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Thu Oct 11, 2012, 04:56 PM

(Hack) Poll Shows Romney Leading Obama among Jews

The poll in question is the IBD/TIPP.

Yesterday: IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll: Romney Up 5
http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/ibd-tipp-tracking-poll-romney-up-5

Today: IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election Romney +1.2
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251133304

It's like the pollster is just inventing numbers.

Just found this:

Poll Shows Romney Leading Obama among Jews

Eyebrow-raising TIPP tracking poll shows Romney with 44% versus 40% for Obama among likely Jewish voters.

By Gil Ronen

A tracking poll published Thursday by TIPP for Investors' Business Daily shows the hard-to-believe statistic of 44% support for Mitt Romney among likely Jewish voters, versus 40% for Obama, with 16% undecided.

<...>

If the numbers are in any way close to representing reality, they reflect an unprecedented shift in Jewish voting preferences. Jews have voted overwhelmingly for Democratic presidential candidates for decades. Obama enjoyed 78% of the Jewish vote in the 2008 election.

Jewish support for Obama has been slipping recently. In September, the TIPP poll gave him 59% versus 35% for Romney. That in itself was seen as quite an accomplishment for Romney. It was not far from the 40 percent number in support of Dwight Eisenhower recorded by Jews in 1956, which was the highest backing by Jews for a Republican in nearly a century.

Just one day ago, on Wednesday, the TIPP tracking poll showed Obama leading Romney 47%-25%. This makes Thursday's numbers appear like a wild fluke or a mistake. However, these are the numbers that currently appear on the IBD/TIPP website.

http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/160788



Media Matters on IBD/TIPP in 2010:

Nate Silver: Poll is "simply not credible."


"they had John McCain winning the youth vote 74-22"


http://mediamatters.org/research/2010/03/17/siegel-uses-not-scientific-ibdtipp-poll-to-prop/161803

These are the kind of polls being used to drag down the President's margin in the poll averages.




10 replies, 1086 views

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Reply (Hack) Poll Shows Romney Leading Obama among Jews (Original post)
ProSense Oct 2012 OP
sharp_stick Oct 2012 #1
ProSense Oct 2012 #3
sharp_stick Oct 2012 #4
Nancy Waterman Oct 2012 #2
Cali_Democrat Oct 2012 #5
ProSense Oct 2012 #8
JI7 Oct 2012 #6
ProSense Oct 2012 #10
cthulu2016 Oct 2012 #7
PCIntern Oct 2012 #9

Response to ProSense (Original post)

Thu Oct 11, 2012, 04:57 PM

1. Investors Business Daily

That's all you need to see before tossing out anything they have to say. I'm surprised they don't rename to Newsmax-Business or something.

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Response to sharp_stick (Reply #1)

Thu Oct 11, 2012, 04:59 PM

3. It's not up to me to toss them out

They are being treated as credible in all the poll averages.

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Response to ProSense (Reply #3)

Thu Oct 11, 2012, 05:00 PM

4. Oh I know

I'm not blaming you, I promise.

I appreciate you putting the polls out

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Response to ProSense (Original post)

Thu Oct 11, 2012, 04:58 PM

2. Complete nonsense

No way this is close to true.

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Response to ProSense (Original post)

Thu Oct 11, 2012, 05:01 PM

5. Romney leading among Jews?

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Response to Cali_Democrat (Reply #5)

Thu Oct 11, 2012, 05:20 PM

8. The funniest part is

the numbers are jumping around, like they're pulling them out of a hat.

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Response to ProSense (Original post)

Thu Oct 11, 2012, 05:02 PM

6. McCain winning youth vote 74-22 ? HAHAHHAHAHAH

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Response to JI7 (Reply #6)

Thu Oct 11, 2012, 06:17 PM

10. Want to bet

that they're game is to pick a constituent group and skew it, hoping that no one will scrutinized their data?

I mean, WTF?

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Response to ProSense (Original post)

Thu Oct 11, 2012, 05:02 PM

7. This is very good news

I means one need pay no further attention to TIPP

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Response to ProSense (Original post)

Thu Oct 11, 2012, 05:44 PM

9. Oh yeah...right...

The 75-25 is about right IMO from discussions with many many many Jews over the past year. Funny thing is, that I haven't talked to one undecided Jew yet this year.

L'chaim!!!!

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