HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » General Discussion (Forum) » Zogby (for what it's wort...

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 03:13 PM

Zogby (for what it's worth) in Virginia: O 49, $ 46.

LV, conducted partly before and partly after the third debate.

5 replies, 586 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 5 replies Author Time Post
Reply Zogby (for what it's worth) in Virginia: O 49, $ 46. (Original post)
Chichiri Oct 2012 OP
forestpath Oct 2012 #1
krawhitham Oct 2012 #2
reflection Oct 2012 #3
oswaldactedalone Oct 2012 #4
reflection Oct 2012 #5

Response to Chichiri (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 03:16 PM

1. As a VA resident...I'll take it!

 

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Chichiri (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 03:18 PM

2. INFO

October 24, 2012
NewsmaxZogby Tracking Poll
Obama Has Three Point Lead in Virginia, 49%-46%;
Three Point Lead for Kaine Over Allen, 47%-44%

A brand new NewsmaxZogby Poll shows President Barack Obama holding an ever-so-slight lead over GOP challenger Mitt Romney 49% to 46% among Virginia likely voters. The online poll of 827 likely voters was conducted Sunday (October 21) through Tuesday (October 23) and has a margin-of-sampling error of +/- 3.5 percentage points.

The joint venture between Florida-based publisher and New York State-based pollster will feature tracking polls in Ohio, Florida, Virginia and nationally right up to Election Day. All reported results include voters who have already voted and those voters initially undecided who indicated they are leaning toward a candidate.

In the first three-day tracking of Virginia voters, the President leads among Democrats (95%-3%), independents (47%-40%), Northern Virginia-DC suburbs (58%-32%), Richmond-Norfolk region (55%-41%), 18-29 year olds (58%-36%), 30-49 year olds (52%-43%), African Americans (92%-5%), the small sampling of Hispanics, liberals (95%-4%), Moderates (60%-35%), Catholics (64%-32%), women (51%-46%), and the Creative Class (54%-43%).

Governor Romney leads among Republicans (95%-4%), voters over 65 (58%-39%), conservatives (78%-18%), whites (60%-36%), evangelicals (58%-37%), married voters (54%-41%), and investors (54%-42%).

Meanwhile in the race for the U.S. Senate, Democrat Tim Kaine holds a very small lead over Republican George Allen. Kaine leads among Democrats (87%-5%), independents (46%-32%), 18-29 year olds (52%-34%) and 30-49 year olds (51%-41%), Northern Virginia - DC suburbs (59%-30%) and the Richmond-Norfolk region (51%-39%), liberals (92%-3%) and moderates (60%-28%), the small sampling of Hispanics, African Americans (87%-2%), Catholics (56%-33%), men (48%-43%), and the small sample of union members (57%-35%).

Allen leads among Republicans (92%-5%), 50-64 year olds (47%-42%), voters over 65 (51%-42%), the western region (54%-38%), conservatives (78%-14%), whites (57%-34%), evangelicals (56%-35%), married voters (51%-40%), and NASCAR fans (49%-45%).

Pollster John Zogby: The two presidential candidates are tied among men, Baby Boomers, and NASCAR fans. Both have some work to do to shore up their own bases - Obama with younger voters and Romney with evangelicals - and the 7 point Obama lead among independents can be erased very quickly."

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Chichiri (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 03:20 PM

3. I thought Virgil Goode was polling well in VA

since he was from there and all. And that he drew more votes away from Romney than Obama. So that should be good for a point or two, right?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to reflection (Reply #3)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 03:25 PM

4. Probably a point at most

the racists in SW Virginia hate Obama so much they'll hold their noses and vote for Robme/Lyan.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to oswaldactedalone (Reply #4)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 03:30 PM

5. This article is a little old

but it talks about the Goode effect in VA. 4 points. I'd like to be conservative (for once in my life) and say 2%. That would be a nice little buffer.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/09/04/1127608/-Virgil-Goode-makes-the-presidential-ballot-in-Virginia-but-a-Republican-challenge-looms

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread