Thu Nov 1, 2012, 02:48 PM
unc70 (2,765 posts)
Company linked to Bain/Romney selects who gets called for majority of election polling
Company linked to Bain/Romney selects who is called in nearly every election poll
Gallup, Rasmussen, Quinnipiac, Pew, AP GfK Roper, CNN, NBC, CBS, ABC, WP, NYT, Elon, and the great majority of the rest.
Most pollsters entrust their sampling to a single company
Every statistically sound poll relies on trusting the "random sample" of telephone numbers that they call. Pollsters today rarely select the samples used in their surveys, trusting instead those created by companies considered sampling experts. In most cases, they entrust sampling to a single company, Survey Sampling International. That is a lot of trust to place in any one entity, its employees, procedures, data, and suppliers. A lot to trust, and little way to verify. Same for all the call lists based on additional demographic and other data associated with each phone number. If you control who is called, you can determine the poll results.
The trust in SSI was built up over several decades by its founders and employees. But SSI today is not that trusted company. It was taken over and acquired by Western WATS/Opinionology, but legally it was a merger with the resulting entity the legal continuation of SSI, its corporate history, identity, home state (CT), and reputation, but its control, ownership, operations and goals remain that of Opinionology, a Utah company with a notorious past and a poor reputation.
Opinionology began as a company named Western WATS in Orem, UT whose founder is a friend of Mitt. He appears to have sold his ownership around 2004, then Sterling Investment Partners became majority owner in 2006. During 2007-2008 Western WATS was a center for dirty tricks, scandals, and massive child-labor law violations. A lot was posted here at DU. Here is an article about some of that:
In 2010, Western WATS changed its name to Opinionology months before it acquired SSI, publicly described as "a merger of equals", with the company after the merger operating under SSI name and corporate identity. Current SSI CEO Christopher Fanning had been CEO of Lattice Semiconductor, a widely discussed Bain company under Romney. Doug Newhouse of Sterling Investment Partners even posted about owning a polling company back in 2008.
Has anyone actually manipulated poll results this way? I don't know. They have the means, opportunity, and motive. The polls have certainly been interesting this cycle, from well before the Republican debates.
It is urgent that DU look at this closely. Grantcart's Gravis group, the experts on Bain, all of you not doing GOTV. Follow the corporate ties with SSI, its owners, board, and management. Look for examples of new Romney campaign TPs being supported within 1-2 weeks by new poll. Lots of threads to follow.
NOTE: Statistically sound polls that weight adjust their results are more robust and resistant to may sampling issues.
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Company linked to Bain/Romney selects who gets called for majority of election polling (Original post)
|Wellstone ruled||Nov 2012||#2|
|marions ghost||Nov 2012||#3|
|marions ghost||Nov 2012||#6|
Response to unc70 (Original post)
Thu Nov 1, 2012, 02:50 PM
Kalidurga (14,177 posts)
1. Well that might be good news.
I really hope that the numbers for Romney are well under 45%. I really hate to think even 40% of people are stupid to the bone, but this closeness in the polls is unnerving.
Response to unc70 (Original post)
Thu Nov 1, 2012, 03:19 PM
Wellstone ruled (5,897 posts)
2. Great post,another truth to power
about the Willard and his buds. Slowly,the truth emerges about one of the greatest fraudsters of our times. How ironic,1844 Joe the Myth,2012 Willard the Myth,same flim flam different centuries. Patience my friend,we will take this election by hook or crook. Willard is one scarey POS.