Forty-eight percent of voters would rather see Obama reelected next year, compared to 40 percent who would prefer that a Republican win the presidency; a combined 12 percent of voters said they would prefer neither scenario or are undecided. A Congressional Connection Poll conducted in late October found voters split, with 44 percent preferring the GOP candidate and 42 percent favoring Obama’s reelection.
A plurality of voters, 48 percent, now say they would prefer that Democrats win enough seats take control of the House, compared with 37 percent who would rather see Republicans maintain control. In late October, the two parties were virtually tied on that question, with Democrats holding a statistically insignificant 2-point advantage.
Combining the results, 39 percent of voters would prefer that Obama is reelected and Democrats win control of the House; 31 percent want a Republican to win the presidency and the GOP to keep the House; 5 percent would rather have a Republican president but a Democratic-controlled House; and 3 percent of voters want the current occupants to retain control of both the White House and House.
The poll shows Democrats performing better among independent voters. Obama leads among this key group by 5 points, and independents preferred a Democratic-controlled House by an 8-point margin.