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progressivebydesign

(19,458 posts)
Fri Oct 19, 2012, 05:19 PM Oct 2012

WTF Yahoo? A Headline article just appeared then vanished saying Romney leads Electoral votes TODAY.

There was a top story that Real Clear Politics has announced today that Romney leads the Electoral College over the President. That was the headline and the first few paragraphs, that Romney is surging and can win the EC now (which goes against ALL the polling right now.)

Then a few paragraphs down, it says that the President leads in the Electoral College polling now, and Romney would have to win.. x, x, and x, to win it.

Then the story disappeared. WTF?? I know that RCP uses bad polls and such, and I KNOW that Yahoo this election has been absolutely hardcore republican with their "Fox Jr. The Ticket" faux reporting, but what the hell???

Anyone else see this? I have not seen ONE model that shows Romney ahead in the EC. Have YOU??

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WTF Yahoo? A Headline article just appeared then vanished saying Romney leads Electoral votes TODAY. (Original Post) progressivebydesign Oct 2012 OP
Here is the story Live and Learn Oct 2012 #1
Thanks. My point is that it was a headline story, then disappeared instantly. nt progressivebydesign Oct 2012 #5
I know, it can be very frustrating. nt Live and Learn Oct 2012 #7
Romney leads in "sure" electoral votes without toss-ups kansasobama Oct 2012 #2
Romney is leading in the electoral college... Drunken Irishman Oct 2012 #3
That is what I thought. Just a momentary fad. nt Live and Learn Oct 2012 #4
So basically it's worthless. Couldn't understand the point of a huge headline like that... progressivebydesign Oct 2012 #6
I used to swear by RPC demwing Oct 2012 #8
Don't pay too much attention to polls that aren't exclusively considered "likely voters" zevonseas Oct 2012 #9
It's right wing outlet november3rd Oct 2012 #10
 

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)
3. Romney is leading in the electoral college...
Fri Oct 19, 2012, 05:24 PM
Oct 2012

But it's misleading. RCP, with tossups has Romney leading 206-201. But no one should take their maps seriously because they include Pennsylvania as a toss-up, as well as Michigan and even Wisconsin ... states where Romney doesn't lead. Without toss-ups, Obama leads 277-261.

progressivebydesign

(19,458 posts)
6. So basically it's worthless. Couldn't understand the point of a huge headline like that...
Fri Oct 19, 2012, 05:32 PM
Oct 2012

only to read that it wasn't true. It's like "oh, if we give all the toss ups (RCP's version of toss ups) to Mitt, he wins" Doesn't that strike everyone as way too hypothetical for a headline story proclaiming Romney taking the EC?

RCP is a hardcore right wing operation, according to their mission statement. I have just had no patience for Yahoo this election, they're despicable.

 

zevonseas

(12 posts)
9. Don't pay too much attention to polls that aren't exclusively considered "likely voters"
Fri Oct 19, 2012, 05:35 PM
Oct 2012

In my mind, the best barometer of where the President stands is with "likely voters". I think President Obama needs a minimum of a 4-6 point average poll margin (of likely voters) in the key swing states to win re-election. The trend over the past 20 years or so is that Republican "likely voters" actually get out to vote better than the "likely" Democrats... by about a 4-6 point margin.

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