A good night for Obama vs. a good night for Romney

[cthulu2016]

Using Nate Silvers current State-by-State probablities...

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

To me, a good night is when you win all of your states and all the states where your opponent had only a slim lead. (Winning all the light blue and the light red.)

In 2008, Obama had a good night, winning all the states McCain had only slight leads in—like North Carolina and Indiana.

I used a 60% chance cutoff. For instance, Nate Silver has Colorado at 53% chance for Obama, which is less than 60%, so that's the lightest blue category.

Using the current 538 blog state probabilities, a Good night for Romney is:

Obama 281 - Romney 257

Using the current 538 blog state probabilities, a Good night for Obama is:

Obama 303 - Romney 235