Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:09 PM

Obama SURGES in latest Gallup! (LV: gained +2, RV: gained +2, Approval: gained +5)

Last edited Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:16 PM USA/ET - Edit history (2)

Approval Rating:
53% approve (+2)
42% disapprove (-3)

Registered Voters:
48% Obama (+1)
47% Romney (-1)

Likely Voters:
50% Romney (+1)
47% Obama (-1)

Debate #3 is making a *BIG* difference!

http://www.gallup.com

For the LV, which is a 7-day tracker, to move this much... it means Obama had a HUGE Tuesday number and dropped off a bad number from last Wednesday.

The only reason for a huge Tuesday number is the debate.

Even Rasmussen's internal said that Tuesday was only +2 Romney while Sunday and Monday were +5 Romney days each.

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12 replies	Author	Time	Post
Obama SURGES in latest Gallup! (LV: gained +2, RV: gained +2, Approval: gained +5) (Original post)	scheming daemons	Oct 2012	OP
And, they only have about a day of the post debate numbers in their	mzmolly	Oct 2012	#1
He is? This is yhooooge news	Hutzpa	Oct 2012	#2
amazing rassmussen	kansasobama	Oct 2012	#3
It's just like gas prices	Hutzpa	Oct 2012	#5
The move to reality has started.	sadbear	Oct 2012	#4
approval is a 3 day tracking poll, the others 7 days so expect up to a 5 point bounce in RV/LV soon	andym	Oct 2012	#6
I agree with this.	RedSpartan	Oct 2012	#7
The Approval Number Also Made Me Suspicious of the Head to Head Numbers	Indykatie	Oct 2012	#8
Better keep this quiet	IDemo	Oct 2012	#9
And that's Ro-mentum!	Arugula Latte	Oct 2012	#10
From link, should be Likely Voters: 50% Romney (-1) 47% Obama (+1)	yellowcanine	Oct 2012	#11
Kicked for optimism!	ItsTheMediaStupid	Oct 2012	#12

Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:10 PM

mzmolly (47,353 posts)

1. And, they only have about a day of the post debate numbers in their

Last edited Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:11 PM USA/ET - Edit history (1)

seven day average.

Interesting...

53% approval is great news!

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Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:10 PM

Hutzpa (10,475 posts)

2. He is? This is yhooooge news

one of Donald trump proportion.

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Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:12 PM

kansasobama (224 posts)

3. amazing rassmussen

They catch up a little late when things go Obama way and a tad bit quicker when it goes Romney way

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Response to kansasobama (Reply #3)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:15 PM

Hutzpa (10,475 posts)

5. It's just like gas prices

goes up quicker than it takes for it to come back down.

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Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:13 PM

sadbear (4,218 posts)

4. The move to reality has started.

No one wants to be wrong on election day.

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Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:15 PM

andym (2,473 posts)

6. approval is a 3 day tracking poll, the others 7 days so expect up to a 5 point bounce in RV/LV soon

Last edited Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:30 PM USA/ET - Edit history (4)

probably a little less-- 3-4%?
A 3 point switch to Obama would reverse the LVs to O 50, R 47.

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Response to andym (Reply #6)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:17 PM

RedSpartan (1,133 posts)

7. I agree with this.

Likely by Friday or Sat. Good timing.

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Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:29 PM

Indykatie (723 posts)

8. The Approval Number Also Made Me Suspicious of the Head to Head Numbers

PBO has consistently held positive job approval numbers in +5 range with Gallup yet they had him losing to Rmoney by a similar margin. The problem has to be with their sample (more Southerners) and other criteria used to determine a LV. Good to see the numbers tightening though as the election nears. I guess they don't want to end the cycle being so far off the actual result. We'll see other pollsters doing the same in the coming days.

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Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:29 PM

IDemo (12,301 posts)