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rdking647

(5,113 posts) Thu Nov 1, 2012, 12:06 PM Nov 2012

current odds on an Obama victory

fivethirtyeight.com 79%
Princeton election consortium 95-98.7 % depending on which statistical analysis you choose
Intrade 66%
Iowa election market 66%
realclearpolitics no toss up map-- Obama with 290 electoral votes

3 replies

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Highlight:

current odds on an Obama victory (Original Post) rdking647 Nov 2012 OP

Intrade is at 68 Hokie Nov 2012 #1

Reading the comments amuse bouche Nov 2012 #3

Morning Joe show it's a dead heat it's going to be a photo finish. Glenn Beck it's going to doc03 Nov 2012 #2

Hokie

(4,286 posts)

1. Intrade is at 68

Reply to rdking647 (Original post)

Thu Nov 1, 2012, 12:17 PM

Nov 2012

Obama was at 62 yesterday morning on Intrade. Also, I suspect very few of the polls include data from after Sandy. I expect Obama to have the lead on RCP nationwide by tomorrow and it will rise as we get more recent polling.

amuse bouche

(3,657 posts)

3. Reading the comments

Reply to Hokie (Reply #1)

Thu Nov 1, 2012, 12:50 PM

Nov 2012

on intrade, the consensus is that 'it's over' even in their Electoral thread. Obama is the victor

doc03

(35,328 posts)

2. Morning Joe show it's a dead heat it's going to be a photo finish. Glenn Beck it's going to