be of any of these movies the one I would buy being the old softy longing for love ... yeah whatever ... movie ... this year.

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Response to doublethink (Reply #25)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 05:18 AM

30. Hathaway was the only good thing in a truly dreadful movie

It should be a race between Silver Linings Playbook and Django....

But, no doubt it will be business as usual.

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Response to doublethink (Original post)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 02:34 AM

24. Best Picture - I think Silver Linings Playbook will win.

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Response to TeamPooka (Reply #24)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 02:48 AM

26. Love that movie ...

buying it on DVD for my niece ...

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Response to doublethink (Reply #26)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 10:48 AM

39. (discussion of plot features warning ) Is your love related to your personal interest

in sports?

I saw the movie. It was good, though I thought with some unevenness. And I'll admit that I haven't figured out if that unevenness was a consequence of truly artful movie making (reflecting the unevenness of life with emotional dysfunction) or if the movie makers were just unable to sustain the quality of the film's better moments--such as the scenes of 'Pat' in the first nights back home--the irrational responses and the fear of neighbor's taking notice.

Setting aside seeing the movie as themes around mental illness, some of which were too obvious... I thought that the movie is an interesting "period-piece" that has now immortalized in film much of current American pop-culture interests. I wonder if the movie's popularity can't be seen as the films producers/investors taking advantage of American's interest in recreational voyeurism of interpersonal dysfunction (as in "housewives 0f___" , "16 and pregnant", "Hoarders", etc), competitive dancing, sports fanaticism, etc..

I understand Chris Matthew's interest because of its Philadelphia connection, because the SO similarly loves "The Fugitive" because parts of it were filmed in the Pullman neighborhood she lived in during 50s' and early '60's'.

I wonder if the tail-gating scenes and tv game-watching scenes provide a similar 'connection' for sports fans and if that could be part of the movie's appeal?

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Response to HereSince1628 (Reply #39)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 12:00 PM

41. I think you're on to something here ...

My mom (82) is really into Dancing With The Stars ... me sports and by nature a hopeless romantic etc... along with being a bit neurotic at times ... ... so no wonder I really like Silver Linings Playbook!

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Response to doublethink (Original post)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 05:06 AM

28. Emmanuelle Riva Best Actress. Daniel Day Lewis Best actor.Michael Haneke best director

 

Picture-Argo. Which was NOT historically correct as the CIA gets the credit, when it was Canada that should have gotten more of the credit.
LINCOLN should be the best movie of the year, as it was the best movie of the year.
Argo was like an old ABC movie of the week on TV. It was just not out of the ordinary,
and oddly enough, would not win without George Clooney being the producer, and the snub for Affleck as director(who didn't deserve it anyhow).
If Affleck was so good, he would have gotten the votes. Period.End of story. He didn't.
Because he is not seen by other directors as a great director.He is adequate.
And I disagree with your view about Zero Dark Thirty, which showed torture did NOT work.
Don't think Affleck is a very good actor, never did and don't think Arkin should have been nominated.
BUT they say write in votes do not count and will be tossed. IF alot of people write Ben's name in, this could directly affect the eventual winner of the Director actor and give it to someone other than Spielberg. It appears they are holding it against Spielberg(how stupid at that).

Director-MIchael HANEKE who will be the receipient of the above protest against Spielberg
taking it out on him that Affleck wasn't nominated, though that is insane.

Actress-Emmanuelle Riva and it's her birthday today too. Think this will be the surprise of the night. Well deserved if she wins. Lawrence and Chastain will win other years.

Actor-Daniel Day Lewis, the only sure shot of the night. He was Lincoln.

Supporting Actress should be Sally Field, will be Anne Hathaway, but it was the song that wins, because anyone could have been in that role and done the same and sang the same.
Anne had a good agent to get her the role. Who would ever have thought 99 would win an Oscar.

Supporting Actor-
could be Waltz, one of my favorites for many years prior to his USA debut, could be Tommy Lee Jones who deserves it, could be
Robert Deniro.
SHOULD be Philip Seymour Hoffman, one of the best living actors in America if not the world.
But he should have been nominated for Best Actor, he was the movie.Without him no movie.

Who will it be? Depends on how far Lincoln does or doesn't sweep.
I will go with Hoffman in an upset. But anyone but Arkin deserves this award.
Maybe there will be a tie, been years since there was one.

Song- skyfall from the James Bond movie.

Foreign Film- Amour.

