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Sat Nov 10, 2012, 02:58 AM

Final Obama-Romney vote totals (Romney ends up at 47%)

So many are wondering, guessing at final turnout, final margins for the overall popular vote. So I did a little estimation.

I took the outstanding votes estimated per state, applied the existing margin per state, assumed it carries (it may not).

Here's where we would end up (about 80% of the remaining vote is in states Obama won):


Current Counted Votes
Obama: 61.6 million (50.5%)
Romney: 58.5 million (48.0%)
Others: 1.9 million (1.5%)
Total: 122 million

Remaining votes: 10.6 million
(Obama/Romney): 6.5 million/4.0 million

Estimated Final 2012 (2008)
Obama: 68.1 million / 51.3% (69.5 million/52.9%)
Romney: 62.5 million / 47.1% (59.9 million/45.7%)
Others: 2.0 million / 1.5 % (2.0 million/1.5%)
Total: 132.6 million / 0.9% increase from 2008 (131.4 million)

I'd love a bigger margin, but if Romney ends up at 47%, that will be too beautiful to beat.




13 replies, 2187 views

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Arrow 13 replies Author Time Post
Reply Final Obama-Romney vote totals (Romney ends up at 47%) (Original post)
CreekDog Nov 2012 OP
CreekDog Nov 2012 #1
flamingdem Nov 2012 #2
Avalux Nov 2012 #3
madokie Nov 2012 #7
JackRiddler Nov 2012 #10
malaise Nov 2012 #4
CreekDog Nov 2012 #9
OldDem2012 Nov 2012 #5
DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2012 #6
CreekDog Nov 2012 #8
alcibiades_mystery Nov 2012 #11
hifiguy Nov 2012 #12
CreekDog Nov 2012 #13

Response to CreekDog (Original post)

Sat Nov 10, 2012, 09:57 AM

1. not letting this thread die yet.

too many calculations for me to give up on it.

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Response to CreekDog (Original post)

Sat Nov 10, 2012, 09:59 AM

2. I love it

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Response to CreekDog (Original post)

Sat Nov 10, 2012, 10:00 AM

3. How ironic and yes, beautiful.

This race was never close, Obama won in a landslide.

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Response to Avalux (Reply #3)

Sat Nov 10, 2012, 10:18 AM

7. You know that there was a lot of vote flipping going on in the e voting machines

I'd about bet money on that. with proprietary software there is no way to know whether every 5th or 10th or whatever dem vote was flipped to the republicon side. No way we could know that as it wouldn't have to be on the screen or anything like that. All we know for certain concerning the E voting machines is the companies who own or built them are 100% republicon loving traitors.

Paper ballots hand counted or we loose the democracy that many of us treasure

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Response to Avalux (Reply #3)

Sat Nov 10, 2012, 05:33 PM

10. Not really a landslide.

4% is a typical margin. And it's disturbing how many people went for R, whether 47 or 48.

Johnson in 64, Nixon in 72, Reagan in 84: Those were landslides, near 60% with 18+% margins.

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Response to CreekDog (Original post)

Sat Nov 10, 2012, 10:02 AM

4. 47% should be permanently sketched or etched

on his forehead.

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Response to malaise (Reply #4)

Sat Nov 10, 2012, 05:17 PM

9. i think the official count is at 47.9, but it would be nice to see it get below 47.5

so it'll be at 47% even after rounding.

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Response to CreekDog (Original post)

Sat Nov 10, 2012, 10:04 AM

5. K & R. nt.

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Response to CreekDog (Original post)

Sat Nov 10, 2012, 10:11 AM

6. TY. I Applaud Your Math

The innumerate, right wing liars are saying O only won 50-48 but 51-47 is much more significant.

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Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #6)

Sat Nov 10, 2012, 12:33 PM

8. it's a solid win

4 percent is bordering on fairly significant separation.

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Response to CreekDog (Original post)

Sat Nov 10, 2012, 05:36 PM

11. I've been watching the popular vote, too

I don't think totals will get that high, but more power to ya.

I was happy to see Obama's margin of victory shoot by Bush's margin over Kerry yesterday.

The next milestone I'm looking at is Obama passing Bush's raw total (62,040,610), which should happen Monday if the outstanding ballots in CA, WA, and OR are truly still out.

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Response to CreekDog (Original post)

Sat Nov 10, 2012, 05:37 PM

12. There is a cosmic sense of humor

and irony.

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Response to CreekDog (Original post)

Tue Nov 20, 2012, 07:12 PM

13. kicking my post since it looks like it's coming true!

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