Are we going to lose VA and CO?

[Hamlette]

So close, but Nate has R ahead but just a bit. Anyone on the ground know how its going?

[FSogol]

1. Obama will win Virginia.

[BootinUp]

2. People like to go with the winner

If there is a strong indication who will win near the end, that person will pick up some votes and it will effect the real close races imho. At this point its just too early to know.

[Dawson Leery]

3. Obama should take virginia in the end by a similar margin from 2008.

[ChoppinBroccoli]

4. These Polls Are Fluid

Obama was up HUGE in both States just a couple weeks ago. After Obama cleans Rmoney's clock Tuesday night, you'll see those States flip back. The rebound is already happening. Obama's line started going back up yesterday and has continued to climb today. Mere blips.

[progressivebydesign]

8. Don't be misled. The MSM is using Likely Voter polls now, more often and citing very RW polls more.

The margins have not changed that much, the reporting has. The Likely Voter thing is being overdone right now.. and not accurate with today's voters.

[On the Road]

5. Short Answer:

As long as Obama wins Ohio...

who cares?

[potatoslayer]

6. I care

It's principal. I want Romney's clocked to be cleaned. I want to complete repudiation of the Republican party. The fact that there is a party that runs on a platform of stripping others of their rights pisses me off beyond words. And that so many people blindly vote for it methodically pisses me off more.

[freshwest]

12. +1

[pointsoflight]

7. Obama has the advantage on the ground in CO

Many more campaign offices, more boots on the ground, etc.

[Frances]

11. I live in CA

and a group of us have been calling people in Colorado the last few weekends. The names come from Obama's campaign. Most people aren't home, but we do talk to some of the people on the lists. Today I was told by two people that they had received two phone calls this afternoon. I think that means that there is a huge grassroots effort on Obama's behalf.

Some of us call and some put the results into a data base. The callers mark things like not at home, wrong number etc. We also mark strong, lean Obama; undecided; strong or lean Romney. We mark whether we think the person should have a call back.

Any of you with any time should go to barackobama.com and find the link that takes you to where you can do volunteer work.

[elleng]

9. Virginia, Richmond area, DUer:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=143161

[Samjm]

10. On the ground in CO

Lots and lots of Romney support around here, but I just got back from a GOTV meeting/training at the local OFA office and I am really impressed with the ground game. We have a TON of work to do in the next 3 weeks, but I think we can do it.

[freshwest]

14. Thanks for the update and we appreciate your hard work.

[RandySF]

13. Why is NV so much better for us than CO?

And no, I don't think we'll lose VA or CO.

[Tx4obama]

15. The most important states for Obama to win are toss-ups that have the most Electoral Votes

RCP currently has 11 states as toss-ups

AZ 11
CO 9
FL 29
IA 6
MI 16
NV 6
NH 4
NC 15
OH 18
PA 20
VA 13
WI 10

and three Romney leans:

AZ 11 (but the newest AZ poll has Obama FOUR points ahead of Mitt)
IN 11
MO 10

I think President Obama will win the majority of the toss-ups and also one or two of the Romney leans.

I'm still predicting that President Obama will win the election with 333 electoral votes