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Wed Oct 3, 2012, 01:18 PM

Can we have a state of your state election update?

I'd really like to hear from DUers on the ground how things are going in their respective states, not just the Presidential race but Senate and House races.

From Vermont: Democrats aren't even running ads here. Vermont will go overwhelmingly for the President. I can't even remember the name of Bernie's opponent or Peter Welch's. Governor Shumlin will be handily re-elected.

How are things going in your state?

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Reply Can we have a state of your state election update? (Original post)
cali Oct 2012 OP
sharp_stick Oct 2012 #1
Jennicut Oct 2012 #14
MineralMan Oct 2012 #2
Curtland1015 Oct 2012 #3
piratefish08 Oct 2012 #4
mitchtv Oct 2012 #5
abq e streeter Oct 2012 #6
XemaSab Oct 2012 #7
sinkingfeeling Oct 2012 #8
frazzled Oct 2012 #9
catbyte Oct 2012 #10
fizzgig Oct 2012 #11
ProudToBeBlueInRhody Oct 2012 #12
hack89 Oct 2012 #13
LiberalAndProud Oct 2012 #15

Response to cali (Original post)

Wed Oct 3, 2012, 01:22 PM

1. Connecticut

Pretty much nothing related to the Presidential race.

Wall to wall Linda McMahon idiocy just like in 2010 when she wasted more money per vote received than any other Senatorial candidate in history. Chris Murphy has received some help from the DCCC and has had some decent fundraising in order to fight back.

There are also a few ads in the CT-5 district which opened up when Murphy decided to run for Senate but not that many.

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Response to sharp_stick (Reply #1)

Wed Oct 3, 2012, 02:03 PM

14. I live in CT-5 and have seen some ads for Elizabeth Esty.

Pretty good ones too.

WAY too much Linda McMahon to the point where we tried to watch The Voice the other night and she was on almost every commercial break. I hope it backfires on her because it's overkill. There is such a thing as over saturation and people get sick of seeing you on their tv. She is on my youtube for freakin sakes! When I want to watch a video she has an ad before it. Ugg.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Wed Oct 3, 2012, 01:22 PM

2. Minnesota: Obama wins in landslide.

Amy Klobuchar wins her current Senate Seat handily. Al Franken, of course, continues as Senator.

There's a good chance of at least one Democratic House seat pickup, and maybe two. There's an off chance that Bachmann will lose, but I'm not betting on that.

The State Legislature will almost certainly revert to Democratic control, after losing it in 2010. Minnesotans aren't happy with the Republicans' performance since 2010.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Wed Oct 3, 2012, 01:24 PM

3. New York here.

So... you know.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Wed Oct 3, 2012, 01:24 PM

4. Bernie has an opponent?? I love Vermont!

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Response to cali (Original post)

Wed Oct 3, 2012, 01:32 PM

5. Good

the DNC has finally paid attention to CD16, Mary Bono-Mack, and is helping us get Dr Ruiz in. The race has been upgraded from probable rep win to leans Repub. 3 points down. Debate 10/12

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Response to cali (Original post)

Wed Oct 3, 2012, 01:32 PM

6. Just got back to NM after a few weeks away , but have heard encouraging recent poll #'s etc

Apparently both Rep.Martin Heinrich for Senate, and Michelle Lujan-Grisham (my Congressional district) have solid leads.Don't know about the rest of the state, although the Northern district is usually safely Democratic, and the one on the east side of the state is usually pretty sold repub.
BTW, coincidentally, I was just in Vermont (Brattleboro , for an afternoon) for the first time in my life, less than 2 weeks ago. Beautiful, and a very cool town.
And THANK YOU Vermont, for the gift of Bernie Sanders.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Wed Oct 3, 2012, 01:36 PM

7. California's going big for Obama

I don't even know if they're running anyone against Dianne Feinstein.

There are some tight house races, though. We got redistricted, so some formerly "safe" seats might have problems.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Wed Oct 3, 2012, 01:41 PM

8. Arkansas: Will go for Rmoney 58 to 42%. All 4 Congressional seats will be GOP.

Massive attempt to replace the Democratic controlled State Senate and House.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Wed Oct 3, 2012, 01:42 PM

9. Illinois a foregone conclusion: Obama!

No other races of great import here except Duckworth. (IL folk can chime in with other kick-the-tea-party-out races that are going well.)

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Response to cali (Original post)

Wed Oct 3, 2012, 02:00 PM

10. In Michigan, Obama & Stabenow both look safe

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Response to cali (Original post)

Wed Oct 3, 2012, 02:00 PM

11. no senatorial or gubernatorial election in co this year

there's a nasty fight brewing in the 7th cd, ed perlmutter, the dem incumbent, is battling a coors for the seat. i really can't say how close the race is, but perlmutter has been around for a bit now and i don't know that i see it going for a coors.

the 2nd, my new district, will go to our incumbent jared polis handily. his opponent is an ultra conservative and i am lmaoing that the pukes picked him to run. like boulder is going to vote for him.

the 4th, out of which i was just redistricted, has been held by a republican for all but two years over the last 40, and the only reason it went blue in 08 was with help from the president. if it goes blue again this year, it will be for the same reason.

i think what could really make a difference is how much amendment 64 - which will legalize possession up to an ounce by people over 21, allow limited personal cultivation for personal use and allow retail marijuana sales - brings out the vote. it stands to reason that it will bring out the young vote, which usually goes to the dems, but there's a real libertarian bent here when it comes to personal freedoms and the president's medical marijuana policies may hurt him some. that said, i still think he will win co.

i can't speak much about the state house and senate, but dems have held the state senate for at least four years now but had a narrow minority in the house the last two. my state rep got term limited, so he's now running for state senate. i haven't looked much into my state house race yet.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Wed Oct 3, 2012, 02:03 PM

12. Rhode Island all Dem incumbants

Obama: Easy win, likely over 60% of the vote

Sheldon Whitehouse: Easy win, probably close to 70% of the vote.

David Cicilline (District one): Fighting for his life, but the first poll in awhile yesterday had him ahead.

Jim Langevin (District two): Easy win

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Response to cali (Original post)

Wed Oct 3, 2012, 02:03 PM

13. Rhode Island

safely for Obama so not too many commercials (thank god).

Only interesting race is David Cicilline (D) vs Brendan P. Doherty (R). Cicilline is the incumbent and should win but it will be closer than it has to be due to voter anger over his term as Providence mayor.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Wed Oct 3, 2012, 02:05 PM

15. Nebraska.



http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/259871-bob-kerreys-candidacy-looks-bleak-in-nebraska-
A recent poll from the Omaha World-Herald had Kerrey trailing state Sen. Deb Fischer (R) by 16 points among likely voters. The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) spent $1 million in coordinated expenditures with the Nebraska Democratic Party since Kerrey announced he would run, but hasnít spent a dime there since early August ó and has no reservations in the state for this fall.



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