Sun Oct 7, 2012, 11:39 PM
kpete (44,740 posts)
4 New Polls, Mitt's Bounce: "small/muted"
Romney Gets Small Bounce
Four national polls released Sunday show Mitt Romney narrowing in on Obama, but the Republican candidate’s bounce from the debate seems to have been muted. Romney’s polling has been fairly steady since Saturday: Obama had been leading an average of 3.7 points between the convention and the debate and now is only 1.7 points ahead. But New York Times poll expert Nate Silver says Romney’s failure to make further gains is called “mildly disappointing for him.”
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4 New Polls, Mitt's Bounce: "small/muted" (Original post)
Response to kpete (Original post)
Sun Oct 7, 2012, 11:55 PM
ProSense (116,454 posts)
2. Yesterday, Nate factored in the
bogus Gravis poll.
There were few state polls published on Saturday, but a Gravis Marketing poll of Colorado also showed a sharp reversal toward Mr. Romney. He led in its newest survey, which was conducted on Thursday after the debate, by 3.5 percentage points. Although Gravis Marketing polls have had a very strong Republican lean so far this cycle, the trend in the poll is nevertheless extremely favorable for Mr. Romney, since he had trailed Mr. Obama by roughly five percentage points in a poll it conducted in September.
The only poll in which Mr. Romney failed to make gains on Saturday was in the online tracking poll published by Ipsos. That survey showed Mr. Obama holding onto a two-point lead among likely voters, the same as in the poll Ipsos published on Friday, although the numbers were still improved for Mr. Romney from the surveys it had been publishing before the debate.
It seem crazy that this fraud is being given credibility. It would be good if Nate addresses this.