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Fri Nov 2, 2012, 11:07 PM

Predictions, anyone? First thoughts on Tues PM, EST.. Timings!

7 PM - VT poll closes - Obama 3

7:30 - OH and NC close, too close to call

8 PM - CT, DE, IL, ME, MD, MA, NJ, RI, DC for Obama, taking him to 79

FL, MO, NH, PA will be too close to call at 8

9 PM - NY takes Obama to 108

Between 9-10 PA goes to Obama taking him to 128

CO, MI, MN, NM, WI too close to call

10 PM - IA and NV too close to call

between 10-11, Obama picks up OH, MI, MN, NM and WI - takes Obama to 187

11 PM - CA, HI, OR, WA to Obama, taking him to 265

between 11-12, NV to Obama - puts him at 271 - then come VA, NC, FL, NH, IA, and CO - final total 347 EVs.

Let's say that the election is called at 11:15.....

Optimistic? that's my current guess - you have it here!

13 replies, 1252 views

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Reply Predictions, anyone? First thoughts on Tues PM, EST.. Timings! (Original post)
NRaleighLiberal Nov 2012 OP
dhill926 Nov 2012 #1
hrmjustin Nov 2012 #2
NRaleighLiberal Nov 2012 #3
orpupilofnature57 Nov 2012 #4
cali Nov 2012 #5
Cyrano Nov 2012 #6
mnhtnbb Nov 2012 #11
mulsh Nov 2012 #7
LisaL Nov 2012 #8
Dyedinthewoolliberal Nov 2012 #9
MineralMan Nov 2012 #10
truebrit71 Nov 2012 #12
Kalidurga Nov 2012 #13

Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Fri Nov 2, 2012, 11:09 PM

1. I think it's like 2008 in that....

Virginia will be the key. We get that, we win big. If not, we just win.....

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Fri Nov 2, 2012, 11:11 PM

2. This will be a somewhat longer night than last time. I think he wins by 1 in the morning.

Wi or Oh will put him over the top. But if you are right than he is winning bigger than expected.

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Sat Nov 3, 2012, 10:13 AM

3. kicking - anyone else? My estimate is that the race is called by 11:15 EST.

347 EVs

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Reply #3)

Sat Nov 3, 2012, 10:46 AM

4. K&R !!!

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Sat Nov 3, 2012, 10:52 AM

5. Thanks for this handy timeline/prediction.

Very helpful for Tuesday night. I'm bookmarking it.

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Sat Nov 3, 2012, 10:56 AM

6. Tuesday - 11:15pm EST - Republican's heads explode

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Response to Cyrano (Reply #6)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:50 AM

11. LOL. Love that idea.

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Sat Nov 3, 2012, 10:59 AM

7. At around 8pm PST TV Pundits wil start moving on to ernestly discussing the 2016 race.

I'm fairly sure even the crew on MSNBC election night broadcast will be doing this. Hillary and Jeb will get lots of mentions. They've got to grease the massive advertizing revenue skids.

I think you time line is about right in calling the 2012 election results.

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Sat Nov 3, 2012, 11:01 AM

8. If OH is close, because of absentee/provisional ballots there, we might have to wait much

longer than that.
Could be weeks.

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Sat Nov 3, 2012, 11:02 AM

9. Obama-Biden

in a LANDSLIDE! I hope....................

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Sat Nov 3, 2012, 11:02 AM

10. I like your 11:15 EST estimate.

I'm in the Central time zone, and I'd like to shut off the TV and get some sleep around 10 PM.

Actually, if Obama wins Ohio, which I'm sure he will, and that gets called, I'll probably turn in then.

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Response to MineralMan (Reply #10)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:52 AM

12. Yup, if OH gets called for Obama then I think it's lights out for Rmoney...

...the only question left after that will be just how bad of an ass kicking will the Greed/Lying ticket get...

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Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:49 PM

13. I hope you are right.

I think Obama will get at least 312 ev

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