Wed Feb 6, 2013, 11:03 AM
WCGreen (45,558 posts)
I have seen this disarray before in American Politics...
You know, when one party seems to be self imploding because there are intractable southern conservatives proving to be more than a nuisance to one of the two major party's.
Up until the election of 1968, most Southern states could be carried by only one party and that party was the Democrat. Sure there were occasional out layers just as the Northeast would occasionally go for a Democrat.
But after Segregation became the rule of the land, the Democratic States switched to the coded language of the GOP, Law and Order was their main theme starting with Nixon and reinforced by Reaagan's so-called Welfare Queen, the South went Red.
Now the last remnant of those Bible Belt have formed, with the help of DC Conservative organizers, into the Tea Party.
Without a doubt, the Tea Party will insist on fealty to their cause and if there is no satisfaction, they will split and form their own party.
We are in a realigning election cycle and the Conservative Coalition is starting to fall apart. It usually splits between the intractable and the pragmatic, the ideologue and the deal makers, and culminates with dominance of one party rule for a decade or so and then the seems start to fall apart again.
The last realigning cycle was played out with the help of Ross Perot which saw the House switching over to the GOP because of the dominance of the GOP controlling the District Drawing process in 92, 02 and then again in 12.
If the dem's can hold the Senate and take the 2016 president ency then the House can be had and the realignment will have played out.
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I have seen this disarray before in American Politics... (Original post)
Response to Dawgs (Reply #2)
Wed Feb 6, 2013, 01:39 PM
HereSince1628 (35,836 posts)
4. The gerrymandering very much takes advantage of the Dem urban vs rural divide
I have little faith that the urban-rural divide is going to improve soon.