Voters still expect Obama to win

[RandySF]

An ABC News / Washington Post Poll released today provides new information on voters' expecations of who will win. Among registered voters, 53% expected Obama to win, whereas 33% thought that Romney would win.

Recent research found that such vote expectation surveys provided very accurate predictions of U.S. presidential elections in the past. Based on today's poll, the vote expecation forecast predicts Obama to gain 51.7% of the popular vote, which is only slightly higher than the latest PollyVote forecast.


http://pollyvote.forecastingprinciples.com/index.php/pollycomp-home/1/302-voters-still-expect-obama-to-win.html

[Beartracks]

1. Don't just predict. VOTE! Don't just expect. VOTE!

WE will win the White House for Obama! He's only got one vote. We need to leverage our millions.



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[freshwest]

4. +1

[SleeplessinSoCal]

2. excellent. i can verify it. just the tonic needed for today's gallup poll.

[Tigress DEM]

3. HUFF PO says 277 to 209 Electoral (270 is the tipping point)

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map

[Revolutionary Girl]

5. Not sure I believe my eyes

Am I really reading this map right? Obama can win even without getting ANY of the current tossup states, while Romney would need to win all of them AND MORE?

[Skidmore]

6. Then they had better get their butts to the polls and

vote because the way the media and Republican machine is teeing this up, they will shoot for a contested election. I don't trust these people.