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louis c

(8,652 posts)
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 12:35 PM Nov 2012

The Numbers are Trending Our Way

I must confess, it was just 2 weeks ago that I was more than just a little worried. I'm not worried anymore.

The latest national numbers have shown a marketable drift toward President Obama. The last 5 national polls have him tied in 4 and ahead by a point in another. Most of these polls are Republican leaning outfits (Fox News, tied and Rasmussen, tied).

What this means to me is that the numbers are moving in our direction. I'm sure these gains are not in the South and are more heavily weighted in the all important battleground states.

RCP has Obama ahead in every battleground state he needs to win, as well as slightly ahead in some he doesn't need to win. The trend line with 60 hours to go is toward the "Blue Team", so not only do we have the lead where we need it, the wind is mildly at our backs.

I feel very good, and I'm no wild eyed optimist, either. We still have to do our GOTV work, but it's easier when people feel that our side will win if we all do our work.

Link to RCP:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html

12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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The Numbers are Trending Our Way (Original Post) louis c Nov 2012 OP
I am concerned about voter supression still_one Nov 2012 #1
That's what the army of lawyers are for (NT) louis c Nov 2012 #4
Agreed, but you do not want it to be after the election still_one Nov 2012 #8
They cant make lines shorter than 8 hours or provide ID to those who don't have it NotThisTime Nov 2012 #11
It's been so nice without Gallup to bother us these last few days bluestateguy Nov 2012 #2
Well, I'm a wide eyed optimist. ywcachieve Nov 2012 #3
Peaking at the right time. TDale313 Nov 2012 #5
And Pew Has Obama Up 3 Points Nationally (new poll) louis c Nov 2012 #6
me too! bodudedem2959_lib Nov 2012 #7
dont forget that every MSM outlet will want to be the first to call it Tuesday too NightWatcher Nov 2012 #9
gotv today, gotv tomorrow! struggle4progress Nov 2012 #10
RCP "No-tossups" Map: O 303, R 235. yellowcanine Nov 2012 #12
 

louis c

(8,652 posts)
6. And Pew Has Obama Up 3 Points Nationally (new poll)
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 05:16 PM
Nov 2012

Add to 4 ties and one lead. Now 4 ties and two leads. All have trended blue in the past couple of days.

We are peaking just at the right time.

NightWatcher

(39,343 posts)
9. dont forget that every MSM outlet will want to be the first to call it Tuesday too
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:22 PM
Nov 2012

this is them heading in that direction. Watch tomorrow for the numbers to go more with O, same for Tuesday afternoon.

yellowcanine

(35,692 posts)
12. RCP "No-tossups" Map: O 303, R 235.
Mon Nov 5, 2012, 12:12 PM
Nov 2012

They are giving Florida to Romney which I think is wrong, but at least not as unreasonable as calling states like Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin "tossups."

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