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Fri Oct 19, 2012, 05:43 PM

My electoral college projection for today: Obama 290 electoral votes.

October 19, 2012:
I'm starting to feel pessimistic about Virginia. Too many polls are giving Romney a 2 or 3 point spread. I might change my mind later on if there is improvement. Beyond Virginia, I think the president is in pretty good shape. Florida looks like it might be shifting a little back in our direction.


October 18, 2012
Starting today, I will post my useless electoral college projections based on polling, demographics and electoral history. Today I predict that Barack Obama will win 303 electoral votes. Romney takes 235, picking up Indiana, North Carolina and Florida.

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Reply My electoral college projection for today: Obama 290 electoral votes. (Original post)
RandySF Oct 2012 OP
november3rd Oct 2012 #1
dems_rightnow Oct 2012 #2
Dawgs Oct 2012 #3
truebluegreen Oct 2012 #4

Response to RandySF (Original post)

Fri Oct 19, 2012, 05:46 PM

1. Thank you.

Do you take voting machine company ownership into account?

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Response to RandySF (Original post)

Fri Oct 19, 2012, 05:54 PM

2. I wouldn't give up on Virgina.

A couple of points is nothing. But we need to reverse the slight trend away pretty quickly.

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Response to RandySF (Original post)

Fri Oct 19, 2012, 06:00 PM

3. "Too many polls are giving Romney a 2 or 3 point spread"

Wrong!! Only one (Rasmussen) is giving Romney a three point spread. The rest, outside of the republican leaning outlier McLaughlin (R-Allen) (R+7) from over 10 days ago, show Obama winning or losing by only one. So, two very right-leaning polls, and the rest show it a dead heat.

Come on people.

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Response to RandySF (Original post)

Fri Oct 19, 2012, 06:48 PM

4. 332!

Wanna bet $10,000....oh poop, after 30+ years of Reaganomics who has $10,000?

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