Fri Oct 19, 2012, 05:43 PM
RandySF (7,102 posts)
My electoral college projection for today: Obama 290 electoral votes.
October 19, 2012:
I'm starting to feel pessimistic about Virginia. Too many polls are giving Romney a 2 or 3 point spread. I might change my mind later on if there is improvement. Beyond Virginia, I think the president is in pretty good shape. Florida looks like it might be shifting a little back in our direction.
October 18, 2012
Starting today, I will post my useless electoral college projections based on polling, demographics and electoral history. Today I predict that Barack Obama will win 303 electoral votes. Romney takes 235, picking up Indiana, North Carolina and Florida.
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Replies to this discussion thread
My electoral college projection for today: Obama 290 electoral votes. (Original post)
Response to RandySF (Original post)
Fri Oct 19, 2012, 06:00 PM
Dawgs (12,173 posts)
3. "Too many polls are giving Romney a 2 or 3 point spread"
Wrong!! Only one (Rasmussen) is giving Romney a three point spread. The rest, outside of the republican leaning outlier McLaughlin (R-Allen) (R+7) from over 10 days ago, show Obama winning or losing by only one. So, two very right-leaning polls, and the rest show it a dead heat.
Come on people.