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Sun Nov 11, 2012, 10:39 AM

The chart below (from 538) is quite a picture when you really think about the Dems chances going fwd

Ponder this - look at Obama's victory margins at the states from Virginia upward - clearly trending or solidly blue, and changing demographics probably mean that some of the states called swing states are no longer swinging. Colorado actually was the tipping point state - the rest of the blues were gravy!

Then think about the possibility of the Repubs gaining advantage in ANY of them in the foreseeable future.

THIS is the mandate for Obama to push the great and needed Democratic ideas. As long we run good candidates going forward, the pendulum can - and should - swing back to the left.

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Reply The chart below (from 538) is quite a picture when you really think about the Dems chances going fwd (Original post)
NRaleighLiberal Nov 2012 OP
greenman3610 Nov 2012 #1
NRaleighLiberal Nov 2012 #2
johnnyrocket Nov 2012 #8
oswaldactedalone Nov 2012 #3
Jeff In Milwaukee Nov 2012 #4
brer cat Nov 2012 #5
Ruby the Liberal Nov 2012 #6
reformist2 Nov 2012 #7
HopeHoops Nov 2012 #9

Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Sun Nov 11, 2012, 10:42 AM

1. agreed on the Presidency, and therefore, the Supreme Court -

but not sure what we can do about the House - and also worried about state level races, legislatures, judges, etc

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Response to greenman3610 (Reply #1)

Sun Nov 11, 2012, 10:43 AM

2. indeed - that's the challenge, and what we all need to focus on, locally

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Response to greenman3610 (Reply #1)

Sun Nov 11, 2012, 11:47 AM

8. The house is gerrymandered to benefit Republicans. There were MORE votes for house Democrats..

...than Republicans.

So it's obvious is a left leaning, Democratic MAJORITY. The the GOP will never admit to that.

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Sun Nov 11, 2012, 10:45 AM

3. I never understood

what was wrong with Dean's 50 state strategy. We should implement it again.

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Response to oswaldactedalone (Reply #3)

Sun Nov 11, 2012, 10:55 AM

4. A few of them simply don't matter....

I don't see a point in expending a lot of effort on places like Utah and the Dakotas where we are miles behind (and that have only three electoral votes). But there are places like North Carolina, Arizona and Texas where the changing demographics are clearly in our favor. I firmly believe that Texas will go blue in a few election cycles, and when that happens, the Republican Party is officially over.

We might even be able to turn Indiana and Missouri into battleground states with enough effort.

West Virginia will turn blue once we don't have a black guy as our candidate. It's a blue-collar state, but massively and hopelessly racist.

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Response to Jeff In Milwaukee (Reply #4)

Sun Nov 11, 2012, 11:14 AM

5. Add GA to your list.

It may seem unbelievable, but it is possible to turn GA blue. White population is about 60% and shrinking, so non-white plus a reasonable portion of white females would make it happen.

If you don't believe it, at least pretend you do....those of us who are little blue dots in a sea of red need HOPE!!

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Sun Nov 11, 2012, 11:33 AM

6. The real "swing" state is apparently Indiana.

Obama win in 2008 to Romney +10.5 in 2012 AND Dick Durbin's seat now held by a Dem?

Thats some wacky stuff right there.

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Sun Nov 11, 2012, 11:37 AM

7. We can add NC to the Dem column in the future, but after that it looks like a brick wall.

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Sun Nov 11, 2012, 11:57 AM

9. The GOP can just fade into the anals (spelling intentional) of history.

 

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