HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » General Discussion (Forum) » Electoral Math Not Adding...
Introducing Discussionist: A new forum by the creators of DU

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:27 PM

Electoral Math Not Adding Up To Republican-Run Senate - BloombergNews

Electoral Math Not Adding Up to Republican-Run Senate
By Kathleen Hunter - BloombergNews
October 24, 2012

<snip>

The election-year arithmetic in U.S. Senate races is growing increasingly complicated for Republicans, diminishing the party’s prospects of winning a majority that earlier this year was seen as within its grasp.

The first blow for Republicans came in February, when Maine’s Olympia Snowe announced her retirement. In May six-term Indiana Republican Senator Richard Lugar lost to Tea Party backed primary challenger Richard Mourdock, who said this week that pregnancy caused by rape was something “God intended” and doesn’t justify abortion. Also, Missouri Republican Todd Akin insisted on staying in the Senate race after saying on Aug. 19 that “legitimate rape” rarely causes pregnancy.

As a result Maine Independent Angus King, who is expected to caucus with Democrats, is predicted to win what was a safe Republican-held seat. Missouri’s Claire McCaskill, once considered the most vulnerable Democratic incumbent in the Senate, is running ahead in the polls. The Indiana race, in which Lugar was favored, is rated a toss-up.


Jennifer Duffy, who tracks Senate races for the nonpartisan Cook Political Report, cited those developments as reasons why she would “put a thumb on the scale for Democrats” narrowly keeping their majority on Nov. 6.

‘We’re not looking at the same election we were looking at 12 months ago, that’s for sure,’’ Duffy said, predicting that Republicans could gain between one and four seats. “Whoever wins the Senate, I would be surprised if anybody had more than a 51-seat majority. Fifty-two seats would be a stellar night.”

Defending 10 Seats...

More: http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-10-24/electoral-math-not-adding-up-to-republican-run-senate


9 replies, 850 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 9 replies Author Time Post
Reply Electoral Math Not Adding Up To Republican-Run Senate - BloombergNews (Original post)
WillyT Oct 2012 OP
Dawson Leery Oct 2012 #1
meow2u3 Oct 2012 #7
porphyrian Oct 2012 #2
BlueStreak Oct 2012 #3
st17011864200074656 Oct 2012 #4
hrmjustin Oct 2012 #5
upi402 Oct 2012 #6
reformist2 Oct 2012 #8
st17011864200074656 Oct 2012 #9

Response to WillyT (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:33 PM

1. In January, the Republicans were expected to retake the Senate.

51-53 seats were in many projections.
Democrats will most likely have 53-55 seats now.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Dawson Leery (Reply #1)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:17 PM

7. That was until Republicans outed themselves as the misogynists they really are

and got called for it. Keep talking, repunks; it'll only embolden the Dems.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to WillyT (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:34 PM

2. . n/t

 

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to WillyT (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:47 PM

3. It isn't "unlucky math". These people are creeps and American is figuring that out.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to WillyT (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:07 PM

4. Let's shoot for 57!

It Could be as high as 57!

First, we lose Nebraska, bringing us down to 52; we also lose Joe Lieberman, and get a true Democrat in Chris Murphy.

Tammy Baldwin keeps Wisconsin, Tim Kaine keeps Virginia, Heidi Heitkamp keeps North Dakota, and John Tester keeps Montana, as they are all ahead in their races. Todd Akin we be reviled and repelled in Missouri, giving Claire McCaskill a second term.

Then Elizabeth Warren sends Scott Brown packing in Massachusetts, bringing us to 53.

Then the real fun begins as Dems are gaining in Nevada with Shelley Berkley, Arizona with Richard Carmona, and Mourdock just made himself toxic in Indiana, giving Joe Donnelly a boost. That's 56.

Angus King winning in Maine and caucusing with Democrats to 57, and expands our majority, and keeps McConnell minority leader for two more years.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to st17011864200074656 (Reply #4)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:13 PM

5. I like the way you think. Welcome to DU.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to WillyT (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:15 PM

6. this means everything.


they would allow nothing good for America no matter who is Prez.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to WillyT (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:17 PM

8. This is amazing, considering how many D vs R seats were up this year, 23 vs 10!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to WillyT (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:47 PM

9. Another thought...

Suppose, just suppose, that after 2010 and 2012 where the GOP had good opportunities to pick up the Senate and both times failed, the republics get rid of McConnell as leader, and turn to a real teabagger like DeMint, or one of his ilk.

Could Susan Collins, after seeing not only Specter defeated, but also Snowe retiring, see her way across the aisle to join the Democrats?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread