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Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:09 PM

Obama SURGES in latest Gallup! (LV: gained +2, RV: gained +2, Approval: gained +5)

Approval Rating:
53% approve (+2)
42% disapprove (-3)

Registered Voters:
48% Obama (+1)
47% Romney (-1)

Likely Voters:
50% Romney (+1)
47% Obama (-1)


Debate #3 is making a *BIG* difference!

http://www.gallup.com


For the LV, which is a 7-day tracker, to move this much... it means Obama had a HUGE Tuesday number and dropped off a bad number from last Wednesday.

The only reason for a huge Tuesday number is the debate.


Even Rasmussen's internal said that Tuesday was only +2 Romney while Sunday and Monday were +5 Romney days each.

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Reply Obama SURGES in latest Gallup! (LV: gained +2, RV: gained +2, Approval: gained +5) (Original post)
scheming daemons Oct 2012 OP
mzmolly Oct 2012 #1
Hutzpa Oct 2012 #2
kansasobama Oct 2012 #3
Hutzpa Oct 2012 #5
sadbear Oct 2012 #4
andym Oct 2012 #6
RedSpartan Oct 2012 #7
Indykatie Oct 2012 #8
IDemo Oct 2012 #9
Arugula Latte Oct 2012 #10
yellowcanine Oct 2012 #11
ItsTheMediaStupid Oct 2012 #12

Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:10 PM

1. And, they only have about a day of the post debate numbers in their

seven day average.

Interesting...

53% approval is great news!

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Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:10 PM

2. He is? This is yhooooge news

one of Donald trump proportion.



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Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:12 PM

3. amazing rassmussen

They catch up a little late when things go Obama way and a tad bit quicker when it goes Romney way

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Response to kansasobama (Reply #3)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:15 PM

5. It's just like gas prices

goes up quicker than it takes for it to come back down.

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Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:13 PM

4. The move to reality has started.

No one wants to be wrong on election day.

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Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:15 PM

6. approval is a 3 day tracking poll, the others 7 days so expect up to a 5 point bounce in RV/LV soon

probably a little less-- 3-4%?
A 3 point switch to Obama would reverse the LVs to O 50, R 47.

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Response to andym (Reply #6)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:17 PM

7. I agree with this.

Likely by Friday or Sat. Good timing.

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Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:29 PM

8. The Approval Number Also Made Me Suspicious of the Head to Head Numbers

PBO has consistently held positive job approval numbers in +5 range with Gallup yet they had him losing to Rmoney by a similar margin. The problem has to be with their sample (more Southerners) and other criteria used to determine a LV. Good to see the numbers tightening though as the election nears. I guess they don't want to end the cycle being so far off the actual result. We'll see other pollsters doing the same in the coming days.

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Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:29 PM

9. Better keep this quiet

There's a Hyoooge horse race that's looking like a photo finish!



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Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:38 PM

10. And that's Ro-mentum!

Oh, wait, no it isn't.

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Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:46 PM

11. From link, should be Likely Voters: 50% Romney (-1) 47% Obama (+1)

The + and - numbers of Likely Voters are transposed in your post.

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Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 02:08 PM

12. Kicked for optimism!

We need to repeat good news and keep it visible. This is a big swing, and IMO, just the start.

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