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Tue Jan 22, 2013, 05:43 PM

Big News Out of Israel-Today's Election does not seem to have gone as most anticipated (TPM)

JOSH MARSHALL JANUARY 22, 2013, 3:47 PM 7263
Iím still trying to get my head around the exact details. But todayís Israeli election does not seem to have gone as most anticipated. Itís not clear to me that the actual government or rather PM will be different. But everyone has been operating on the premise that the Israeli polity is locked on the right or center-right and just getting righter.

But the results didnít bear that out.

Support for the consolidated party of the right, Likud-Beitenu dropped dramatically. And the big picture is that the Ďrightí only seems to have won the barest of majorities according to the early votes ó 61 seats. Haaretz currently puts it this way.

Right - 43 seats.
Center-Left - 50 seats.
Ultra-Orthodox - 18 seats.
Arab Parties - 9 seats.


As I said, I donít think this changes the big picture, which is that Netanyahu will remain Prime Minister. But this looks to be a very brittle coalition. Either one which has a single vote majority or one that puts together parties which just wonít be able to stay in a single coalition for long. The orthodox parties likely form a coalition with the right. But their interests are often ó to be candid ó biddable and those interests donít always line up entirely on the traditional left-right axis. Usually, and more so over the years, but not always.

more:
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/2013/01/big_news_out_of_israel.php?ref=fpblg

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Reply Big News Out of Israel-Today's Election does not seem to have gone as most anticipated (TPM) (Original post)
kpete Jan 2013 OP
Hard Assets Jan 2013 #1
malaise Jan 2013 #2
1StrongBlackMan Jan 2013 #3
malaise Jan 2013 #5
cali Jan 2013 #6
Ikonoklast Jan 2013 #4

Response to kpete (Original post)

Tue Jan 22, 2013, 06:00 PM

1. Center Left has the seats.

 

Bibi can fuck off. His coalition will not exist.

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Response to kpete (Original post)

Tue Jan 22, 2013, 06:16 PM

2. I knew this was coming

Posted something about this last week

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Response to kpete (Original post)

Tue Jan 22, 2013, 06:44 PM

3. So with a coalition government ...

how does legislation get enacted? Does majority rule? Doe the PM have an ability to kill legislation, or impose his agenda over the legislation of the majority?

I know, as is evident, very little ... no, nothing ... about Israeli governance.

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Response to 1StrongBlackMan (Reply #3)

Tue Jan 22, 2013, 07:02 PM

5. Bibi will soon be history -the coalition won't last.

Israelis know where there bread is buttered. Fugging with Obama meant fugging with that lovely money. Next!!!!

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Response to malaise (Reply #5)

Tue Jan 22, 2013, 07:08 PM

6. right. because all that all those greedy Israelis care about is

"lovely" money.

sick.

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Response to kpete (Original post)

Tue Jan 22, 2013, 06:59 PM

4. I see a new election in the very near future.

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