Should have been nominated-Frank Langella for Robot and Frank.
Are they ever going to give Frank Langella an Oscar?
Or will he be the next Cary Grant, Peter O'Toole, Richard Burton, Alfred Hitchcock, Peter Sellers
who never won a real Oscar.

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Response to graham4anything (Reply #28)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 09:05 AM

33. Affleck won the Director's Guild Award for Argo (Feature Film)

so your assessment of directors opinions regarding his abilities seems a wee bit off
http://www.dga.org/Awards/Annual.aspx

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Response to Lucinda (Reply #33)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 09:25 AM

34. You can't say that though.

 

This was a very odd year in that there were 7 major directors movies(if not more).

Like 2000, when Al Gore lost solely because of Ralph nader's interference and tossing the election.
Put in all those things and it skwers the vote that if only two choices would have been different.

And those awards happened after the nominations were Affleck was snubbed.
So this was a protest vote. Especially with the whole publicist drawn media making it an all out war
.

Reminds me of Shakespeare in Love. There is not one person I know who thought that should win.
Yet Spielberg was screwed as he usually is. Sucks to be so talented.

Now, I would use that silly line at the end of Argo to describe my feelings should Argo win best picture.

But I will be glad to see President Carter get his due. They should have him be there to accept the award with George Clooney. (who has more Oscars in different categories than anyone except Walt Disney.)


In 1997, I would have given the Screenplay Oscar to "Boogie Nights".
Not Good will hunting.

This year, hoping Original Screenplay goes either to Amour or Moonrise Kingdom.

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Response to doublethink (Original post)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 05:16 AM

29. Argo, or Lincoln will win and quickly be forgotten... and Tarrantino will get shafted again...



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Response to JCMach1 (Reply #29)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 09:31 AM

37. And rightly so

The man's a hack.

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Response to theKed (Reply #37)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 12:28 PM

45. I guess hack means auteur

in whatever language you are speaking...

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Response to JCMach1 (Reply #45)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 12:57 PM

46. Hack means hack

Unless by "auteur" you mean "talentless poser who borrowed or outright stole everything good he's ever done"?

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Response to doublethink (Original post)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 05:19 AM

31. No matter which movie wins it won't be as bad as The Artist

unless it is Les Mis

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Response to JCMach1 (Reply #31)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 09:26 AM

35. I loved The Artist, and every single thing about it. (Including Jamie Cromwell).

 

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Response to graham4anything (Reply #35)

Mon Feb 25, 2013, 05:35 PM

53. This is probably the only thing we ever have, or will

agree about.

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Response to doublethink (Original post)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 09:28 AM

36. Has the Argo team bought the Oscar?

It's not as good a movie as Lincoln and really plays fast and loose with the truth, more than Lincoln does. I checked.

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Response to ananda (Reply #36)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 12:03 PM

43. I wouldn't be disappointed if Lincoln wins.

Only one that would disappoint would be Zero Dark Thirty, I do not want that movie to win.

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Response to doublethink (Original post)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 09:44 AM

38. I agree with all but best supporting actor. It will be Robert DeNiro. He is too loved and

too legendary for the snub. And "Raging Bull" was a LONG time ago.

However, I was less impressed than a lot of people with his acting but I didn't care for the movie that much so my opinion is prejudiced. I did like Tommy Lee Jones in "Lincoln" but I like him a lot in everything he does...again, my personal prejudice.

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Response to CTyankee (Reply #38)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 12:06 PM

44. ...

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Response to doublethink (Original post)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 12:02 PM

42. Let's see here,

 

The rich and famous are going to get together to throw a self congratulatory party for themselves.

There will be some "scandalous" clothing that will be breathlessly reported.

Some popular movie will get the majority of the awards.

Some popular movie will be shunned.

Pundits will compare, contrast and argue about the winner and losers for a few days.

Then Hollywood will go back to making the same pabulum that they've been cranking out for years and decades, with the few rare exceptions.

Rinse, Lather and Repeat next year.

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Response to doublethink (Original post)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 01:01 PM

47. I predict . . .

I won't be watching. Awards shows bore me to tears.

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Response to doublethink (Original post)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 01:44 PM

49. I predict that I will sleep through the ceremonies.

You can take that prediction to the bank.

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Response to doublethink (Original post)

Sun Feb 24, 2013, 05:05 PM

50. Now that I've seen Beasts of the Southern Wild I'm not so sure about Jennifer Lawrence

that little girl was AMAZING!!! (Can't spell her name sorry)

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Response to doublethink (Original post)

Mon Feb 25, 2013, 05:21 PM

52. Got 5 out of 6 !! :) n.t.

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