WaPo/ABC poll: Obama up 2 points nationally, up 11 points among swing-state voters

[ProSense]

Tight race nationally as first debate approaches

By Jon Cohen and Dan Balz

On the eve of the first presidential debate, President Obama leads or is at parity with Mitt Romney on virtually every major issue and attribute in what remains a competitive general election, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.

The new survey also highlights an emerging dynamic in the race: the disparity between the state of the race nationally and in battleground states, where campaigning and advertising by the two candidates has been most intense and where the election will be decided.

Nationally, the race is unmoved from early September, with 49 percent of likely voters saying they would vote for Obama if the election were held today and 47 percent saying they would vote for Romney. Among all registered voters, Obama is up by a slim five percentage points, nearly identical to his margin in a poll two weeks ago.

But 52 percent of likely voters across swing states side with Obama and 41 percent with Romney in the new national poll, paralleling Obama’s advantages in recent Washington Post polls in Florida, Ohio and Virginia.

- more -

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/decision2012/tight-race-nationally-as-first-debate-approaches/2012/09/30/82d0d402-0b28-11e2-a310-2363842b7057_story.html

Not sure what that means, the swing-state numbers, that is. Still, the poll shows the President up by 2 points, but Romney led by 2 points at the end of August.




http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postabcpoll_20120929.html

[ProSense]

1. Kick! n/t

[pa28]

2. Looks like Obama's aggressive campaign is working in the swing states.

Maybe it's time to take that message national.

[ProSense]

3. It does. n/t

[1-Old-Man]

4. So, Obama is ahead in the big states, Romney leads the small, and overall they're even?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

6. I Think It Would Be More Accurate To Say Obama Leads In The Blue And Purple States.

Romney leads in the red ones.

[reformist2]

5. These numbers are bizarre. Romney must have a *huge* lead in Texas or something.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. Big Leads In TX And Most But Not All Of The Old Conferderacy

I suspect they are at parity or Obama is a bit above parity in FL, VA, and NC, of which FL and VA are mostly southern by geography only.